HIG·The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

20.5% 58th pct

Below its peak

-11.4%

vs 200-day average

-4.8%

Up days (1y)

50%

The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. is currently running 20.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against HIG's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 58th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 19.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

HIG is trading -11.4% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -14.5%, and the deepest was -55.9% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits -4.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 15th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year HIG closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, HIG finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.1% and an average of +1.0%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.6% on average, its weakest September at -0.8%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: HIG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 110 of 3,266 sessions (3.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.0% and -13.4%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, HIG moved an average of 1.2% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +1.2% and a largest of +1.4%.

All figures computed from 3,267 daily closes between 2013-10-14 and 2026-10-09, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against HIG's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.