AMAT·Applied Materials, Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

50.9% 84th pct

Below its peak

-40.8%

vs 200-day average

-2.2%

Up days (1y)

51%

Applied Materials, Inc. is currently running 50.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against AMAT's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 84th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 33.3%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

AMAT is trading -40.8% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -27.8%, and the deepest was -55.5% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -2.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 27th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year AMAT closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 4 sessions into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 14 years of records, AMAT finished the month higher 7 of 14 times, with a median return of +1.0% and an average of -0.0%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +8.4% on average, its weakest August at -2.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: AMAT has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 141 of 3,267 sessions (4.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.1% and -9.4%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, AMAT moved an average of 2.3% in the session after earnings, closing higher 0 of those 3 times, with a median move of -1.8% and a largest of -4.8%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-16 and 2026-10-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against AMAT's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.