HOOD·Robinhood Markets Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

44.8% 17th pct

Below its peak

-27.4%

vs 200-day average

+17.7%

Up days (1y)

47%

Robinhood Markets Inc. is currently running 44.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against HOOD's own 5 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 17th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 60.3%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

HOOD is trading -27.4% below its running peak. Across 4 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -44.4%, and the deepest was -63.1% in 2022. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +17.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 54th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year HOOD closed higher on 47% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 6 years of records, HOOD finished the month higher 3 of 6 times, with a median return of +2.2% and an average of +0.9%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +18.8% on average, its weakest April at -5.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: HOOD has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 102 of 1,309 sessions (7.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.7% and -9.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, HOOD moved an average of 2.3% in the session after earnings, closing higher 0 of those 3 times, with a median move of -1.7% and a largest of -3.9%.

All figures computed from 1,310 daily closes between 2021-07-29 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against HOOD's own 5-year history, not a peer group or index.