DailyIQ
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AES·The AES Corporation

$.
+. (+.%)
High
$14.80
Open
$14.70
Market Cap
10.47B
52W High
$17.65
Low
$14.63
P. Close
$14.68
P/E
7.75
52W Low
$9.46
Fwd P/E
6.15
Mean Target
-
Technical Score (1D)
73
BUY
News Sentiment
-
NO DATA
AES Corporation is advancing its renewable energy and storage initiatives, having completed its largest U.S. solar and storage facility and secured new long-term power agreements with data center clients, which aligns renewable capacity with growing digital infrastructure needs. This strategic push for renewables, alongside proposed electricity rate adjustments by AES Ohio, aims to enhance earnings visibility. However, the AES Ohio rate proposal faces opposition from the Office of the Ohio Consumers' Counsel, which argues residential customers are overpaying for transmission costs and that data centers may not be bearing their full share. AES Ohio maintains the update is a regulatory requirement to align rates with actual transmission costs. Recent earnings calls indicate AES anticipates rising energy prices and a significant increase in renewable energy and storage additions over the next five years, with the CFO expected to provide further details on financial performance and strategy. The company reaffirmed its 2025 financial guidance and long-term growth objectives, emphasizing business resilience and continued execution of strategic initiatives, while focusing on market fundamentals despite policy changes. This forward-looking strategy is supported by growth drivers like long-term renewable power purchase agreements and new data center load at U.S. utilities. In a separate development, AES's co-founded venture, Haven Safety AI, has been recognized as a finalist for the 2026 Edison Award for its application of artificial intelligence in electric power safety and efficiency. This nomination signals AES's engagement with advanced AI technologies to bolster core operations and reliability, potentially influencing future risk management and operational costs. Meanwhile, consent solicitations for senior notes by subsidiaries DPL LLC and IPALCO Enterprises have expired without receiving the necessary consents from noteholders, leading to termination and no payments for submitted consents, indicating a lack of agreement on proposed indenture amendments. Fitch Ratings has upgraded AES Argentina's Issuer Default Rating to 'B-' from 'CCC+' with a Stable Outlook, reflecting an improved credit profile for the subsidiary.
Earnings Summary
AES Corporation is a global energy provider focused on power generation and utility operations, utilizing a diverse portfolio of energy sources including renewables. The company operates in the Utilities - Diversified sector, supplying electricity to millions of customers worldwide. In its most recent reported quarters, AES demonstrated mixed performance. For Q3 2025, the company reported an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.75, narrowly missing the analyst estimate of $0.76607, while revenue was $3.351 billion. This followed a Q2 2025 where AES posted an EPS of $0.51, beating the estimate of $0.39546, with revenue at $2.855 billion. Prior to this, Q1 2025 saw an EPS of $0.27 against an estimate of $0.3286, and Q4 2024 reported an EPS of $0.54, significantly exceeding the $0.34516 estimate. The revenue trend shows some fluctuation, with Q3 2025 revenue higher than Q2 2025 and Q1 2025, but Q4 2024 revenue was the highest among the reported quarters. Historically, AES has shown a pattern of beating EPS estimates in some quarters while missing in others, indicating variability in its earnings execution. For instance, the significant beat in Q4 2024 contrasts with the miss in Q1 2025. Recent news highlights AES's involvement through its co-founded subsidiary, Haven Safety AI, which has been named a finalist for a 2026 Edison Award for its AI advancements in the electric power industry. This recognition underscores AES's commitment to leveraging AI for improved safety and operational efficiency, potentially impacting future risk management and costs. Investors will be watching for how these AI innovations are further integrated into AES's operations and their tangible impact on financial performance in upcoming quarters. Key will be observing the company's ability to consistently meet or exceed analyst expectations for both EPS and revenue, especially as it navigates the evolving energy landscape and technological advancements.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.20$0.36$0.52$0.68$0.84Q4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$0.51 - -
Q3'25$0.77$0.75-2.1%
Q2'25$0.40$0.51+29.0%
Q1'25$0.33$0.27-17.8%
Q4'24$0.35$0.54+56.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$2.8B$2.9B$3.1B$3.3B$3.4BQ4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$3.1B - -
Q3'25 - $3.4B -
Q2'25 - $2.9B -
Q1'25 - $2.9B -
Q4'24 - $3.0B -

Market Data

AES Stock Snapshot

AES is currently trading at $14.69, giving The AES Corporation a market cap of 10.47B and a P/E ratio of 7.8. Today's range spans $14.63–$14.80, with shares opening at $14.70 and moving up $0.01 (0.1%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 73/100 (BUY).

Over the past year AES has traded between $9.46 and $17.65 - the current price is +55.3% off the 52-week low and -16.8% from the high.

Algorithmic and quant fund activity in AES tends to intensify when the technical score crosses the 73/100 threshold - systematic models in large-cap Utilities names trigger entry signals at these levels, adding momentum to what may have started as fundamental-driven buying. Signal: BUY. Sentiment: neutral (-/100). Price: $14.69 (in the middle of its 52-week range). The current P/E ratio stands at 7.8. Annual range: $9.46–$17.65.

What makes AES's BUY setup (73/100) particularly actionable at 10.47B in Utilities capitalization is the scale-to-move ratio: large enough to feature on institutional mandates but not so large that the percentage upside is already compressed by index inertia. At $14.69 (in the middle of its 52-week range in $9.46–$17.65), with sentiment running neutral at -/100, the setup rewards conviction-sized positioning more than it does speculative small bets.

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