ET·Energy Transfer LP
ET|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $0.41 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $0.39 | $0.59 | +52.2% |
| Q4'25 | $0.38 | $0.25 | -34.1% |
| Q4'24 | $0.37 | $0.29 | -22.5% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $32.0B | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $29.1B | $34.3B | +18.0% |
| Q4'25 | $24.8B | $25.3B | +2.0% |
| Q4'24 | - | $19.5B | - |
ET|Monthly Returns
Market Data
ET Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 72.69B
- P/E ratio
- 13.7
- Day range
- $20.95 – $21.28
- News sentiment
- 77/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $24.58 (+16.2%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 32 analysts
Energy Transfer LP is consolidating: price is in the upper part of its 52-week range without a decisive push either way. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into ET?
At today's price, Energy Transfer LP needs to grow free cash flow about 11.3% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 6.62% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 51.1% a year, so the market is asking for 39.8 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis ET looks priced below what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- 11.3%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 51.1%
- Growth gap
- -39.8 pts
- Verdict
- CHEAP
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 6.62%
- Beta
- 0.72
Behaviour On Record
What ET's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 10.6% 2nd pct
- Below its peak
- -40.0%
- vs 200-day average
- +10.7%
- Up days (1y)
- 50%
Energy Transfer LP is currently running 10.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against ET's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 2nd percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 27.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
ET is trading -40.0% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -27.9%, and the deepest was -70.2% in 2016. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.
Price sits +10.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 74th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year ET closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.
On September specifically: over 13 years of records, ET finished the month higher 3 of 13 times, with a median return of -3.1% and an average of -4.5%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +11.6% on average, its weakest September at -4.5%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: ET has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 176 of 3,268 sessions (5.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +12.8% and -13.1%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-19 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against ET's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of ET's sector?
Energy Transfer LP sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 11th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).
- Sector rank
- #11 of 11
- Sector state
- Improving
- Sector rotation score
- 30
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on ET?
JP Morgan most recently reiterated its rating on Energy Transfer LP to Overweight on Sep 4, 2026 with a price target of $25 (from $24). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- JP Morgan — Overweight
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
ET Competitive Positioning
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