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HEI·Heico Corporation

$297.38
-6.37 (-2.10%)
High
$305.12
Open
$304.25
Market Cap
37.31B
52W High
$376.86
Low
$295.17
P. Close
$297.38
P/E
44.02
52W Low
$256.11
Fwd P/E
42.19
DailyIQ Est.
$410.90
Inst. Ownership
1.0%
Short Interest
2.55%
Days to Cover
5.5
Technical Score (1D)
14
SELL
News Sentiment
49
MIXED
Guggenheim has just begun coverage of HEICO (HEI) and issued a neutral rating, noting that the company’s average analyst rating remains overweight with a mean price target of about $399. This new coverage signals that, at present, no clear upside or downside catalyst has emerged for the next trading week. Earlier in the day, Melius Research downgraded HEICO to Hold from Buy, arguing that commercial‑aviation aftermarket growth is likely to slow to high single‑digit rates next year. The downgrade reflects a broader sector sell‑off, with several peers also trimmed, and may prompt investors to reassess HEICO’s revenue prospects. The juxtaposition of a neutral stance from Guggenheim and a downgrade from Melius creates uncertainty about the company’s near‑term trajectory. For the next 1–10 trading days, the market will likely weigh the potential impact of a slower aftermarket on HEICO’s earnings growth, especially as the company’s revenue mix is heavily tied to aviation maintenance. Watch for any earnings guidance or updates on aftermarket demand that could clarify whether the slowdown is temporary or structural. Additionally, monitor sector‑wide sentiment, as a broader aerospace sell‑off could amplify pressure on HEICO’s valuation.
Earnings Summary
Heico Corporation is a diversified provider of products and services for the aerospace, defense, and electronics industries, with a focus on aftermarket solutions for aircraft components and specialized electronic systems for defense and industrial applications. Operating both domestically and internationally, the company’s Flight Support Group and Electronic Technologies Group serve commercial, regional, and general aviation markets, positioning Heico as a critical supplier in the aerospace and defense sector. In Q4 2024, Heico reported EPS of $1.20 versus an estimate of $0.95, and revenue of $1.03 billion, indicating a solid earnings beat and a modest revenue increase from prior periods. The company’s Q1 2026 EPS of $1.35 slightly exceeded the $1.29 estimate, while revenue of $1.18 billion fell marginally below the $1.18 billion estimate, suggesting a slight revenue slowdown but continued earnings strength. In Q3 2026, EPS rose to $1.67 against an estimate of $1.51, and revenue reached $1.41 billion versus an estimate of $1.36 billion, reflecting a rebound in top‑line growth and a continued earnings beat pattern. Over the past four quarters, Heico has consistently outperformed analyst EPS estimates, with three of the last four quarters showing a beat, while revenue growth has remained positive but has fluctuated between modest increases and slight declines. Historically, the company has maintained a YoY revenue growth trajectory of roughly 5–7% in recent years, with EPS growth outpacing revenue growth, indicating effective cost management and margin expansion. Recent news highlights Heico’s strategic acquisitions of CalRamic Technologies and Cook Defense Systems, which are expected to broaden its aftermarket and defense footprint; Deutsche Bank’s recent upgrade to a $421 price target underscores confidence in the company’s earnings trajectory and competitive positioning. Investors should watch the upcoming Q3 earnings release for guidance on revenue and EPS growth, integration progress of the new acquisitions, and any potential margin compression, as these factors will be key to assessing the sustainability of the company’s recent earnings momentum.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.84$1.08$1.31$1.54$1.78Q4'24Q1'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.51$1.67+10.6%
Q1'26$1.29$1.35+4.5%
Q4'24$0.95$1.20+26.1%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$973M$1.1B$1.2B$1.3B$1.5BQ4'24Q1'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.4B$1.4B+4.1%
Q1'26$1.2B$1.2B-0.1%
Q4'24 - $1.0B -

Market Data

HEI Stock Snapshot

SELL14/100
$297.38$6.37 (2.1%)
Market cap
37.31B
P/E ratio
44.0
Day range
$295.17 – $305.12
News sentiment
49/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$396.55 (+33.3%)
Consensus
Buy · 30 analysts
52-week range+16.1% off low · -21.1% from high
$256.11$376.86
Price $297.38 DailyIQ Est. $410.90

HEI's technical picture is under pressure, with momentum working against price. In Industrials, names this size usually take direction from sector flows before company-level news.

Behaviour On Record

What HEI's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
26.8% 59th pct
Below its peak
-20.7%
vs 200-day average
-8.0%
Up days (1y)
49%

Heico Corporation is currently running 26.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against HEI's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 59th percentile close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 24.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

HEI is trading -20.7% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -17.9%, and the deepest was -52.5% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -8.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 8th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year HEI closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 14 years of records, HEI finished the month higher 7 of 14 times, with a median return of -0.8% and an average of -2.1%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +7.5% on average, its weakest March at -3.5%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: HEI has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 116 of 3,268 sessions (3.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.0% and -5.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-16 and 2026-09-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against HEI's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of HEI's sector?

Heico Corporation sits in the Technology sector, currently ranked 6th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging). Within its narrower Semiconductors industry group, HEI ranks 13th of 15 tracked industries, lagging.

Sector rank
#6 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
50
Industry rank
#13 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for HEI?

CallsPuts

For Heico Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 3 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.38), with at-the-money implied volatility around 56.9%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±4.4% move by that expiry — a range of about $283.84–$309.98.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.38
ATM implied volatility
56.9%
Total open interest
538
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±4.4% ($283.84–$309.98)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on HEI?

Guggenheim most recently initiated coverage on Heico Corporation to Neutral on Sep 15, 2026. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
GuggenheimNeutral
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 15, 2026GuggenheimInitiatedNeutral-
Sep 2, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$370 → $365
Aug 28, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$429 → $441
Aug 27, 2026JefferiesMaintainedBuy$425 → $430
Aug 27, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$382 → $396
Aug 19, 2026Deutsche BankMaintainedBuy$403 → $421
Aug 13, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$410 → $429
Jul 1, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$403 → $410
Jun 1, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$371 → $390
Jun 1, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$323 → $403
Jun 1, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$290 → $350
May 29, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$375 → $390

HEI Competitive Positioning

Heico Corporation (HEI) is tracked alongside these names in Aerospace & Defense on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.