DailyIQ
Last updated 1 hour ago

KMX·CarMax, Inc.

$.
+. (+.%)
High
$41.47
Open
$40.50
Market Cap
5.72B
52W High
$71.99
Low
$40.30
P. Close
$40.33
P/E
23.13
52W Low
$30.26
Fwd P/E
14.44
Mean Target
-
Technical Score (1D)
36
SELL
News Sentiment
53
MIXED
CarMax is seeing renewed investor interest driven by activist investor Starboard Value's operational initiatives. This comes amidst a generally stronger retail sector, though CarMax's one-year return remains significantly negative. The market is currently divided on whether the current stock price reflects an attractive entry point or if the turnaround is already fully priced in. Investors are closely watching to see if Starboard's influence can translate into sustained operational improvements. The ongoing debate centers on CarMax's intrinsic value and its ability to overcome persistent business strains. The next key development to monitor will be any concrete operational changes announced by Starboard and management.
Earnings Summary
CarMax is a leading U.S. retailer of used vehicles, operating through its CarMax Sales Operations and CarMax Auto Finance segments. The company offers a wide array of used cars, trucks, and hybrid/electric options, alongside financing services and extended protection plans, aiming to provide a streamlined customer experience in the used car market. CarMax's recent quarterly performance has been characterized by significant volatility and pressure on profitability. In Q1 2027, the company's actual EPS was not provided against an estimate of $0.94693, with revenue estimates at $7.45 billion. This follows Q4 2026, where actual EPS was $0.34 against an estimate of $0.21167, and revenue was $5.95 billion against an estimate of $5.73 billion, showing an EPS beat and a revenue beat. Prior to this, Q3 2026 saw actual EPS of $0.43 against an estimate of $0.18567, with revenue at $5.79 billion versus an estimate of $5.64 billion, indicating strong beats on both metrics. The trend over the last few quarters shows a pattern of EPS beats, particularly in the most recent periods, and revenue beats in the last two reported quarters, suggesting a recent improvement in meeting financial expectations after a period of misses. Historically, CarMax has faced challenges, with Q3 2025 EPS of $0.64 missing the estimate of $1.04233 and Q1 2025 EPS of $0.58 missing the estimate of $0.66158, indicating a prior period of underperformance against analyst expectations. Recent news indicates CarMax is implementing a turnaround strategy involving price reductions, which has led to a net loss and negatively impacted per-unit profitability, despite efforts to boost sales volume. Analysts remain cautious, with some maintaining "Underweight" ratings. The company reported a Q4 fiscal 2026 net loss and a significant goodwill impairment, with declining full-year net income. Investors are monitoring the effectiveness of pricing strategies and digital upgrades, as well as ongoing investment in expansion and capital returns. Key watch points for the next quarter include management's commentary on inventory levels, consumer demand for used vehicles, and the ongoing impact of pricing and affordability strategies on margins and sales volume.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.01$0.39$0.78$1.17$1.56Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$0.95 - -
Q4'26$0.21$0.34+60.6%
Q3'26$0.19$0.43+131.6%
Q4'25$0.32$0.43+36.1%
Q3'25$1.04$0.64-38.6%
Q2'25$1.17$1.38+18.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$5.4B$6.0B$6.6B$7.2B$7.8BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$7.5B - -
Q4'26$5.7B$5.9B+3.8%
Q3'26$5.6B$5.8B+2.7%
Q4'25 - $5.8B -
Q3'25 - $6.6B -
Q2'25 - $7.5B -

Market Data

KMX Stock Snapshot

KMX is currently trading at $41.28, giving CarMax, Inc. a market cap of 5.72B and a P/E ratio of 23.1. Today's range spans $40.30–$41.47, with shares opening at $40.50 and moving up $0.95 (2.4%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 36/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 53/100.

Over the past year KMX has traded between $30.26 and $71.99 - the current price is +36.4% off the 52-week low and -42.7% from the high.

The technical picture for CarMax, Inc. (KMX) isn't supportive right now: 36/100 (HOLD), sentiment neutral at 53/100, price $41.28 (in the lower half of its 52-week range). The current P/E ratio stands at 23.1. As a small-cap with 5.72B in Consumer Cyclical market cap, the thin float amplifies the signal - what looks like a modest negative technical reading can produce outsized drawdowns on low volume when buyers step back. Annual range: $30.26–$71.99.

The absence of strong institutional sponsorship makes KMX's HOLD signal (36/100) more consequential than the same signal in a larger name — at 5.72B in Consumer Cyclical market cap, there are fewer natural buyers to absorb selling pressure, which means the $30.26–$71.99 range's lower bound becomes a sharper test of the thesis. Sentiment at 53/100 (neutral) and price at $41.28 (in the lower half of its 52-week range) don't yet suggest stabilization is imminent.

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