BG·Bunge Global SA

Realized volatility (21d)

31.6% 75th pct

Below its peak

-19.0%

vs 200-day average

-7.8%

Up days (1y)

51%

Bunge Global SA is currently running 31.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against BG's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 75th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 24.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

BG is trading -19.0% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -25.1%, and the deepest was -48.2% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits -7.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 24th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year BG closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, BG finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +4.4% and an average of +4.1%. Its strongest month historically has been October at +4.1% on average, its weakest June at -4.9%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: BG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 107 of 3,267 sessions (3.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.8% and -6.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against BG's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.