DailyIQ
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Sector:UtilitiesAll sectors
Last updated 4 minutes ago

AES·The AES Corporation

$.
-. (-.%)
After Hours
High
$14.73
Open
$14.72
Market Cap
10.46B
52W High
$17.65
Low
$14.65
P. Close
$14.68
P/E
7.74
52W Low
$10.02
Fwd P/E
28.58
DailyIQ Est.
$14.81
Technical Score (1D)
82
BUY
News Sentiment
65
BULLISH
AES released its latest quarterly results a month ago, establishing a new baseline for revenue mix and cost structure that will shape near‑term performance. The company’s earnings call, scheduled for later this week, is expected to reveal capital‑expenditure plans and the pace of renewable‑energy and storage additions that could lift margins. Investors are watching the call for any shift in guidance, as a more optimistic outlook could support the stock over the next 1–10 trading days. Meanwhile, a private‑takeover proposal at $15 per share, a modest premium over the current price, has introduced a new catalyst that could cap upside if the deal closes. The buyout offers a 4.8% dividend yield until closure, making the stock attractive for income‑focused traders but also exposing it to pre‑deal volatility. AES’s recent completion of the largest U.S. solar plus storage facility and long‑term power agreements with data‑center clients signals a strategic shift toward higher‑margin renewable projects. This shift could improve earnings visibility and support the company’s long‑term growth narrative, but it also raises questions about regulatory approvals for the Ohio rate update that may affect cash flow. Uncertainty remains over whether AES Ohio’s proposed transmission‑cost rider will be approved, which could delay revenue recognition and impact short‑term earnings. Traders should monitor the earnings call for guidance updates, the status of the private‑takeover approval, and any regulatory decisions on the Ohio rate proposal to gauge AES’s near‑term trajectory.
Earnings Summary
AES Corporation is a global energy provider focused on power generation and utility operations, utilizing a diverse portfolio of energy sources including renewables. The company operates in the Utilities - Diversified sector, supplying electricity to millions of customers worldwide. In its most recent reported quarters, AES demonstrated mixed performance. For Q3 2025, the company reported an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.75, narrowly missing the analyst estimate of $0.76607, while revenue was $3.351 billion. This followed a Q2 2025 where AES posted an EPS of $0.51, beating the estimate of $0.39546, with revenue at $2.855 billion. Prior to this, Q1 2025 saw an EPS of $0.27 against an estimate of $0.3286, and Q4 2024 reported an EPS of $0.54, significantly exceeding the $0.34516 estimate. The revenue trend shows some fluctuation, with Q3 2025 revenue higher than Q2 2025 and Q1 2025, but Q4 2024 revenue was the highest among the reported quarters. Historically, AES has shown a pattern of beating EPS estimates in some quarters while missing in others, indicating variability in its earnings execution. For instance, the significant beat in Q4 2024 contrasts with the miss in Q1 2025. Recent news highlights AES's involvement through its co-founded subsidiary, Haven Safety AI, which has been named a finalist for a 2026 Edison Award for its AI advancements in the electric power industry. This recognition underscores AES's commitment to leveraging AI for improved safety and operational efficiency, potentially impacting future risk management and costs. Investors will be watching for how these AI innovations are further integrated into AES's operations and their tangible impact on financial performance in upcoming quarters. Key will be observing the company's ability to consistently meet or exceed analyst expectations for both EPS and revenue, especially as it navigates the evolving energy landscape and technological advancements.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.20$0.36$0.52$0.68$0.84Q4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$0.51 - -
Q3'25$0.77$0.75-2.1%
Q2'25$0.40$0.51+29.0%
Q1'25$0.33$0.27-17.8%
Q4'24$0.35$0.54+56.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$2.8B$2.9B$3.1B$3.3B$3.4BQ4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$3.1B - -
Q3'25 - $3.4B -
Q2'25 - $2.9B -
Q1'25 - $2.9B -
Q4'24 - $3.0B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

AES Stock Snapshot

AES is currently trading at $14.66, giving The AES Corporation a market cap of 10.46B and a P/E ratio of 7.7. Today's range spans $14.65–$14.73, with shares opening at $14.72 and moving down $0.02 (0.1%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 82/100 (BUY) with a news sentiment reading of 65/100.

Over the past year AES has traded between $10.02 and $17.65 - the current price is +46.3% off the 52-week low and -16.9% from the high. 20 analysts cover the stock with a Hold consensus and a mean 12-month target of $15.11 (range $15.00–$16.00), implying upside of +3.1%.

AES is scoring 82/100 technically (BUY) and sits at $14.66 - in the middle of its 52-week range in its $10.02–$17.65 annual range. Sentiment at 65/100 is bullish. At 10.46B in Utilities market cap The current P/E ratio stands at 7.7., this is the tier where earnings revision cycles have the most impact on price: upward revisions in a large-cap company with bullish momentum tend to attract analyst upgrades, which in turn attract new institutional mandates.

What makes AES's BUY setup (82/100) particularly actionable at 10.46B in Utilities capitalization is the scale-to-move ratio: large enough to feature on institutional mandates but not so large that the percentage upside is already compressed by index inertia. At $14.66 (in the middle of its 52-week range in $10.02–$17.65), with sentiment running bullish at 65/100, the setup rewards conviction-sized positioning more than it does speculative small bets.