DailyIQ
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Sector:IndustrialsAll sectors
Last updated 6 minutes ago

GNRC·Generac Holdings Inc.

$.
-. (-.%)
After Hours
High
$236.67
Open
$233.27
Market Cap
13.85B
52W High
$296.44
Low
$232.63
P. Close
$233.96
P/E
73.30
52W Low
$134.80
Fwd P/E
20.77
DailyIQ Est.
$301.20
Technical Score (1D)
50
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
51
MIXED
Generac’s shares fell sharply last trading session as part of a broader specialty industrial machinery sell‑off, even though the company released modestly positive guidance that analysts still view as a sign of robust near‑term earnings. The decline reflects sector weakness rather than a fundamental shift in GNRC’s business, but traders should keep an eye on the upcoming earnings report to confirm that the guidance holds up. In addition, any change in demand for backup power or data‑center solutions could quickly alter the stock’s trajectory, so monitoring those segments is key. Barclays has lifted its price target to $285 from $228, citing the company’s transition from validation to execution after securing its first hyperscaler contract. The upgrade comes alongside projections of $1 billion in 2027 data‑center revenue and a focus on expanding production capacity to meet growing demand for mission‑critical backup power. GNRC’s recent acquisition of a Belvidere, Illinois facility will boost megawatt‑generator packaging capacity, with operations slated to begin in Q1 2027 and complement its Enercon Engineering purchase. The new plant is expected to create over 100 jobs and support the broader growth strategy, reinforcing the company’s ability to scale in the data‑center market. These developments suggest that the company is moving from proof‑of‑concept to full execution, which could mitigate the current sell‑off if the execution plays out as projected. Traders should watch the Q1 2027 launch, the company’s earnings confirmation, and any shifts in data‑center demand or backup‑power requirements over the next 1–10 trading days.
Earnings Summary
Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC) is a global provider of energy technology solutions, focusing on backup power generation and energy management, with a core portfolio of residential and commercial generators, smart home devices, battery storage, and outdoor power equipment, positioning it within the specialty industrial machinery sector of the broader industrials landscape. In the most recent two quarters, Q4 2025 and Q1 2026, the company posted EPS of $1.61 and $1.80, respectively, compared to estimates of $1.80 and $1.33, indicating a miss in Q4 2025 but a beat in Q1 2026; revenue in those quarters was $1.09 billion and $1.06 billion versus estimates of $1.18 billion and $1.05 billion, reflecting a decline from the $1.11 billion top line in Q3 2025 and a modest rebound from the $0.94 billion in Q1 2025, with EPS growth accelerating in Q1 2026 after a downward trend in Q4 2025. Historically, GNRC has delivered mixed earnings beats, with EPS exceeding estimates in Q4 2024, Q1 2025, and Q2 2025, but falling short in Q3 2025 and Q4 2025, while revenue has shown a peak in Q4 2024, a sharp dip in Q1 2025, a gradual recovery through Q3 2025, and a slight contraction thereafter, suggesting a volatile top‑line trajectory that has not yet translated into consistent EPS growth. Recent corporate developments include the promotion of Niccolò Borracchini to Executive Vice President – International, signaling a strategic push into international commercial and industrial markets, and a new manufacturing facility in Illinois aimed at expanding domestic capacity and potentially tightening margins; analyst upgrades from Citigroup, UBS, and Barclays to neutral or bullish ratings with raised price targets underscore confidence in the company’s earnings outlook amid growing demand for backup power and renewable infrastructure, while the acquisition of a hyperscale data‑center supply agreement positions GNRC within the digital economy power supply chain. Investors should watch for guidance on the impact of the expanded international footprint and the Illinois plant on future revenue and margins, monitor commodity price sensitivity that could affect demand for generators, and keep an eye on regulatory shifts in renewable energy and data‑center infrastructure that may influence the company’s growth trajectory in the coming quarters.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.78$1.18$1.58$1.98$2.38Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$2.00 - -
Q1'26$1.33$1.80+35.5%
Q4'25$1.80$1.61-10.8%
Q3'25$2.20$1.83-16.7%
Q2'25$1.32$1.65+24.6%
Q1'25$0.97$1.26+30.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$903M$988M$1.1B$1.2B$1.2BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$1.2B - -
Q1'26$1.1B$1.1B+0.7%
Q4'25$1.2B$1.1B-7.8%
Q3'25 - $1.1B -
Q2'25 - $1.1B -
Q1'25 - $942M -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

GNRC Stock Snapshot

GNRC is currently trading at $234.40, giving Generac Holdings Inc. a market cap of 13.85B and a P/E ratio of 73.3. Today's range spans $232.63–$236.67, with shares opening at $233.27 and moving up $0.44 (0.2%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 50/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 51/100.

Over the past year GNRC has traded between $134.80 and $296.44 - the current price is +73.9% off the 52-week low and -20.9% from the high. 29 analysts cover the stock with a Strong Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $290.27 (range $212.00–$338.00), implying upside of +23.8%.

Volatility for GNRC is compressed - a HOLD signal (50/100) with neutral sentiment (51/100) at $234.40 (in the middle of its 52-week range) in a large-cap Industrials name (13.85B market cap) is the kind of setup where realized volatility undershoots implied. The current P/E ratio stands at 73.3. Annual range: $134.80–$296.44. That compression typically resolves with a sharp directional move - the question is timing and catalyst, not direction, because HOLD signals at this scale don't stay neutral indefinitely.

The 52-week range of $134.80–$296.44 for GNRC provides the structural reference that options traders, systematic funds, and discretionary managers all anchor to — and at $234.40 (in the middle of its 52-week range), the stock sits in a zone where the next 5–10% move will likely define which crowd was right. A HOLD signal at 50/100 and neutral news backdrop (51/100) don't break the tie yet, but they narrow the probability distribution toward the upside.