KHC·The Kraft Heinz Company
KHC|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $0.42 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $0.53 | $0.56 | +4.8% |
| Q1'26 | $0.51 | $0.58 | +14.2% |
| Q4'25 | $0.56 | $0.67 | +20.0% |
| Q3'25 | $0.58 | $0.61 | +5.8% |
| Q2'25 | $0.64 | $0.69 | +8.4% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $6.1B | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $6.2B | $6.3B | +1.2% |
| Q1'26 | $5.9B | $6.0B | +1.7% |
| Q4'25 | $5.9B | $6.4B | +7.3% |
| Q3'25 | - | $6.2B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $6.4B | - |
KHC|Monthly Returns
Market Data
KHC Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 28.97B
- Day range
- $24.15 – $24.79
- News sentiment
- 42/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $25.09 (+2.6%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 29 analysts
The Kraft Heinz Company is trading in the middle of its 52-week range with momentum still pointing lower. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Consumer Defensive tend to move together on rotation.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into KHC?
At today's price, The Kraft Heinz Company needs to grow free cash flow about -14.5% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 6.23% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 6.7% a year, so the market is asking for 21.3 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis KHC looks priced below what its own growth record supports.
- Implied FCF growth
- -14.5%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 6.7%
- Growth gap
- -21.3 pts
- Verdict
- CHEAP
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 6.23%
- Beta
- 0.50
Behaviour On Record
What KHC's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 23.4% 60th pct
- Below its peak
- -74.5%
- vs 200-day average
- +2.4%
- Up days (1y)
- 51%
The Kraft Heinz Company is currently running 23.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against KHC's own 11 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 60th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 20.9%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
KHC is trading -74.5% below its running peak. Across 10 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -26.3%, and the deepest was -48.3% in 2019. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.
Price sits +2.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 69th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year KHC closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 4 sessions into a rising streak.
On September specifically: over 12 years of records, KHC finished the month higher 5 of 12 times, with a median return of -0.6% and an average of -2.0%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +2.8% on average, its weakest August at -4.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: KHC has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 29 of 2,818 sessions (1.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.8% and -5.6%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, KHC moved an average of 2.5% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -2.4% and a largest of -3.7%.
All figures computed from 2,819 daily closes between 2015-07-06 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against KHC's own 11-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of KHC's sector?
The Kraft Heinz Company sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 6th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).
- Sector rank
- #6 of 11
- Sector state
- Improving
- Sector rotation score
- 60
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on KHC?
RBC Capital most recently initiated coverage on The Kraft Heinz Company to Outperform on Sep 17, 2026 with a price target of $32. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- RBC Capital — Outperform
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
