APO·Apollo Global Management, Inc. (New)

Realized volatility (21d)

24.9% 30th pct

Below its peak

-38.8%

vs 200-day average

-8.9%

Up days (1y)

51%

Apollo Global Management, Inc. (New) is currently running 24.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against APO's own 10 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 30th percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 30.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

APO is trading -38.8% below its running peak. Across 9 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -23.5%, and the deepest was -67.8% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -8.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 19th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year APO closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 9 years of records, APO finished the month higher 4 of 9 times, with a median return of -2.9% and an average of +1.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +9.5% on average, its weakest March at -5.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: APO has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 186 of 2,466 sessions (7.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.8% and -14.7%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 2,467 daily closes between 2016-12-09 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against APO's own 10-year history, not a peer group or index.