DailyIQ
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Sector:Consumer DefensiveAll sectors
Last updated 1 minute ago

KHC·The Kraft Heinz Company

$.
-. (-.%)
After Hours
High
$26.45
Open
$25.90
Market Cap
30.84B
52W High
$29.19
Low
$25.61
P. Close
$25.80
P/E
-
52W Low
$21.04
Fwd P/E
48.79
DailyIQ Est.
$21.58
Technical Score (1D)
82
BUY
News Sentiment
70
BULLISH
Kraft Heinz’s latest announcement is a multiyear partnership with Disney to supply its products at Disney properties across North America and to use Disney characters on select KHC goods, a move that immediately expands the company’s distribution footprint into a high‑traffic entertainment ecosystem. The deal is expected to boost brand visibility and potentially lift sales, but it also introduces licensing fee obligations that could affect margins, so investors should monitor the cost impact and consumer response to character‑branded items. Earlier this week, analysts highlighted that KHC’s unit sales have fallen 2 % year‑over‑year for two consecutive years and its operating margin dropped 25.1 percentage points last year, signaling a persistent demand weakness that could pressure earnings over the next 12 months. This backdrop raises the question of whether the Disney partnership can offset the broader sales decline, and whether the added licensing costs will erode the margin recovery. Watch how quickly Disney properties roll out the new KHC products, as a delayed launch could blunt the expected sales lift. Also keep an eye on consumer reception of the character‑branded items, which will determine whether the partnership translates into sustained demand. Pay attention to any adjustments in licensing fee terms that might surface as the partnership matures, as higher fees could offset the sales upside. Finally, the next earnings release will be the first opportunity to see whether the Disney collaboration has begun to materially influence KHC’s revenue and margin trajectory.
Earnings Summary
The Kraft Heinz Company, a global food and beverage giant headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, specializes in manufacturing and distributing a broad portfolio of consumer staples such as condiments, dairy, meals, and beverages under iconic brands like Kraft, Heinz, and Oscar Mayer. Operating within the highly competitive packaged foods sector, KHC relies on a multi‑channel distribution network that includes its own sales teams, brokers, and distributors to reach retail, foodservice, and e‑commerce outlets. In the most recent two quarters, the company reported Q4 2025 earnings of $0.67 per share and revenue of $6.354 billion, slightly lower than the $0.69 EPS and $6.352 billion revenue of Q2 2025, while Q1 2026 delivered $0.58 EPS and $6.047 billion revenue, a modest decline from the $0.61 EPS and $6.237 billion revenue of Q3 2025; nevertheless, all six quarters since Q4 2024 have exceeded consensus estimates, underscoring a consistent ability to beat guidance even as revenue growth has slowed. Historically, KHC has shown a YoY revenue contraction from $6.576 billion in Q4 2024 to $6.354 billion in Q4 2025, and EPS fell from $0.84 to $0.67, yet the company has maintained a pattern of earnings beats, reflecting disciplined cost management amid margin pressures. Recent analyst commentary highlights UBS’s upgrade of the price target to $25 on the back of operational improvements and a $600 million turnaround plan, while JPMorgan and BofA maintain underweight stances, signaling lingering concerns over margin expansion and capital deployment; the inclusion of KHC in the Russell 1000 Dynamic Index could also influence short‑term liquidity. Investors should watch the upcoming Q2 2026 earnings release on August 5, 2026, for guidance on margin expansion, the effectiveness of the turnaround investment, and any updates on product launches, as these factors will be pivotal in determining whether the company can sustain its earnings‑beat streak and justify the upgraded valuation.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.48$0.54$0.60$0.66$0.72Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$0.53 - -
Q1'26$0.51$0.58+14.2%
Q4'25$0.56$0.67+20.0%
Q3'25$0.58$0.61+5.8%
Q2'25$0.64$0.69+8.4%
Q1'25$0.60$0.62+3.1%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$5.9B$6.0B$6.1B$6.3B$6.4BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$6.2B - -
Q1'26$5.9B$6.0B+1.7%
Q4'25$5.9B$6.4B+7.3%
Q3'25 - $6.2B -
Q2'25 - $6.4B -
Q1'25 - $6.0B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

KHC Stock Snapshot

KHC is currently trading at $25.71, giving The Kraft Heinz Company a market cap of 30.84B. Today's range spans $25.61–$26.45, with shares opening at $25.90 and moving down $0.09 (0.3%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 82/100 (BUY) with a news sentiment reading of 70/100.

Over the past year KHC has traded between $21.04 and $29.19 - the current price is +22.2% off the 52-week low and -11.9% from the high. 29 analysts cover the stock with a Hold consensus and a mean 12-month target of $23.97 (range $19.00–$40.00), implying downside of -6.8%.

The Consumer Defensive sector has plenty of names, but KHC is one of the few right now where technical and sentiment data are both bullish. Score: 82/100 (BUY). Sentiment: bullish (70/100). Price: $25.71 (in the middle of its 52-week range). With 30.84B in market cap, this is the scale where fundamental thesis and technical setup reinforce rather than compete with each other. Annual range: $21.04–$29.19.

Earnings revision cycles in large-cap Consumer Defensive names tend to compound: when technicals confirm a BUY thesis (82/100) and news sentiment (70/100, bullish) supports the narrative, analyst upgrades follow price rather than lead it. At $25.71 (in the middle of its 52-week range), KHC's position within the $21.04–$29.19 annual range suggests there's room for multiple expansion before the stock encounters meaningful technical resistance.