DailyIQ
Last updated1 minute ago

APO·Apollo Global Management, Inc. (New)

$125.89
-0.11 (-0.09%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$125.91+0.02 (+0.02%)
High
$126.89
Open
$126.36
Market Cap
74.36B
52W High
$153.35
Low
$124.23
P. Close
$125.89
P/E
39.66
52W Low
$99.56
Fwd P/E
11.73
DailyIQ Est.
$157.12
Inst. Ownership
2.3%
Short Interest
3.98%
Days to Cover
8.5
Technical Score (1D)
27
SELL
News Sentiment
56
BULLISH
Apollo Global Management’s latest move is the exploration of a full or partial divestiture of its Energos Infrastructure unit, a floating LNG provider, with a valuation that could exceed $3 billion. The potential sale would free significant cash, allowing Apollo to re‑allocate capital toward higher‑margin assets and improve its liquidity profile over the next ten trading days. At the same time, Apollo is negotiating to lift its loan to SoftBank’s Vision Fund II from $5.4 billion to $9 billion to support the conglomerate’s $64.6 billion stake in OpenAI, a deal that would strengthen Apollo’s balance sheet and deepen its exposure to the AI financing space. The loan expansion is confirmed and represents a material upside for Apollo, potentially boosting fee and interest income in the near term. The combination of a possible Energos sale and the SoftBank loan upgrade signals a strategic focus on balance‑sheet optimization and sector positioning. Traders should monitor the final terms of the SoftBank loan, including covenants and interest rates, as they will affect Apollo’s short‑term cash flow. Additionally, any confirmation of the Energos sale, particularly the identity of the buyer and the percentage stake, will be critical to assess the timing and magnitude of the cash influx. The developments also hint at Apollo’s broader intent to balance its portfolio between infrastructure and high‑growth technology financing, a shift that could influence its risk profile and earnings composition in the coming weeks.
Earnings Summary
Apollo Global Management is a global investment firm focused on alternative asset classes such as credit, private equity, infrastructure, and real estate, deploying capital through buyouts and specialized credit strategies across North America, Europe, Asia, and Africa. In the last two quarters, Apollo reported Q4 2025 EPS of $2.47 versus an estimate of $2.13 and revenue of $1.244 billion against an estimate of $1.229 billion, marking a modest EPS beat and a slight revenue upside; Q4 2024 EPS of $2.22 beat the $1.89 estimate while revenue of $955 million matched expectations. The company’s EPS growth accelerated from $2.22 in Q4 2024 to $2.47 in Q4 2025, but revenue growth slowed, with Q4 2025 revenue rising only 3.8% from the prior year. Historically, Apollo has posted YoY revenue growth in the high single digits each year, with EPS consistently beating estimates in the last four quarters, though the most recent quarter saw a slight EPS miss relative to the trend. Recent news highlights Apollo’s capital deployment in life sciences, flexible office space, and banking assets, including a €3 billion equity injection into Bayer’s LARC unit and a $585 million debt refinancing for The Executive Centre, which strengthen portfolio company balance sheets and could support future earnings. Investors should watch for the closing of the Truist loan sale, the impact of the LARC equity injection on Bayer’s earnings guidance, and any subsequent refinancing activity by Michaels that could further influence Apollo’s credit profile, as these developments may affect the firm’s risk‑return dynamics in the next quarter.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.80$1.99$2.18$2.37$2.56Q4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$2.26 - -
Q2'26$2.20$2.11-3.9%
Q4'25$2.13$2.47+16.1%
Q4'24$1.89$2.22+17.5%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$203M$1.8B$3.5B$5.1B$6.7BQ4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$6.0B - -
Q2'26$5.7B$1.3B-76.6%
Q4'25$1.2B$1.2B+1.2%
Q4'24 - $955M -

Market Data

APO Stock Snapshot

SELL27/100
$125.91+$0.02 (0.0%)
Market cap
74.36B
P/E ratio
39.7
Day range
$124.23 – $126.89
News sentiment
56/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$153.47 (+21.9%)
Consensus
Buy · 28 analysts
52-week range+26.5% off low · -17.9% from high
$99.56$153.35
Price $125.91 DailyIQ Est. $157.12

The signals on APO lean bearish, and the range position backs that up. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Behaviour On Record

What APO's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
23.6% 25th pct
Below its peak
-33.2%
vs 200-day average
-1.4%
Up days (1y)
51%

Apollo Global Management, Inc. (New) is currently running 23.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against APO's own 10 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 25th percentile unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 30.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

APO is trading -33.2% below its running peak. Across 9 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -23.5%, and the deepest was -67.8% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -1.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 43rd percentile close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year APO closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 10 years of records, APO finished the month higher 5 of 10 times, with a median return of +0.0% and an average of +0.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +9.5% on average, its weakest March at -5.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: APO has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 185 of 2,455 sessions (7.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.8% and -14.7%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 2,456 daily closes between 2016-12-09 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against APO's own 10-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of APO's sector?

Apollo Global Management, Inc. (New) sits in the Financials sector, currently ranked 5th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#5 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
50

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for APO?

CallsPuts

For Apollo Global Management, Inc. (New)'s nearest expiry (2026-09-25, 5 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 1.57), with at-the-money implied volatility around 45.4%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±5.8% move by that expiry — a range of about $125.04–$140.54.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-25)
1.57
ATM implied volatility
45.4%
Total open interest
3,237
Expected move by 2026-09-25
±5.8% ($125.04–$140.54)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on APO?

JP Morgan most recently reiterated its rating on Apollo Global Management, Inc. (New) to Overweight on Sep 2, 2026 with a price target of $154 (from $150). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
JP MorganOverweight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 2, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$150 → $154
Aug 5, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$157 → $172
Aug 5, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedSector Perform$137 → $146
Aug 5, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$132 → $157
Jul 21, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$165 → $164
Jul 20, 2026HSBCInitiatedBuy$145
Jul 13, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedSector Perform$146 → $137
Jul 13, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedMarket Perform$140 → $126
Jul 13, 2026Piper SandlerMaintainedOverweight$157 → $156
Jul 9, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$131 → $132
May 26, 2026Piper SandlerMaintainedOverweight$146 → $157
May 18, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$155 → $146

APO Competitive Positioning

Apollo Global Management, Inc. (New) (APO) is tracked alongside these names in Asset Management on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.