AXON|Analyst Targets
AXON|Company Info
AXON|Insider Trading
AXON|Fundamentals
AXON|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $1.94 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $1.89 | $1.88 | -0.3% |
| Q3'25 | $1.54 | $1.17 | -24.1% |
| Q2'25 | $1.46 | $2.12 | +45.0% |
| Q1'25 | $1.28 | $1.41 | +10.3% |
| Q4'24 | $1.40 | $2.08 | +48.2% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $960M | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $894M | $904M | +1.2% |
| Q3'25 | - | $711M | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $669M | - |
| Q1'25 | - | $604M | - |
| Q4'24 | - | $575M | - |
AXON|Monthly Returns
Market Data
AXON Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 33.58B
- P/E ratio
- 168.5
- Day range
- $395.75 – $416.00
- News sentiment
- 62/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $697.26 (+71.3%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 30 analysts
Axon Enterprise, Inc. is trading near its 52-week low with momentum still pointing lower. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into AXON?
At today's price, Axon Enterprise, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 110.4% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 10.81% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 18.4% a year, so the market is asking for 92.0 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis AXON looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 110.4%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 18.4%
- Growth gap
- +92.0 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 10.81%
- Beta
- 1.18
Behaviour On Record
What AXON's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 34.8% 33rd pct
- Below its peak
- -52.5%
- vs 200-day average
- -15.8%
- Up days (1y)
- 46%
Axon Enterprise, Inc. is currently running 34.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against AXON's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 33rd percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 41.1%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
AXON is trading -52.5% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -40.0%, and the deepest was -52.7% in 2015. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -15.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 13th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year AXON closed higher on 46% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.
On October specifically: over 14 years of records, AXON finished the month higher 9 of 14 times, with a median return of +3.6% and an average of +5.0%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +9.2% on average, its weakest March at -4.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: AXON has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 280 of 3,268 sessions (8.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +15.2% and -13.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against AXON's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of AXON's sector?
Axon Enterprise, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving). Within its narrower Aerospace & Defense industry group, AXON ranks 7th of 15 tracked industries, improving.
- Sector rank
- #8 of 12
- Sector state
- Improving
- Sector rotation score
- 36
- Industry rank
- #7 of 15
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on AXON?
Argus Research most recently reiterated its rating on Axon Enterprise, Inc. to Buy on Sep 3, 2026 with a price target of $600 (from $460). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- Argus Research — Buy
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
Earnings Release, Scored
What did Axon Enterprise, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
Raises full-year revenue growth outlook to 32% to 34% ; maintains Adjusted EBITDA margin outlook at 25.5%
Guidance raisedNew this quarter - 2
Our increased revenue guidance is supported by our continued execution against $15.1 billion in Future Contracted Bookings, and an expanding pipeline that supports our expectation for greater than 30% growth in five-year normalized bookings year over year for 2026.
Guidance raisedNew this quarter - 3
Annual recurring revenue grows 39% to $1.6 billion; net revenue retention reaches 126%
New this quarter
Peers & ETF holders
AXON peers & ETF holders
Aerospace & DefenseMarket cap · today
News Sentiment Analysis
Sentiment gathered from recent headlines
Recent News Coverage
Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).
Technical Analysis
Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes
| Manager | Trend | Shares Held | % of Co. | Position Value | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | ▲ Buy | 9,367,224 | 11.55% | $5.32B | 2026-01-29 |
| BlackRock, Inc. | ▲ Buy | 8,334,551 | 10.28% | $4.67B | 2026-08-07 |
| Invesco Ltd. | ▲ Buy | 3,229,060 | 3.98% | $1.81B | 2026-08-14 |
| Baillie Gifford & Co | ▲ Buy | 3,059,487 | 3.77% | $1.72B | 2026-08-06 |
| FMR LLC (Fidelity) | ▲ Buy | 3,024,957 | 3.73% | $1.70B | 2026-08-13 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | ▲ Buy | 2,312,765 | 2.85% | $1.29B | 2026-08-12 |
| Wellington Management Group LLP | ▼ Sell | 2,103,142 | 2.59% | $1.18B | 2026-08-14 |
| Morgan Stanley | ▲ Buy | 1,089,164 | 1.34% | $610.60M | 2026-08-13 |
| Norges Bank | ▲ Buy | 931,827 | 1.15% | $522.39M | 2026-08-12 |
| Goldman Sachs Group Inc | ▲ Buy | 825,444 | 1.02% | $462.75M | 2026-08-14 |
| Northern Trust Corp | ▲ Buy | 774,281 | 0.95% | $434.07M | 2026-08-13 |
| JPMorgan Chase & Co | ▼ Sell | 586,714 | 0.72% | $299.58M | 2026-08-12 |
| Bank of America Corp | ▼ Sell | 511,379 | 0.63% | $286.68M | 2026-08-14 |
| Citigroup Inc | ▲ Buy | 195,019 | 0.24% | $109.33M | 2026-08-03 |
| Wells Fargo & Company | ▼ Sell | 152,157 | 0.19% | $85.30M | 2026-08-14 |
| Susquehanna International Group, LLP | ▲ Buy | 130,982 | 0.16% | $73.43M | 2026-08-14 |
| Millennium Management LLC | ▼ Sell | 84,224 | 0.10% | $47.22M | 2026-08-14 |
| Adage Capital Partners GP, L.L.C. | ▲ Buy | 71,800 | 0.09% | $40.25M | 2026-08-14 |
| AllianceBernstein L.P. | ▼ Sell | 74,866 | 0.09% | $31.79M | 2026-08-14 |
| Citadel Advisors LLC | ▼ Sell | 47,359 | 0.06% | $26.55M | 2026-09-02 |
| Prudential Financial Inc | ▲ Buy | 37,005 | 0.05% | $20.75M | 2026-08-12 |
| Gotham Asset Management, LLC | ▲ Buy | 35,967 | 0.04% | $20.16M | 2026-08-14 |
| AQR Capital Management LLC | ▼ Sell | 25,887 | 0.03% | $14.18M | 2026-08-14 |
| Man Group plc | ▼ Sell | 10,354 | 0.01% | $5.80M | 2026-08-14 |
| Neuberger Berman Group LLC | ▼ Sell | 7,379 | 0.01% | $4.14M | 2026-08-13 |
| Member | Chamber | State | Type | Amount | Traded | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Armstrong | Senate | OK | ▲ Buy | $1K - $15K | 2026-03-27 | 2026-07-21 |
| Jefferson Shreve | House | IN06 | ▼ Sell | $15K - $50K | 2025-05-12 | 2025-06-22 |
| Jefferson Shreve | House | IN06 | ▲ Buy | $15K - $50K | 2025-03-05 | 2025-04-11 |
| Rob Bresnahan | House | PA08 | ▼ Sell | $1K - $15K | 2025-01-13 | 2025-02-13 |