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KDP·Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.

$36.59
-0.30 (-0.81%)
High
$37.09
Open
$35.81
Market Cap
50.25B
52W High
$37.89
Low
$35.62
P. Close
$36.59
P/E
30.51
52W Low
$24.87
Fwd P/E
14.56
DailyIQ Est.
$37.94
Inst. Own.
94.8%
Short Interest
6.10%
Days to Cover
7.1
Div. Yield
2.50%
Next Ex-Div
~Dec 28
Div. Growth
5+ yrs
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Nov 3, 2026tone +8.8 vs prior release · 97 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
61
BULLISH
News Sentiment
67
BULLISH
On Nov 6, analysts raised Keurig Dr Pepper’s price targets to the US$38‑US$41 range, reflecting confidence that the company can navigate challenges in the coffee segment and benefit from projected beverage growth. The upward revision was linked to expectations that the planned split into Global Coffee Co and Beverage Co, scheduled for early 2027, will unlock value for shareholders. The consensus view suggested a modest fair‑value lift for the stock, indicating a positive outlook without a material upside catalyst.
LOW TARGET
$29 -20.7%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$37 +1.0%
15 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$42 +14.8%
9 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$29.00 - $42.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
5/11/8/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$37.94 (+3.7%)
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Exchange
NMS
Country
United States
Symbol
KDP
Description
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) is a leading beverage and single-serve brewing company with a diverse portfolio of well-known brands sold in the U.S. and abroad. The company's operations are segmented into U.S. Refreshment Beverages, U.S. Coffee, and International divisions, encompassing a wide range of products. KDP's core business revolves around the manufacturing and distribution of branded beverages, concentrates, and brewing systems, including K-Cup pods and single-serve brewers. Its extensive brand portfolio includes popular names like Dr Pepper, 7UP, Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, and many more, reaching consumers through various retail channels, including supermarkets, online platforms, and direct-to-consumer sales via its website. Founded in 1981 and headquartered in Massachusetts, KDP strategically positions itself to meet evolving consumer preferences in the beverage market.
Bought (1Y)
7,862 shares
$250K
Sold (1Y)
94,470 shares
$2.9M
DRISCOLL BRIAN J-
Award/Grant2,752 shares2026-09-16
Alt Aaron E-
Award/Grant2,752 shares2026-09-16
Sandler Debra A.-
Option Exercise2,285 shares2026-09-14
Sandler Debra A.-
Option Exercise2,285 shares2026-09-14
Shoemaker AnthonyChief Legal Officer
Option Exercise785 shares2026-09-14
71/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
54.2%
Net Margin
12.5%
Revenue CAGR
6.5%
Current Ratio
0.64x
Debt / Equity
0.55x
Return on Equity
8.1%
Earnings Summary
In the most recent quarters, KDP’s earnings have shown a steady upward trajectory: Q1 2026 EPS of $0.39 beat the $0.3759 estimate, while Q2 2026 EPS of $0.57 surpassed the $0.53681 estimate; revenue in Q2 2026 ($7.309B) was slightly below the $7.311B estimate but still reflected a robust 75.6% year‑on‑year increase. Compared to the prior two quarters, Q3 2026 EPS of $0.66 exceeded the $0.625 estimate, and revenue of $7.344B beat the $7.33B forecast, underscoring a consistent pattern of EPS beats across the last four quarters. Historically, KDP has maintained double‑digit revenue growth year over year, with recent quarters showing a mix of EPS beats and modest misses, yet revenue consistently outpaces analyst expectations, indicating resilient top‑line performance. Recent news highlights the launch of the Keurig Alta System on Oct 31, featuring sustainable, plant‑based pods that could enhance coffee profitability and reinforce KDP’s sustainability narrative; this development aligns with the company’s strategy to counter rising input costs and thin margins in the U.S. coffee market.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.33$0.43$0.54$0.65$0.76Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$0.71 - -
Q3'26$0.63$0.66+5.6%
Q2'26$0.54$0.57+6.2%
Q1'26$0.38$0.39+3.8%
Q4'25$0.43$0.60+40.9%
Q3'25$0.54$0.54+0.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.2B$4.5B$5.8B$7.1B$8.4BQ3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$7.8B - -
Q3'26$7.4B$7.3B-0.8%
Q2'26$7.3B$7.3B-0.0%
Q1'26$3.9B$4.0B+2.5%
Q4'25$3.8B$4.5B+17.5%
Q3'25 - $4.3B -

Market Data

KDP Stock Snapshot

NEUTRAL61/100
$36.59−$0.30 (0.8%)
Market cap
50.25B
P/E ratio
30.5
Day range
$35.62 – $37.09
News sentiment
67/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$36.97 (+1.0%)
Consensus
Buy · 26 analysts
52-week range+47.1% off low · -3.4% from high
$24.87$37.89
Price $36.59 DailyIQ Est. $37.94

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is consolidating: price is near its 52-week high without a decisive push either way. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into KDP?

FAIR

At today's price, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 7.8% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 6.04% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 6.5% a year, so the market is asking for 1.3 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis KDP looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.

