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GNRC·Generac Holdings Inc.

$198.42
-15.87 (-7.41%)
High
$215.78
Open
$211.47
Market Cap
12.84B
52W High
$297.27
Low
$197.20
P. Close
$198.42
P/E
49.74
52W Low
$134.80
Fwd P/E
16.52
DailyIQ Est.
$302.68
Inst. Ownership
35.4%
Short Interest
4.30%
Days to Cover
1.3
Technical Score (1D)
50
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
55
BULLISH
GNRC scores 50 on the 1D technical view with a NEUTRAL signal and mixed momentum. Price action is in a neutral range - the market is coiling, and neither side has been willing to push to a definitive break. Sentiment at 55 is diverging from the flat technical backdrop, removing sentiment as a directional catalyst for now. Consolidations like this are often a sign that the market is waiting for new information before committing capital in either direction. The range between $201.77 and $218.59 is well-defined. When this kind of compression resolves - particularly if it resolves with a gap or range-expansion bar - the follow-through tends to be more sustained than a typical breakout because of the energy that builds during the quiet phase. Coiled setups like this are as much about time as they are about price - the longer GNRC compresses between $201.77 and $218.59 without a catalyst, the more the eventual move tends to compensate. Watching for a volume spike on the actual break, rather than trying to anticipate direction from the shape of the range, has historically been the more reliable approach.
LOW TARGET
$215 +8.4%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$288 +45.0%
12 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$375 +89.0%
16 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$215.00 - $375.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
10/11/7/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$302.68 (+52.5%)
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Specialty Industrial Machinery
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Symbol
GNRC
Description
Generac Holdings Inc. is a global provider of energy technology solutions, primarily focused on backup power generation and energy management. The company's core business centers on the design, manufacture, and distribution of residential and commercial generators, including both standby and portable models. Generac also offers a suite of complementary products, such as smart home energy management devices, battery storage systems, and outdoor power equipment. Its diverse distribution network includes independent dealers, retailers, and e-commerce partners, enabling broad market reach. Founded in 1959, Generac holds a strong position in the market, providing critical power solutions and expanding into the growing smart home energy sector.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
32,974 shares
$7.3M
Taffe Norman PPresident Generac Home
Option Exercise150 shares2026-10-06
Taffe Norman PPresident Generac Home
Sell150 shares2026-10-06
Taffe Norman PPresident Generac Home
Option Exercise150 shares2026-10-06
Taffe Norman PPresident Generac Home
Option Exercise100 shares2026-10-05
Taffe Norman PPresident Generac Home
Option Exercise100 shares2026-10-05
67/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✕Revenue declining year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
38.3%
Net Margin
3.8%
Revenue CAGR
13.1%
Current Ratio
2.03x
Debt / Equity
0.46x
Return on Equity
6.1%
Earnings Summary
Generac Holdings Inc. is a global provider of energy technology solutions, focusing on backup power generation and energy management, with a strong presence in residential and commercial generators and smart home energy products. Operating within the specialty industrial machinery sector, the company benefits from growing demand for reliable power in data centers and renewable energy infrastructure. In the most recent two quarters, Generac reported EPS of $1.83 in Q3 2025 and $1.61 in Q4 2025, both below analyst expectations of $2.20 and $1.80 respectively, while revenue fell to $1.0915 billion from $1.1143 billion, marking a decline of 2.1% year‑over‑year. The company’s EPS trend has been volatile, with Q1 2026 EPS rising to $1.80 against an estimate of $1.33, and Q2 2026 EPS reaching $2.91 versus an estimate of $2.05, indicating a recent acceleration in profitability. Historically, Generac has posted consistent revenue growth, with a 5.8% YoY increase in Q1 2026, yet EPS has fluctuated, often missing estimates despite revenue gains. Recent news highlights a long‑term agreement to supply generators for Amazon data centers, a deal expected to bolster revenue and reinforce Generac’s position as a key infrastructure partner; analysts have upgraded the stock to overweight, citing robust revenue growth and an expanding renewable‑energy product portfolio.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.09$1.60$2.12$2.63$3.15Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$2.43 - -
Q2'26$2.05$2.91+41.8%
Q1'26$1.33$1.80+35.5%
Q4'25$1.80$1.61-10.8%
Q3'25$2.20$1.83-16.7%
Q2'25$1.32$1.65+24.6%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.0B$1.1B$1.2B$1.3B$1.4BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.4B - -
Q2'26$1.2B$1.2B-2.3%
Q1'26$1.1B$1.1B+0.7%
Q4'25$1.2B$1.1B-7.8%
Q3'25 - $1.1B -
Q2'25 - $1.1B -

Market Data

GNRC Stock Snapshot

NEUTRAL50/100
$198.42−$15.87 (7.4%)
Market cap
12.84B
P/E ratio
49.7
Day range
$197.20 – $215.78
News sentiment
55/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$287.78 (+45.0%)
Consensus
Buy · 30 analysts
52-week range+47.2% off low · -33.3% from high
$134.80$297.27
Price $198.42 DailyIQ Est. $302.68

Momentum has flattened on GNRC, leaving the next move dependent on news rather than the chart. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into GNRC?

