ECL·Ecolab Inc.
ECL|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $2.18 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $2.08 | $2.09 | +0.5% |
| Q1'26 | $1.70 | $1.70 | +0.1% |
| Q4'25 | $2.07 | $2.08 | +0.6% |
| Q3'25 | $2.07 | $2.07 | -0.1% |
| Q2'25 | $1.90 | $1.89 | -0.3% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $4.8B | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $4.4B | $4.4B | -0.4% |
| Q1'26 | $4.0B | $4.1B | +0.9% |
| Q4'25 | $4.2B | $4.2B | -0.1% |
| Q3'25 | - | $4.2B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $4.0B | - |
ECL|Monthly Returns
Market Data
ECL Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 76.83B
- P/E ratio
- 36.3
- Day range
- $267.91 – $272.34
- News sentiment
- 52/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $324.95 (+20.7%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 32 analysts
Ecolab Inc. is trading in the lower half of its 52-week range with momentum still pointing lower. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Basic Materials tend to move together on rotation.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into ECL?
At today's price, Ecolab Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 23.4% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 8.00% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 8.8% a year, so the market is asking for 14.6 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis ECL looks priced above what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 23.4%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 8.8%
- Growth gap
- +14.6 pts
- Verdict
- RICH
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 8.00%
- Beta
- 0.71
Behaviour On Record
What ECL's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 18.6% 54th pct
- Below its peak
- -12.6%
- vs 200-day average
- -1.4%
- Up days (1y)
- 51%
Ecolab Inc. is currently running 18.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against ECL's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 54th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 17.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
ECL is trading -12.6% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -13.4%, and the deepest was -44.4% in 2022. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits -1.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 20th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year ECL closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 4 sessions into a falling streak.
On September specifically: over 13 years of records, ECL finished the month higher 4 of 13 times, with a median return of -0.9% and an average of -2.1%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +3.9% on average, its weakest September at -2.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: ECL has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 82 of 3,268 sessions (2.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.3% and -8.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, ECL moved an average of 3.4% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +2.3% and a largest of -4.0%.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-19 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against ECL's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of ECL's sector?
Ecolab Inc. sits in the Materials sector, currently ranked 7th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).
- Sector rank
- #7 of 11
- Sector state
- Lagging
- Sector rotation score
- 20
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on ECL?
Wells Fargo most recently reiterated its rating on Ecolab Inc. to Equal-Weight on Jul 30, 2026 with a price target of $295 (from $275). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.
- Latest action
- Wells Fargo — Equal-Weight
- 90-day upgrades
- 1
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- +1