Implied FCF growth
7.8%
Growth trend
6.5%
Growth gap
+1.3 pts
Verdict
FAIR
Discount rate (WACC)
6.04%
Beta
0.49

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of KDP's sector?

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 2nd of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).

Sector rank
#2 of 12
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
73

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for KDP?

CallsPuts

For Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-11-20, 14 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.08).

Put/call ratio (2026-11-20)
0.08
Total open interest
24,908

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect KDP to earn?

Analysts expect Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. to earn $2.29 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $2.76 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2028, from 4 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Sep 2026$0.62$0.61 to $0.6415$7.33B13
Dec 2026$0.70$0.67 to $0.7215$7.71B12
Mar 2027$0.45$0.34 to $0.495--
Jun 2027$0.66$0.62 to $0.695~$7.84B-
Sep 2027$0.70$0.64 to $0.815~$8.32B-
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$2.29$2.25 to $2.3419$26.31B17
Dec 2027$2.53$2.42 to $2.5819$29.94B17
Dec 2028$2.76$2.73 to $2.774~$32.79B-

Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on KDP?

UBS most recently reiterated its rating on Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. to Buy on Nov 4, 2026 with a price target of $42 (from $39). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
UBS: Buy
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Nov 4, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$39 → $42
Nov 4, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$37 → $40
Nov 4, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$39 → $41
Nov 4, 2026TD CowenMaintainedHold$33 → $35
Nov 4, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$38 → $40
Nov 4, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$37 → $40
Nov 4, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$34 → $36
Oct 22, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$38 → $39
Sep 15, 2026Argus ResearchReiteratedBuy$36
Aug 13, 2026HSBCUpgradeHold → Buy$40
Aug 10, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$36 → $38
Aug 7, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$38 → $39

Earnings Release, Scored

What did Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.'s latest earnings release say?

Filed Nov 3, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Tone68.8/ 100+8.8 vs prior release
Hedging words0.93per 100 words+0.68 vs prior release
Tone, last 3 releasesScale 42–74

Most important lines

  1. 1

    Delivered Q3 Diluted EPS Increase of More Than 20%

    New this quarter
  2. 2

    Our more than 50,000 employees aim to enhance the experience of every beverage and coffee occasion while making a positive impact for people, communities and the planet.

    New this quarter
  3. 3

    This guidance now includes approximately $8.3-$8.4 billion in net sales and a 7 to 8 percentage point EPS growth contribution from the JDE Peet’s acquisition, as well as 3-5% constant currency EPS growth for KDP's legacy business, due to revised expectations for U.S. Coffee.

    New this quarter

Peers & ETF holders

KDP peers & ETF holders

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about KDP?

KDP rose 18.7% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 0 and 76 from Oct 7 to Oct 16, then jumped to 62 on Oct 19.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 6 to Nov 6
$30$35Oct 6Oct 7: tone 60Oct 8: tone 44Oct 9: tone 66Oct 12: tone 76Oct 13: tone 69Oct 14: tone 46Oct 15: tone 61Oct 16: tone 0Oct 19: tone 62Oct 20: tone 62Oct 21: tone 91Oct 22: tone 87Oct 23: tone 75Oct 26: tone 57Oct 27: tone 58Oct 28: tone 53Oct 29: tone 58Oct 30: tone 74Nov 2: tone 64Nov 3: tone 56Nov 4: tone 65Nov 5: tone 36Nov 6: tone 72Oct 6News toneNov 6123
  1. Nov 2 +3.7%same day: Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) to report earnings tomorrow: here is what to expect
  2. Nov 3 -6.6%same day: Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Q3 Earnings
  3. Nov 4 +5.9%same day: Keurig Dr Pepper: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors

Technical analysis

How strong is KDP's momentum right now?

On the daily chart KDP ranks at the 61st percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a neutral reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling KDP?

107 of the 200 tracked managers added to KDP in their latest 13F and 86 trimmed. Together they own 94.8% of the company, worth $42.6B. Fidelity and BlackRock alone hold 22.9%.

107adding86trimming7unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of KDP
  1. $5.6B positionAdded 18.4% last quarter
  2. $4.7B positionAdded 14.4% last quarter
  3. $3.9B positionAdded 19.9% last quarter
  4. $3.0B positionTrimmed 0.2% last quarter
  5. $2.8B positionAdded 0.7% last quarter
  6. $2.1B positionTrimmed 1.5% last quarter
  7. $2.1B positionAdded 1.2% last quarter
  8. $1.8B positionTrimmed 9.4% last quarter
  9. $1.5B positionAdded 59.8% last quarter
  10. $1.3B positionAdded 17.0% last quarter
Full holdings history

Congressional trading

Is Congress trading KDP?

6 members of Congress disclosed 10 KDP trades between Mar 22, 2019 and Mar 27, 2026: 6 buys and 4 sells, about $171.5K in estimated value.

BuysSells2020202220242026
BuySell$1K–$15K$15K–$50K$50K–$100K$100K–$250K

What stands out

Click one to highlight its trades in the chart

Discover more

How has KDP done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 6, KDP returned +29.2%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, none did better.

Change since May 6, through Nov 6
−40%−20%0%+20%+40%May 6JunJulAugSepOctNov 6KDP +29.2%PEP −9.2%