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ECL·Ecolab Inc.

$269.41
-2.27 (-0.84%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$269.11-0.30 (-0.11%)
High
$272.34
Open
$269.97
Market Cap
76.83B
52W High
$310.00
Low
$267.91
P. Close
$269.41
P/E
36.30
52W Low
$243.15
Fwd P/E
28.65
DailyIQ Est.
$331.40
Inst. Ownership
36.7%
Short Interest
1.66%
Days to Cover
2.8
Technical Score (1D)
32
SELL
News Sentiment
52
MIXED
Ecolab’s director Eric Mark Green just increased his direct stake by 87 %, buying 3,690 shares for roughly $2.2 million at a price just above the close. The purchase signals insider confidence in the company’s near‑term prospects, especially across its four core segments—Global Water, Institutional & Specialty, Pest Elimination, and Life Sciences. Because the transaction is modest relative to ECL’s market cap, it does not alter the company’s guidance, but it does suggest management believes the current valuation underrepresents future growth. Over the next 1–10 trading days, this insider conviction could reinforce positive sentiment among investors, potentially smoothing short‑term volatility. Watch for any subsequent insider activity; a pattern of continued buying would strengthen the bullish narrative. Also monitor ECL’s upcoming earnings release for any updates on segment performance or strategic initiatives that could validate the director’s confidence. If earnings confirm robust growth in the Global Water and Life Sciences units, the market may interpret the insider purchase as a harbinger of sustained upside. Conversely, if earnings miss expectations, the recent buying could be viewed as a misstep, prompting a reassessment of the company’s outlook.
Earnings Summary
Ecolab Inc. is a global provider of water, hygiene, and infection prevention solutions, operating through four segments that serve manufacturing, healthcare, hospitality, and pest elimination markets. The company’s specialty‑chemical focus places it within the Basic Materials sector, where it competes on recurring service contracts and high‑margin product sales. In the most recent quarters, Ecolab reported Q4 2025 earnings of $2.08 per share and revenue of $4.19 billion, narrowly beating estimates, while Q1 2026 delivered $1.70 EPS and $4.07 billion in sales, a slight revenue decline from the prior quarter but still above the $4.03 billion forecast. The company’s EPS trend has been relatively flat, with Q2 2026 at $2.09 versus the $2.08 guidance, and revenue growth has decelerated from a 3.5% increase in Q3 2025 to a 1.0% decline in Q1 2026, indicating a modest slowdown in top‑line momentum. Historically, Ecolab has maintained a consistent earnings beat pattern, posting positive EPS surprises in three of the last four quarters, while revenue growth has remained steady at around 3% YoY for the past three years, underscoring a resilient business model. Recent news highlights a $0.73 per share cash dividend announced for October 2026, reflecting confidence in operating margins and cash‑flow generation; the dividend aligns with the company’s long‑standing payout trend and may reinforce investor sentiment. Additionally, the firm’s Q2 FY2026 earnings beat estimates and raised full‑year outlook signal robust demand for its water‑management and hygiene solutions, though broader sector softness has tempered stock performance. Investors should watch for the next earnings release to assess whether guidance remains flat or improves, as any deviation could alter the market’s perception of Ecolab’s growth trajectory, and monitor commodity cost trends that could pressure margins.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.63$1.78$1.94$2.09$2.25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$2.18 - -
Q2'26$2.08$2.09+0.5%
Q1'26$1.70$1.70+0.1%
Q4'25$2.07$2.08+0.6%
Q3'25$2.07$2.07-0.1%
Q2'25$1.90$1.89-0.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.9B$4.2B$4.4B$4.6B$4.9BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$4.8B - -
Q2'26$4.4B$4.4B-0.4%
Q1'26$4.0B$4.1B+0.9%
Q4'25$4.2B$4.2B-0.1%
Q3'25 - $4.2B -
Q2'25 - $4.0B -

Market Data

ECL Stock Snapshot

SELL32/100
$269.11$0.30 (0.1%)
Market cap
76.83B
P/E ratio
36.3
Day range
$267.91 – $272.34
News sentiment
52/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$324.95 (+20.7%)
Consensus
Buy · 32 analysts
52-week range+10.7% off low · -13.2% from high
$243.15$310.00
Price $269.11 DailyIQ Est. $331.40

Ecolab Inc. is trading in the lower half of its 52-week range with momentum still pointing lower. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Basic Materials tend to move together on rotation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into ECL?

RICH

At today's price, Ecolab Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 23.4% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 8.00% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 8.8% a year, so the market is asking for 14.6 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis ECL looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
23.4%
Historical FCF CAGR
8.8%
Growth gap
+14.6 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
8.00%
Beta
0.71

Behaviour On Record

What ECL's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
18.6% 54th pct
Below its peak
-12.6%
vs 200-day average
-1.4%
Up days (1y)
51%

Ecolab Inc. is currently running 18.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against ECL's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 54th percentile close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 17.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

ECL is trading -12.6% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -13.4%, and the deepest was -44.4% in 2022. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits -1.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 20th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year ECL closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 4 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, ECL finished the month higher 4 of 13 times, with a median return of -0.9% and an average of -2.1%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +3.9% on average, its weakest September at -2.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: ECL has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 82 of 3,268 sessions (2.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.3% and -8.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, ECL moved an average of 3.4% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +2.3% and a largest of -4.0%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-19 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against ECL's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of ECL's sector?

Ecolab Inc. sits in the Materials sector, currently ranked 7th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#7 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
20

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for ECL?

CallsPuts

For Ecolab Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 27 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.61), with at-the-money implied volatility around 26.3%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±6.6% move by that expiry — a range of about $257.74–$293.90.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.61
ATM implied volatility
26.3%
Total open interest
6,069
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±6.6% ($257.74–$293.90)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on ECL?

Wells Fargo most recently reiterated its rating on Ecolab Inc. to Equal-Weight on Jul 30, 2026 with a price target of $295 (from $275). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
Wells FargoEqual-Weight
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Jul 30, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$275 → $295
Jul 29, 2026MizuhoMaintainedOutperform$325 → $327
Jul 29, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedOutperform$345 → $360
Jul 29, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$295 → $305
Jul 17, 2026OppenheimerUpgradePerform → Outperform$320
Jul 9, 2026Deutsche BankMaintainedBuy$325 → $335
Jul 7, 2026RBC CapitalReiteratedOutperform$337
Jun 24, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$325 → $330
Jun 10, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$260 → $275
May 27, 2026UBSUpgradeNeutral → Buy$293 → $325
May 27, 2026RBC CapitalReiteratedOutperform$337
May 20, 2026JefferiesMaintainedBuy$352 → $345

ECL Competitive Positioning

Ecolab Inc. (ECL) is tracked alongside these names in Specialty Chemicals on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.