ADBE·Adobe Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

27.8% 52nd pct

Below its peak

-65.7%

vs 200-day average

-7.4%

Up days (1y)

48%

Adobe Inc. is currently running 27.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against ADBE's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 52nd percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 27.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

ADBE is trading -65.7% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -20.0%, and the deepest was -51.2% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -7.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 24th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year ADBE closed higher on 48% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 14 years of records, ADBE finished the month higher 8 of 14 times, with a median return of +1.6% and an average of +2.1%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.7% on average, its weakest September at -5.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: ADBE has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 82 of 3,267 sessions (2.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.6% and -5.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, ADBE moved an average of 1.8% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +0.3% and a largest of +3.7%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against ADBE's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.