DailyIQ
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Sector:Basic MaterialsAll sectors
Last updated 6 minutes ago

CF·CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

$.
+. (+.%)
After Hours
High
$116.98
Open
$114.88
Market Cap
17.79B
52W High
$141.96
Low
$113.32
P. Close
$116.94
P/E
10.12
52W Low
$75.42
Fwd P/E
10.32
DailyIQ Est.
$127.23
Technical Score (1D)
68
BUY
News Sentiment
82
BULLISH
CF Industries announced a 20 % increase in its dividend, underscoring management’s confidence in stable cash flows amid a tightening global nitrogen supply. The hike comes as the company’s exposure to the Iranian market is expected to lift demand because of conflict‑related supply disruptions. This signals that earnings are likely to remain robust in the short term, reinforcing the current bullish sentiment. Over the next 1–10 trading days, the market will focus on how the company’s cash generation aligns with the new dividend level. Investors should monitor the upcoming earnings release for guidance on future demand and any adjustments to the dividend policy. The report will also clarify the impact of evolving sanctions on CF’s Iranian operations. Any indication of increased regulatory risk could temper the positive outlook. Analysts will also watch for commentary on nitrogen supply dynamics, as this remains a key driver of profitability. A clear assessment of these factors will determine whether the current upside momentum can be sustained.
Earnings Summary
CF Industries Holdings, headquartered in Northbrook, Illinois, is a global producer of nitrogen‑based fertilizers and industrial products, supplying ammonia, urea, and related compounds to agricultural and industrial customers worldwide. In its latest two quarters, Q4 2025 and Q1 2026, the company posted EPS of $2.99 and $2.89, both surpassing analyst estimates of $2.62 and $2.61, respectively, while revenue grew from $1.872 B in Q4 2025 to $1.986 B in Q1 2026, exceeding expectations of $1.834 B and $1.879 B; this contrasts with Q2 2025, where EPS of $2.37 fell short of the $2.48 estimate, indicating a brief margin dip. Over the past five quarters, CF has consistently beaten EPS expectations in four instances, with only the Q2 2025 miss, and has maintained a steady upward trajectory in revenue, reflecting robust demand for its nitrogen products. Recent analyst actions—Morgan Stanley and UBS downgrades citing margin compression and commodity volatility, alongside Argus and Scotiabank upgrades highlighting operational efficiency—illustrate a mixed market view that hinges on the company’s ability to manage input costs and pricing power; these shifts are likely to shape investor expectations for the next earnings cycle. Investors should watch the forthcoming Q2 2026 earnings release for guidance on cost‑control measures, pricing strategies, and the impact of natural gas and nitrogen price movements, as these factors will be key determinants of CF’s margin resilience and revenue outlook in the near term.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.88$2.24$3.59$4.95$6.30Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$5.68 - -
Q1'26$2.61$2.89+10.6%
Q4'25$2.62$2.99+14.2%
Q3'25$2.07$2.19+5.6%
Q2'25$2.48$2.37-4.5%
Q1'25$1.51$1.85+22.9%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.5B$1.8B$2.1B$2.4B$2.7BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$2.5B - -
Q1'26$1.9B$2.0B+5.7%
Q4'25$1.8B$1.9B+2.0%
Q3'25 - $1.7B -
Q2'25 - $1.9B -
Q1'25 - $1.7B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

CF Stock Snapshot

CF is currently trading at $116.92, giving CF Industries Holdings, Inc. a market cap of 17.79B and a P/E ratio of 10.1. Today's range spans $113.32–$116.98, with shares opening at $114.88 and moving down $0.02 (0.0%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 68/100 (BUY) with a news sentiment reading of 82/100.

Over the past year CF has traded between $75.42 and $141.96 - the current price is +55.0% off the 52-week low and -17.6% from the high. 32 analysts cover the stock with a Hold consensus and a mean 12-month target of $125.72 (range $100.00–$195.72), implying upside of +7.5%.

The bullish case for CF is built on complementary signals: 68/100 technical score, BUY designation, and bullish sentiment at 82/100. At $116.92 (in the middle of its 52-week range within $75.42–$141.96), the stock is at a capitalization - 17.79B - where active managers can build meaningful positions without moving the market. (P/E: 10.1) That combination of signal quality and position-buildability makes this one of the more actionable large-cap setups in Basic Materials.

Earnings revision cycles in large-cap Basic Materials names tend to compound: when technicals confirm a BUY thesis (68/100) and news sentiment (82/100, bullish) supports the narrative, analyst upgrades follow price rather than lead it. At $116.92 (in the middle of its 52-week range), CF's position within the $75.42–$141.96 annual range suggests there's room for multiple expansion before the stock encounters meaningful technical resistance.