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Last updated2 minutes ago

KO·The Coca-Cola Company

$88.14
+0.08 (+0.09%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$88.21+0.07 (+0.08%)
High
$88.29
Open
$87.80
Market Cap
378.90B
52W High
$92.49
Low
$87.50
P. Close
$88.14
P/E
26.47
52W Low
$65.35
Fwd P/E
25.03
DailyIQ Est.
$97.39
Inst. Ownership
40.5%
Short Interest
0.91%
Days to Cover
2.7
Technical Score (1D)
59
BUY
News Sentiment
74
BULLISH
Coca‑Cola’s latest announcement of a $10 billion U.S. infrastructure plan through 2030—spanning production, distribution and office expansion in eight states—marks the most significant capital allocation the company has made in recent years. The investment is aimed at tightening supply‑chain resilience and boosting operational efficiency, which should support the firm’s long‑term earnings trajectory and help sustain its defensive positioning in a volatile market. Over the next 1–10 trading days, the market will be watching the rollout schedule and early execution costs, as any delays or overruns could erode the anticipated margin lift. The plan also signals confidence in domestic demand, reinforcing the narrative that KO is betting on steady consumption rather than tariff‑driven growth. Earlier this week, KO posted a 7 % YoY sales increase to $13.4 billion and an 11 % EPS rise to $0.97, confirming that the company’s current operations are already delivering solid upside. Analysts have projected 9.7 % earnings growth for 2026 and 7 % for FY27, a forecast that dovetails with the new infrastructure spend and suggests a continued upward trajectory for the next few quarters. The $10 billion commitment also dovetails with the company’s long‑standing dividend policy, which remains unchanged and continues to attract income‑focused investors; this stability is likely to keep the stock appealing to risk‑averse portfolios. In addition, the recent recognition as International Dairy Queen’s U.S. Purchasing Vendor of the Year underscores KO’s robust supply‑chain relationships, though it carries no immediate financial impact. Going forward, traders should monitor the first tranche of facility openings, any cost‑control measures, and the company’s quarterly guidance for signs that the investment is translating into higher operating margins.
Earnings Summary

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.52$0.65$0.77$0.90$1.03Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.88 - -
Q2'26$0.96$0.97+1.0%
Q1'26$0.81$0.86+5.9%
Q4'25$0.84$0.58-30.6%
Q3'25$0.78$0.82+5.3%
Q2'25$0.84$0.87+3.9%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$11.6B$12.1B$12.7B$13.3B$13.8BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$13.3B - -
Q2'26$13.6B$13.4B-1.4%
Q1'26$12.2B$12.5B+2.0%
Q4'25$12.5B$11.8B-5.4%
Q3'25 - $12.4B -
Q2'25 - $12.6B -

Market Data

KO Stock Snapshot

HOLD59/100
$88.21+$0.07 (0.1%)
Market cap
378.90B
P/E ratio
26.5
Day range
$87.50 – $88.29
News sentiment
74/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$94.70 (+7.4%)
Consensus
Buy · 37 analysts
52-week range+35.0% off low · -4.6% from high
$65.35$92.49
Price $88.21 DailyIQ Est. $97.39

Neither side has the upper hand on KO right now, and the indicator set reflects that. A stock this widely held moves on consensus revisions more than on individual catalysts.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into KO?

RICH

At today's price, The Coca-Cola Company needs to grow free cash flow about 27.6% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 6.27% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 0.9% a year, so the market is asking for 26.7 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis KO looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
27.6%
Historical FCF CAGR
0.9%
Growth gap
+26.7 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
6.27%
Beta
0.34

Behaviour On Record

What KO's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
12.9% 43rd pct
Below its peak
-4.3%
vs 200-day average
+11.5%
Up days (1y)
53%

The Coca-Cola Company is currently running 12.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against KO's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 43rd percentile close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 13.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

KO is trading -4.3% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -13.7%, and the deepest was -36.1% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +11.5% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 95th percentile a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year KO closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, KO finished the month higher 5 of 13 times, with a median return of -1.5% and an average of -1.7%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +2.5% on average, its weakest September at -1.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: KO has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 20 of 3,268 sessions (0.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.2% and -4.3%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, KO moved an average of 1.3% in the session after earnings, closing higher 3 of those 3 times, with a median move of +1.0% and a largest of +2.3%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-19 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against KO's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of KO's sector?

The Coca-Cola Company sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 6th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#6 of 11
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
60

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for KO?

CallsPuts

For The Coca-Cola Company's nearest expiry (2026-09-25, 6 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.24), with at-the-money implied volatility around 17.9%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±2.3% move by that expiry — a range of about $86.35–$90.35.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-25)
0.24
ATM implied volatility
17.9%
Total open interest
22,918
Expected move by 2026-09-25
±2.3% ($86.35–$90.35)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on KO?

Argus Research most recently reiterated its rating on The Coca-Cola Company to Buy on Jul 30, 2026 with a price target of $97 (from $91). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Argus ResearchBuy
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Jul 30, 2026Argus ResearchMaintainedBuy$91 → $97
Jul 30, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$91 → $93
Jul 29, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$90 → $96
Jul 29, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$90 → $100
Jul 29, 2026Piper SandlerMaintainedOverweight$88 → $95
Jul 29, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$90 → $95
Jul 29, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$87 → $96
Jul 29, 2026JefferiesMaintainedBuy$95 → $104
Jul 21, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$89 → $91
Jul 16, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$92 → $98
Jul 14, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$91 → $97
Jul 10, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$90 → $95

KO Competitive Positioning

The Coca-Cola Company (KO) is tracked alongside these names in Beverages - Non-Alcoholic on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.