DailyIQ
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Sector:Financial ServicesAll sectors
Last updated 4 minutes ago

HIG·The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc.

$.
+. (+.%)
After Hours
High
$138.97
Open
$138.47
Market Cap
38.04B
52W High
$144.50
Low
$137.24
P. Close
$138.78
P/E
9.37
52W Low
$119.61
Fwd P/E
9.94
DailyIQ Est.
$149.09
Technical Score (1D)
77
BUY
News Sentiment
70
BULLISH
Evercore lifted HIG’s price target to $146 while keeping its rating in‑line, signaling modest upside potential based on the company’s current fundamentals. Jefferies followed suit, raising its target to $142 and underscoring confidence in underwriting performance and capital strength. Wells Fargo upgraded HIG to Overweight and pushed its target to $165, reflecting expectations of stronger earnings momentum in the core property‑and‑casualty business. Implied volatility for HIG options has surged, indicating growing uncertainty among traders and the potential for amplified price swings in the near term. Cantor Fitzgerald maintained an Overweight stance and nudged its target to $158, citing attractive risk‑adjusted returns amid a stable claims environment. Mizuho’s Outperform rating, with a target of $163, highlights optimism about profit margins and capital adequacy, suggesting a bullish outlook for the next few weeks. These upward revisions collectively suggest that analysts expect earnings growth and a favorable risk‑return profile, which could support a rally in the next 1–10 trading days. Traders should monitor the upcoming Q2 2026 earnings release for guidance on premium growth, loss ratios, and capital allocation, as any deviation from expectations could quickly alter sentiment. Additionally, keep an eye on regulatory capital updates for the property‑and‑casualty sector, as changes could impact HIG’s underwriting strategy and valuation.
Earnings Summary
The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. (HIG) is a diversified insurance and financial services provider operating across the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally, offering property and casualty coverage, employee benefits, and mutual fund management through its Hartford Funds segment. As a core player in the insurance‑diversified sector, HIG relies on a multi‑channel distribution model that includes direct sales, independent agents, and brokers. In the most recent four quarters, HIG’s earnings have shown a clear upward trajectory: Q1 2025 EPS rose to $2.20 from $2.14 in Q4 2024, Q2 2025 EPS climbed to $3.41, Q3 2025 EPS reached $3.78, and Q4 2025 EPS surged to $4.06, all beating analyst estimates and reflecting stronger underwriting results; revenue grew from $6.81 B in Q1 2025 to $7.23 B in Q3 2025 before falling to $5.22 B in Q4 2025, indicating a sharp decline in the final quarter despite the EPS gain. Historically, HIG has maintained a streak of earnings beats, with five of the last six quarters exceeding expectations, while revenue growth has been uneven, peaking in Q3 2025 and contracting in Q4 2025, a pattern that has persisted since the 2024‑2025 fiscal year. Recent analyst commentary underscores this trend: Mizuho and Keefe, Bruyette & Woods have both raised price targets to $163 and $143 respectively, citing improved underwriting and capital strength, yet Goldman Sachs and Barclays have trimmed targets amid concerns over potential earnings dips, highlighting market sensitivity to near‑term guidance. Investors should watch for the Q2 2026 earnings release, where EPS guidance is expected to decline, and for any updates on regulatory capital changes or macro‑economic factors such as interest‑rate movements that could affect underwriting margins. Key will be how the company’s guidance aligns with the mixed analyst sentiment and whether it can sustain its EPS momentum while addressing the revenue contraction seen in Q4 2025.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.86$2.48$3.10$3.73$4.35Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$3.17 - -
Q1'26$3.39$3.09-8.8%
Q4'25$3.25$4.06+25.0%
Q3'25$3.21$3.78+17.6%
Q2'25$2.83$3.41+20.4%
Q1'25$2.15$2.20+2.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$4.7B$5.5B$6.2B$7.0B$7.7BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$7.4B - -
Q1'26$7.3B$5.1B-30.7%
Q4'25$7.4B$5.2B-29.2%
Q3'25 - $7.2B -
Q2'25 - $7.0B -
Q1'25 - $6.8B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

HIG Stock Snapshot

HIG is currently trading at $138.97, giving The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. a market cap of 38.04B and a P/E ratio of 9.4. Today's range spans $137.24–$138.97, with shares opening at $138.47 and moving up $0.19 (0.1%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 77/100 (BUY) with a news sentiment reading of 70/100.

Over the past year HIG has traded between $119.61 and $144.50 - the current price is +16.2% off the 52-week low and -3.8% from the high. 31 analysts cover the stock with a Hold consensus and a mean 12-month target of $147.90 (range $135.00–$163.00), implying upside of +6.4%.

Relative strength is the story for The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. (HIG) in Financial Services right now. Technical score 77/100 (BUY), sentiment bullish at 70/100, price $138.97 (in the upper portion of its 52-week range). The current P/E ratio stands at 9.4. The 38.04B market cap keeps this name on institutional screens, and the bullish setup means sector rotation inflows from Financial Services have a natural landing spot here. Annual range: $119.61–$144.50.

The combination of a BUY signal (77/100) and bullish news sentiment (70/100) puts HIG on the screens of active managers who run quality-momentum overlays — a cohort that can build meaningful positions at 38.04B in Financial Services market cap without immediately moving the stock. At $138.97 (in the upper portion of its 52-week range in the $119.61–$144.50 range), the entry discipline is clean and the potential re-rating if sentiment continues to improve is meaningful.