DailyIQ
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Last updated 5 minutes ago

ASML·ASML Holding NV

$.
-. (-.%)
After Hours
High
$1,817.98
Open
$1,783.88
Market Cap
612.25B
52W High
$1,741.00
Low
$1,766.66
P. Close
$1,797.33
P/E
59.95
52W Low
$587.80
Fwd P/E
36.45
DailyIQ Est.
$2031.39
Technical Score (1D)
55
BUY
News Sentiment
75
BULLISH
ASML shares are currently outperforming the broader market, reflecting sustained investor confidence ahead of the July 15 earnings release. Analysts project Q2 earnings of $7.98 per share, up 75 % year‑over‑year, and revenue of $10.28 billion, a 17.8 % increase, which could reinforce the company’s growth narrative. The consensus full‑year outlook now anticipates earnings of $36.62 per share and revenue of $45.35 billion, reflecting a 31 % and 23 % jump from the prior year. In response to the stronger outlook, Bernstein lifted its price target to $2,623, citing expanded demand for advanced lithography and AI‑driven logic and DRAM growth. The upgrade is mirrored by other analysts, including Morgan Stanley and Susquehanna, who have also raised their targets, underscoring a broader consensus of upside. Meanwhile, ASML’s share‑buyback program remains active, with nearly 48,400 shares repurchased in the last week, a sign that management believes the stock is undervalued. Bernstein also raised EUV shipment expectations to 91 systems in 2027 and 113 in 2028, indicating a ramp‑up in capacity that could support the projected revenue growth. Traders should watch the earnings announcement for guidance on revenue and margin trends, as well as any updates on EUV production milestones. Additionally, supply‑chain constraints and potential regulatory changes in the semiconductor space could influence the company’s ability to meet the heightened shipment targets, so keep an eye on those developments.
Earnings Summary
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading provider of lithography systems essential for semiconductor fabrication, offering advanced EUV and deep ultraviolet solutions alongside metrology and inspection equipment. In the technology sector, ASML dominates the semiconductor equipment market, supplying critical tools to global chipmakers. In the most recent quarters, Q2 2025 and Q3 2025, the company posted EPS of $5.90 and $5.49, both above estimates of $5.25 and $5.37, while revenue slipped from $7.69 billion in Q2 2025 to $7.52 billion in Q3 2025, a decline from the $7.74 billion reported in Q1 2025 and the $9.26 billion in Q4 2024; nevertheless, the firm beat consensus earnings in all four quarters examined. Historically, ASML has maintained a pattern of earnings beats even as revenue growth has moderated, reflecting strong pricing power and a robust backlog that supports top‑line stability. Although Q1 2026 and Q2 2026 EPS figures are pending, revenue estimates of $8.80 billion and $9.03 billion suggest continued top‑line momentum, while the company’s order backlog exceeds €38.8 billion, underscoring a robust pipeline. Recent news highlights a deepening partnership with Mistral to accelerate AI chip production, an expanding equipment order backlog, and ongoing share buybacks that signal management confidence; export‑control constraints and supply‑chain limits remain noted risks that could temper growth. The partnership with Mistral is expected to deepen ASML’s footprint in AI chip production, potentially accelerating order flow, and analysts project 91 EUV shipments in 2027 and 113 in 2028, making High‑NA EUV rollout a critical driver for future revenue. Investors should watch the upcoming Q4 2025 earnings release for guidance on backlog expansion, EUV deployment timelines, and any impact of export‑control changes, as these factors will shape near‑term revenue expectations and valuation multiples.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$5.01$5.53$6.05$6.56$7.08Q4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$6.73 - -
Q3'25$5.37$5.49+2.1%
Q2'25$5.25$5.90+12.4%
Q1'25$5.79$6.00+3.7%
Q4'24$6.73$6.84+1.6%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$7.3B$7.8B$8.4B$9.0B$9.5BQ4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'26$8.8B - -
Q3'25 - $7.5B -
Q2'25 - $7.7B -
Q1'25 - $7.7B -
Q4'24 - $9.3B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

ASML Stock Snapshot

ASML is currently trading at $1800.22, giving ASML Holding NV a market cap of 612.25B and a P/E ratio of 60.0. Today's range spans $1766.66–$1817.98, with shares opening at $1783.88 and moving up $2.89 (0.2%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 55/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 75/100.

Over the past year ASML has traded between $587.80 and $1741.00 - the current price is +206.3% off the 52-week low and +3.4% from the high. 42 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $1881.82 (range $885.58–$2624.80), implying upside of +4.5%.

Price discovery is happening slowly for ASML Holding NV (ASML) - a mega-cap in Technology (612.25B market cap) sitting on a 55/100 technical score (HOLD) with bullish sentiment at 75/100. The stock is at $1800.22 (near 52-week highs) inside a $587.80–$1741.00 annual range. (P/E: 60.0) In the mega-cap tier, slow is often a sign of a stock absorbing information rather than ignoring it - a HOLD at this size typically means 'positioned and waiting,' not 'uninvested and avoiding.'

In a HOLD phase, the key question for ASML is what breaks the equilibrium: a macro shift, an earnings revision, or a sector catalyst. At 612.25B in Technology capitalization, the 55/100 reading (HOLD) and bullish sentiment (75/100) describe a market that's watching rather than acting — and $1800.22 (near 52-week highs) sits in the zone where both buyers and sellers are willing to wait for confirmation.