ABNB·Airbnb, Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

39.6% 57th pct

Below its peak

-23.9%

vs 200-day average

+14.4%

Up days (1y)

52%

Airbnb, Inc. is currently running 39.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against ABNB's own 6 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 57th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 36.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

ABNB is trading -23.9% below its running peak. Across 5 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -35.4%, and the deepest was -55.8% in 2022. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +14.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 86th percentile — a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year ABNB closed higher on 52% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 5 years of records, ABNB finished the month higher 3 of 5 times, with a median return of +2.4% and an average of -0.2%. Its strongest month historically has been January at +9.2% on average, its weakest May at -8.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: ABNB has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 41 of 1,459 sessions (2.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +4.2% and -9.4%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, ABNB moved an average of 4.0% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 3 times, with a median move of +2.6% and a largest of +8.9%.

All figures computed from 1,460 daily closes between 2020-12-10 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against ABNB's own 6-year history, not a peer group or index.