DailyIQ
Last updated28 minutes ago

CSCO·Cisco Systems, Inc.

$109.51
-0.75 (-0.68%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$109.60+0.09 (+0.08%)
High
$110.99
Open
$110.35
Market Cap
427.93B
52W High
$134.23
Low
$108.09
P. Close
$109.51
P/E
32.26
52W Low
$66.81
Fwd P/E
19.55
DailyIQ Est.
$141.89
Inst. Ownership
5.0%
Short Interest
1.42%
Days to Cover
3.5
Technical Score (1D)
36
SELL
News Sentiment
43
BEARISH
Cisco’s latest announcement of an on‑premises AI POD that bundles its own networking gear, Nvidia‑accelerated compute, and Kubernetes‑based software is the most immediate catalyst, as it expands the company’s addressable market in the secure‑AI space and has already spurred a 3.3 % share jump. The POD’s ability to run AI workloads without exposing data externally positions Cisco as a compelling choice for enterprises prioritizing data sovereignty, potentially accelerating new customer commitments and future revenue streams. This development dovetails with the company’s recent Q4 results, which showed an 18 % year‑over‑year revenue increase largely driven by AI networking orders that have yet to be booked, indicating that the market is already pricing in the conversion of those orders into revenue. The fact that Cisco’s earnings multiples remain comparable to Dell’s, despite Dell’s larger revenue jump, underscores that investors are already factoring in the upside from these AI orders. Over the next 1–10 trading days, the market will be watching how quickly Cisco can recognize the revenue from these AI networking orders and whether the company’s FY27 guidance of 15 % revenue and 17 % EPS growth holds up under scrutiny. A key watch item is the timing of the Agent Launchpad rollout later this year, which could further broaden model support and accelerate adoption. Additionally, analysts will be monitoring any updates on Nvidia model integration, as that could unlock deeper performance gains for the POD. Finally, keep an eye on any guidance revisions or commentary from Cisco’s management that might clarify the pace at which AI orders translate into booked revenue, as that will be a critical determinant of short‑term upside.
Earnings Summary
Cisco Systems, Inc. is a global technology leader that designs, develops, and sells networking and security solutions, including data center switching, network security, and collaboration tools, serving businesses, governments, and service providers across diverse environments. In the last two quarters, Cisco reported EPS of $0.94 in Q4 2024 and $0.96 in Q1 2025, both beating estimates of $0.909 and $0.9174 respectively, while revenue rose from $13.991 billion to $14.149 billion, a modest 1.1% increase. The trend continued with EPS of $0.99 in Q2 2025 and $1.00 in Q3 2025, again surpassing estimates of $0.97731 and $0.98216, and revenue climbed to $14.673 billion and $14.883 billion, reflecting a 3.4% YoY growth in Q3. Historically, Cisco has maintained a consistent pattern of EPS beats over the past four quarters, with revenue growth accelerating from 1.1% in Q1 2025 to 3.4% in Q3 2025, indicating robust demand for its networking hardware and software. Recent news highlights Cisco’s entry into Verizon’s 6G Innovation Forum and a partnership with quantum firm Infleqtion to develop distributed quantum networking, positioning the company to capture early revenue from 6G and quantum deployments; these developments suggest a strategic shift toward high‑margin, high‑technology services. Forward‑looking watch points include monitoring the company’s next quarterly guidance for indications of how the 6G and quantum collaborations translate into new revenue streams or higher margin opportunities, as well as keeping an eye on Verizon’s progress in the 6G forum and any public announcements from Infleqtion about the Universal Quantum Switch, which could signal the first commercial deployments.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.93$1.04$1.15$1.26$1.37Q2'25Q3'25Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$1.32 - -
Q4'26$1.19$1.22+2.2%
Q3'26$1.06$1.06+0.4%
Q2'26$1.03$1.04+0.5%
Q3'25$0.98$1.00+1.8%
Q2'25$0.98$0.99+1.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$14.1B$15.3B$16.6B$17.8B$19.0BQ2'25Q3'25Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$18.5B - -
Q4'26$17.2B$17.3B+0.5%
Q3'26$15.9B$15.8B-0.2%
Q2'26$15.5B$15.3B-1.2%
Q3'25 - $14.9B -
Q2'25 - $14.7B -

Market Data

CSCO Stock Snapshot

HOLD36/100
$109.60+$0.09 (0.1%)
Market cap
427.93B
P/E ratio
32.3
Day range
$108.09 – $110.99
News sentiment
43/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$137.62 (+25.6%)
Consensus
Buy · 37 analysts
52-week range+64.0% off low · -18.3% from high
$66.81$134.23
Price $109.60 DailyIQ Est. $141.89

CSCO sits in the middle of its 52-week range with the technical picture unresolved. Coverage is deep enough that new information gets priced quickly, so surprises tend to be macro rather than fundamental.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into CSCO?

RICH

At today's price, Cisco Systems, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 24.1% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 9.40% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 2.4% a year, so the market is asking for 21.8 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis CSCO looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
24.1%
Historical FCF CAGR
2.4%
Growth gap
+21.8 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
9.40%
Beta
0.94

Behaviour On Record

What CSCO's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
23.9% 65th pct
Below its peak
-15.7%
vs 200-day average
+13.9%
Up days (1y)
53%

Cisco Systems, Inc. is currently running 23.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against CSCO's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 65th percentile a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 20.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

CSCO is trading -15.7% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -18.0%, and the deepest was -37.8% in 2022. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +13.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 81st percentile a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year CSCO closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, CSCO finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +0.8% and an average of -0.5%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +3.8% on average, its weakest September at -0.5%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: CSCO has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 25 of 3,267 sessions (0.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +4.7% and -5.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, CSCO moved an average of 5.3% in the session after earnings, closing higher 0 of those 3 times, with a median move of -5.5% and a largest of -5.7%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-20 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against CSCO's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of CSCO's sector?

Cisco Systems, Inc. sits in the Technology sector, currently ranked 1st of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).

Sector rank
#1 of 11
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
90

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for CSCO?

CallsPuts

For Cisco Systems, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-25, 5 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.45), with at-the-money implied volatility around 33.2%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±3.8% move by that expiry — a range of about $106.15–$114.58.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-25)
0.45
ATM implied volatility
33.2%
Total open interest
13,866
Expected move by 2026-09-25
±3.8% ($106.15–$114.58)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on CSCO?

Deutsche Bank most recently initiated coverage on Cisco Systems, Inc. to Buy on Sep 1, 2026 with a price target of $135. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bearish lean.

Latest action
Deutsche BankBuy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
1
Net rating momentum
-1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 1, 2026Deutsche BankInitiatedHold → Buy$135
Aug 14, 2026HSBCDowngradeBuy → Hold$137 → $120
Aug 13, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$132 → $138
Aug 13, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$125 → $140
Aug 13, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$121 → $123
Aug 13, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$130 → $150
Aug 13, 2026KeybancMaintainedOverweight$130 → $135
Aug 13, 2026RosenblattMaintainedBuy$150 → $165
Aug 13, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$130 → $135
Jun 25, 2026KeybancMaintainedOverweight$125 → $130
Jun 12, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$120 → $130
Jun 8, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$135 → $150

CSCO Competitive Positioning

Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) is tracked alongside these names in Communication Equipment on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.