RICH

At today's price, Generac Holdings Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 41.2% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 11.20% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 8.9% a year, so the market is asking for 32.3 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis GNRC looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
41.2%
Historical FCF CAGR
8.9%
Growth gap
+32.3 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
11.20%
Beta
1.31

Behaviour On Record

What GNRC's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
109.8% 99th pct
Below its peak
-57.8%
vs 200-day average
-0.4%
Up days (1y)
50%

Generac Holdings Inc. is currently running 109.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against GNRC's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 99th percentile — an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 36.3%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

GNRC is trading -57.8% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -33.4%, and the deepest was -74.1% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -0.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 38th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year GNRC closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 14 years of records, GNRC finished the month higher 11 of 14 times, with a median return of +6.1% and an average of +4.1%. Its strongest month historically has been June at +7.3% on average, its weakest March at -3.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: GNRC has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 259 of 3,268 sessions (7.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +34.2% and -12.7%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, GNRC moved an average of 1.5% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -0.2% and a largest of +2.8%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against GNRC's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of GNRC's sector?

Generac Holdings Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#8 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
36

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for GNRC?

CallsPuts

For Generac Holdings Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 2 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 1.98), with at-the-money implied volatility around 57.8%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±4.1% move by that expiry — a range of about $190.40–$206.66.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
1.98
ATM implied volatility
57.8%
Total open interest
10,526
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±4.1% ($190.40–$206.66)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on GNRC?

Piper Sandler most recently initiated coverage on Generac Holdings Inc. to Overweight on Oct 8, 2026 with a price target of $303. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
Piper Sandler — Overweight
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 8, 2026Piper SandlerInitiatedOverweight$303
Oct 8, 2026KeybancUpgradeSector Weight → Overweight$280
Oct 5, 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainedOverweight$333 → $297
Sep 30, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$300 → $232
Sep 30, 2026StifelMaintainedBuy$285 → $290
Sep 18, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$261 → $265
Sep 17, 2026Roth CapitalMaintainedNeutral$214 → $250
Sep 17, 2026Stephens & Co.ReiteratedOverweight$335
Sep 17, 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainedBuy$275 → $375
Sep 17, 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratedOverweight$333
Sep 17, 2026NeedhamReiteratedBuy$283
Aug 4, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$335 → $340

Peers & ETF holders

GNRC peers & ETF holders

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

55/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
MODERATELY BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
On October 9, 2026, Generac CEO Aaron Jagdfeld appeared on CNBC’s Power Lunch to discuss the company’s role in powering AI data centers amid a data center boom. He outlined the growing power demand from AI workloads and emphasized Generac’s expertise in providing reliable, scalable power solutions. The conversation underscored the company’s positioning to capture a share of the expanding data center market, suggesting a positive outlook for future revenue growth.
What did this article say?
Piper Sandler’s Dimple Gosai discussed Generac’s expanding role in the AI‑powered power sector during a CNBC interview. She highlighted the company’s data‑center construction wins and its strategic positioning to capture growing demand for renewable‑energy‑compatible backup solutions. Gosai underscored Generac’s robust pipeline and strong financials, reinforcing a bullish outlook for the firm.
What did this article say?
Generac Holdings announced a long‑term agreement to supply generators for Amazon data centers, driving the stock up roughly 30% since the announcement. The deal signals a substantial revenue boost and positions Generac as a key infrastructure partner for Amazon’s expanding cloud footprint. The market reaction reflects confidence in the contract’s durability and the company’s ability to scale production to meet Amazon’s demand.
What did this article say?
Piper Sandler initiated coverage of Generac Holdings (GNRC) on October 8, assigning an overweight rating and a $303 price target. The firm cited the company’s strong position in the backup power market and recent earnings growth as key drivers. The rating reflects confidence in GNRC’s ability to maintain its market share amid rising demand for renewable energy solutions. The announcement is expected to influence investor sentiment positively. No immediate operational changes were reported.
What did this article say?
KeyBanc Capital Markets upgraded Generac Holdings (GNRC) to an overweight rating on October 8, raising its price target to $280. The upgrade was driven by the company’s robust revenue growth and expanding product portfolio in the renewable energy sector. Analysts noted GNRC’s competitive advantage in the backup power market and its potential to capitalize on increasing demand for clean energy solutions. The rating change is expected to support positive market perception. No operational changes were disclosed.
What did this article say?
Piper Sandler’s analyst Dimple Gosai initiated coverage on Generac Holdings (GNRC) on October 8, assigning an Overweight rating. The firm announced a new price target of $303 per share, signaling confidence in the company’s future earnings. This move follows recent operational improvements and a favorable outlook for the renewable energy market, positioning GNRC for potential upside.
What did this article say?
The article examined Generac Holdings’ recent share price volatility and compared it to the company’s cash flow generation. Analysts noted that over the past three years the firm returned 105.4% in cash, suggesting strong free‑cash‑flow performance. A discounted cash‑flow model implied that the current stock price may be undervalued by roughly 20% relative to its cash‑flow capacity. The piece highlighted that the company’s high P/E ratio contrasts with its cash‑flow valuation, indicating a potential buying opportunity for value investors.
What did this article say?
Keybanc analyst Jeffrey D. Hammond upgraded Generac Holdings (GNRC) from Sector Weight to Overweight on October 8, citing confidence in the company’s performance and setting a $280 price target. The upgrade signals a positive outlook for GNRC’s earnings and market position, potentially supporting its stock price.
What did this article say?
Generac Holdings repeatedly outperformed earnings estimates in recent quarters, reinforcing a positive earnings outlook. Analysts have upgraded sentiment, reflected in a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) and a favorable Earnings ESP. The consistent beats have bolstered confidence in the company’s near‑term profitability and positioned GNRC favorably within the backup power sector. This trend supports a continued investment narrative centered on demand for backup power and energy technology. The company’s performance has not yet triggered a material upside but maintains a positive trajectory.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

