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CBOE·Cboe Global Markets, Inc.

$272.36
+5.69 (+2.13%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$271.00-1.36 (-0.50%)
High
$273.82
Open
$270.13
Market Cap
28.24B
52W High
$392.99
Low
$265.17
P. Close
$272.36
P/E
20.87
52W Low
$227.15
Fwd P/E
17.74
DailyIQ Est.
$315.32
Inst. Ownership
3.3%
Short Interest
2.94%
Days to Cover
2.7
Technical Score (1D)
27
SELL
News Sentiment
58
BULLISH
Cboe Global Markets’ management lifted its 2026 organic revenue‑growth outlook during the Barclays conference, citing diversification, international expansion and new trading‑technology investments as the key drivers. The upgrade signals a material upside for the exchange’s long‑term earnings profile and should keep the stock’s valuation multiples in line with the broader market for the next ten trading days. At the same conference, senior executives reiterated a steady, incremental trajectory for exchange‑traded products and the expansion of digital trading platforms, but did not disclose any new financial guidance or strategic pivots. The lack of a fresh guidance update means the revenue lift remains the primary catalyst to watch in the near term. Cboe’s trading‑volume report for August 2026 shows continued growth in equity and index derivatives, with mini‑SPX options setting a new monthly ADV record of 241,000 contracts, underscoring sustained demand for U.S. options. While the volume data itself does not alter the company’s guidance, it confirms the momentum that underpins the revenue‑growth upgrade. In the broader market context, the exchange’s shares trade 24 % below their 52‑week high yet maintain a forward P/E of 19.6, suggesting a modest undervaluation relative to peers. The recent 19 % dividend hike to $0.86 per share, effective Q3 2026, reinforces the narrative of strong cash generation and may support the stock’s valuation in the short term. Regulators are likely to formalize oversight for decentralized perpetual‑future venues, a development that could reshape Cboe’s product lineup and fee structure; traders should monitor any regulatory announcements or Cboe’s response to potential new perp offerings. Finally, the exchange’s heavy reliance on its S&P index‑options partnership remains a key risk, and any delay or renewal of that partnership will be a critical watch item for the next few trading days.
Earnings Summary
Cboe Global Markets, Inc. operates as a global exchange platform, providing options, equities, futures, and foreign exchange trading services across North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific, while also offering clearing, listing, and digital asset markets. In the most recent two quarters, Q4 2025 and Q1 2026, the company posted EPS of $3.06 and $3.70 respectively, both beating analyst expectations of $2.9964 and $3.37413, and revenue of $671.1 million and $728.9 million, surpassing the $672.996 million and $708.607 million estimates; this marks a consistent upward trajectory in both earnings and top line, with a 3.5% YoY revenue growth in Q1 2026 versus Q4 2025. Historically, Cboe has maintained a pattern of EPS beats in the last four quarters, with revenue growth even when estimates were modest; the company’s 25% YoY revenue increase in Q2 2026, driven by a 30% jump in options net revenue, underscores this trend. Recent news highlights a record volume uptick for mini‑SPX options and a 19% dividend increase, signaling robust fee income and shareholder confidence, though no new guidance was disclosed. Investors should watch for the next earnings release to gauge the impact of the new volume record on fee structures and any regulatory updates that could affect derivative product launches, as these factors will shape the firm’s fee‑income trajectory in the coming quarter.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$2.26$2.66$3.07$3.48$3.89Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$3.44 - -
Q2'26$3.55$3.56+0.4%
Q1'26$3.37$3.70+9.7%
Q4'25$3.00$3.06+2.1%
Q3'25$2.53$2.67+5.6%
Q2'25$2.44$2.46+0.6%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$566M$613M$659M$706M$753MQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$719M - -
Q2'26$726M$732M+0.7%
Q1'26$709M$729M+2.9%
Q4'25$673M$671M-0.3%
Q3'25 - $606M -
Q2'25 - $587M -

Market Data

CBOE Stock Snapshot

SELL27/100
$271.00$1.36 (0.5%)
Market cap
28.24B
P/E ratio
20.9
Day range
$265.17 – $273.82
News sentiment
58/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$315.64 (+16.5%)
Consensus
Hold · 26 analysts
52-week range+19.3% off low · -31.0% from high
$227.15$392.99
Price $271.00 DailyIQ Est. $315.32

The chart on CBOE has not stabilised: price is in the lower half of its 52-week range and the trend is still down. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.

Behaviour On Record

What CBOE's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
37.2% 93rd pct
Below its peak
-25.9%
vs 200-day average
-4.7%
Up days (1y)
53%

Cboe Global Markets, Inc. is currently running 37.2% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against CBOE's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 93rd percentile an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 20.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

CBOE is trading -25.9% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -13.9%, and the deepest was -40.2% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -4.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 15th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year CBOE closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, CBOE finished the month higher 5 of 13 times, with a median return of -2.5% and an average of -1.2%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.0% on average, its weakest March at -1.8%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: CBOE has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 78 of 3,268 sessions (2.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.6% and -7.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, CBOE moved an average of 3.3% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +2.9% and a largest of -3.9%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-19 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against CBOE's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of CBOE's sector?

Cboe Global Markets, Inc. sits in the Financials sector, currently ranked 5th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#5 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
50

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for CBOE?

CallsPuts

For Cboe Global Markets, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-25, 6 days out), open interest is roughly balanced between puts and calls (put/call ratio of 0.90), with at-the-money implied volatility around 43.2%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±5.8% move by that expiry — a range of about $249.50–$280.00.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-25)
0.90
ATM implied volatility
43.2%
Total open interest
965
Expected move by 2026-09-25
±5.8% ($249.50–$280.00)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on CBOE?

TD Cowen most recently reiterated its rating on Cboe Global Markets, Inc. to Hold on Aug 3, 2026 with a price target of $315 (from $304). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
TD CowenHold
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 3, 2026TD CowenMaintainedHold$304 → $315
Aug 3, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$347 → $354
Jul 28, 2026JP MorganMaintainedUnderweight$277 → $288
Jul 20, 2026TD CowenMaintainedHold$259 → $304
Jul 15, 2026Piper SandlerMaintainedOverweight$355 → $320
Jul 9, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$382 → $347
May 4, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$305 → $335
May 4, 2026TD CowenMaintainedHold$293 → $365
May 4, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$351 → $382
May 4, 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainedMarket Perform$300 → $335
Apr 15, 2026Piper SandlerMaintainedOverweight$295 → $321
Apr 10, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedUnderweight$246 → $273

CBOE Competitive Positioning

Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (CBOE) is tracked alongside these names in Financial Data & Stock Exchanges on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.