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KDP·Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.

$30.95
-0.48 (-1.53%)
After Hours
High
$31.69
Open
$31.24
Market Cap
42.97B
52W High
$33.82
Low
$30.76
P. Close
$30.95
P/E
30.12
52W Low
$24.87
Fwd P/E
12.40
DailyIQ Est.
$37.18
Inst. Ownership
71.4%
Short Interest
5.45%
Days to Cover
8.5
Technical Score (1D)
50
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
63
BULLISH
Keurig Dr Pepper’s board just declared a $0.23 quarterly cash dividend, payable October 9, 2026, underscoring the company’s confidence in its cash‑flow generation and providing a steady return stream that may support the share price over the next few trading days. The dividend is consistent with KDP’s long‑term policy, suggesting management sees no immediate need to divert capital elsewhere, which could keep earnings per share stable as the company moves toward its planned split. The split into a beverage‑focused entity and a global coffee business is already underway, with the JDE Peet’s acquisition completed and the separation slated for early 2027. Bank of America’s sum‑of‑the‑parts analysis projects a 21 % upside, valuing the beverage arm at roughly $31 per current share, while the coffee business could add further upside. This structural change should lift valuation multiples for the higher‑margin beverage side and may prompt a re‑rating of the combined entity in the near term. In parallel, KDP’s $925 million sale of its Chobani stake and an Allentown facility has reduced debt and improved interest coverage, freeing capital for refinancing and the split. The proceeds also signal a strategic focus on core brands, which could enhance long‑term earnings quality. The company’s Q2 international sales grew 12.4 % YoY, driven by volume and price gains in Mexico and Canada, but operating income remained flat due to green‑coffee inflation, a beverage tax, and marketing spend. This mix of growth and cost pressure will be a key factor in the next earnings release. Insider activity has been modest, with a senior VP selling 9,500 shares at $32.70, a price close to the market close, indicating no immediate change in sentiment. Traders should watch the timing of the split announcement, the completion of the asset sale, and the Q3 earnings for guidance on margin expansion and debt repayment. The interplay of a steady dividend, a value‑unlocking split, and a debt‑reduction transaction will shape KDP’s valuation trajectory over the next 1–10 trading days.
Earnings Summary
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) is a leading beverage and single‑serve brewing company that sells a broad portfolio of branded beverages, concentrates, and brewing systems, including K‑Cup pods, across the U.S. and internationally. Operating in the consumer defensive sector, KDP’s business spans U.S. Refreshment Beverages, U.S. Coffee, and International divisions, positioning it to capture both coffee‑drinking and broader beverage consumers. In the last two quarters, KDP posted EPS of $0.57 in Q4 2024 and $0.42 in Q1 2025, both beating estimates, while revenue rose to $4.07 bn and $3.64 bn respectively, reflecting a modest YoY decline in Q1 but a rebound in Q2 2025 to $4.16 bn. The company has consistently beat earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, with revenue growth accelerating from $3.64 bn in Q1 2025 to $4.30 bn in Q4 2025, a 18% YoY increase, and maintaining a strong margin profile despite cost pressures. Historically, KDP has shown a steady YoY revenue growth trajectory, with notable beats in EPS even when revenue growth slowed, indicating disciplined cost management. Recent news highlights a 12.4% YoY net‑sales lift in the international segment driven by volume‑mix and price gains, yet operating income remained flat due to green‑coffee inflation, a Mexican beverage tax, and higher marketing spend. The company also completed a $925 million divestiture of its Chobani stake and a manufacturing facility to reduce debt ahead of a planned split into coffee and beverage entities. Investors should watch for guidance updates that may reflect how the proceeds are allocated, whether toward further cost discipline or new product launches, and monitor Mexico’s beverage tax policy and green‑coffee price trends, as these factors could quickly erode recent sales momentum.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.34$0.42$0.50$0.58$0.66Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.62 - -
Q2'26$0.54$0.57+5.0%
Q1'26$0.38$0.39+3.8%
Q4'25$0.43$0.60+40.9%
Q3'25$0.54$0.54+0.4%
Q2'25$0.49$0.49+1.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.3B$4.5B$5.6B$6.8B$7.9BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$7.4B - -
Q2'26$7.3B$7.3B-0.0%
Q1'26$3.9B$4.0B+2.5%
Q4'25$3.8B$4.5B+17.5%
Q3'25 - $4.3B -
Q2'25 - $4.2B -

Market Data

KDP Stock Snapshot

HOLD50/100
$30.95+$0.00 (0.0%)
Market cap
42.97B
P/E ratio
30.1
Day range
$30.76 – $31.69
News sentiment
63/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$36.21 (+17.0%)
Consensus
Buy · 26 analysts
52-week range+24.4% off low · -8.5% from high
$24.87$33.82
Price $30.95 DailyIQ Est. $37.18

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is consolidating: price is in the middle of its 52-week range without a decisive push either way. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into KDP?

FAIR

At today's price, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 9.8% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 6.32% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 8.3% a year, so the market is asking for 1.5 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis KDP looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.

Implied FCF growth
9.8%
Historical FCF CAGR
8.3%
Growth gap
+1.5 pts
Verdict
FAIR
Discount rate (WACC)
6.32%
Beta
0.49

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of KDP's sector?

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 6th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#6 of 11
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
60

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for KDP?

CallsPuts

For Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 0 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.14), with at-the-money implied volatility around 73.4%.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.14
ATM implied volatility
73.4%
Total open interest
34,215

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on KDP?

Argus Research most recently reiterated its rating on Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. to Buy on Sep 15, 2026 with a price target of $36. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 2 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
Argus ResearchBuy
90-day upgrades
2
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+2
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 15, 2026Argus ResearchReiteratedBuy$36
Aug 13, 2026HSBCUpgradeHold → Buy$40
Aug 10, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$36 → $38
Aug 7, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$38 → $39
Aug 7, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$30 → $32
Jul 23, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$33 → $38
Jul 16, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$34 → $38
Jul 14, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$32 → $37
Jun 25, 2026BarclaysUpgradeEqual-Weight → Overweight$30 → $36
Jun 12, 2026BernsteinInitiatedOutperform$38
Jun 11, 2026BernsteinInitiatedOutperform$38
Apr 27, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$28 → $30

KDP Competitive Positioning

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) is tracked alongside these names in Beverages - Non-Alcoholic on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.