50
NEUTRAL
Momentum rank against about 1,000 stocks and ETFs for this timeframe.
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $4.99B combined position · 10 adding, 14 trimming, 1 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
BlackRock, Inc.▲ Buy3,999,0446.67%$1.17B2026-08-07
Vanguard Group Inc▼ Sell6,586,77110.98%$898.24M2026-01-29
Invesco Ltd.▼ Sell1,703,9542.84%$498.93M2026-08-14
Geode Capital Management, LLC▲ Buy1,552,4012.59%$453.72M2026-08-12
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.▼ Sell957,0941.60%$280.25M2026-08-14
Morgan Stanley▲ Buy842,6251.41%$246.73M2026-08-13
Norges Bank▲ Buy748,3751.25%$219.13M2026-08-12
Bank of America Corp▼ Sell600,8741.00%$175.94M2026-08-14
Northern Trust Corp▼ Sell506,4670.84%$148.30M2026-08-13
AllianceBernstein L.P.▼ Sell600,8671.00%$117.37M2026-08-14
Coatue Management LLC• Hold390,5130.65%$114.35M2026-08-14
Goldman Sachs Group Inc▲ Buy254,4250.42%$74.50M2026-08-14
AQR Capital Management LLC▲ Buy255,8910.43%$74.09M2026-08-14
Wells Fargo & Company▼ Sell235,3690.39%$68.92M2026-08-14
JPMorgan Chase & Co▼ Sell238,2160.40%$68.39M2026-08-12
Prudential Financial Inc▲ Buy221,4930.37%$64.86M2026-08-12
Gotham Asset Management, LLC▼ Sell185,8620.31%$54.42M2026-08-14
Neuberger Berman Group LLC▲ Buy163,4320.27%$47.85M2026-08-13
Loomis Sayles & Co L P▼ Sell131,8170.22%$38.60M2026-08-14
Two Sigma Investments, LP▼ Sell106,8490.18%$31.29M2026-08-14
Citadel Advisors LLC▼ Sell105,2820.18%$30.83M2026-09-02
Citigroup Inc▼ Sell102,9060.17%$30.13M2026-08-03
Millennium Management LLC▼ Sell97,4260.16%$28.53M2026-08-14
Squarepoint Ops LLC▲ Buy90,6600.15%$26.55M2026-08-14
Capital World Investors▲ Buy87,7280.15%$25.69M2026-08-12
Q2 2026 flow:997.7K sh bought ($291.90M)1.54M sh sold ($445.66M)net -545.4K sh (−$153.76M)
Congressional Trading Activity
4 disclosed trades · ~$32.0K est. traded value · 1 buys, 3 sells
MemberChamberStateTypeAmountTradedFiled
Rob BresnahanHousePA08▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-04-082025-04-28
Julie JohnsonHouseTX32▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-04-012025-05-14
Tommy TubervilleSenateAL▼ Sell$1K - $15K2022-03-302022-04-08
Tommy TubervilleSenateAL▲ Buy$1K - $15K2021-09-302021-10-15