DailyIQ
Last updatedUpdating…

LIN·Linde plc

$463.04
-1.37 (-0.29%)
After Hours
High
$464.04
Open
$462.56
Market Cap
214.92B
52W High
$548.28
Low
$459.58
P. Close
$463.04
P/E
29.67
52W Low
$387.78
Fwd P/E
23.75
DailyIQ Est.
$556.80
Inst. Ownership
41.4%
Short Interest
1.16%
Days to Cover
2.7
Technical Score (1D)
9
SELL
News Sentiment
74
BULLISH
Keybanc has just begun coverage of Linde (LIN), issuing an Overweight rating and a $542 price target, a move that signals the bank’s confidence in the company’s growth prospects. The new rating and target suggest that Keybanc believes LIN’s valuation is below its intrinsic value, implying potential upside for the next 1–10 trading days as investors digest the endorsement. Because LIN is a major industrial gas provider, the rating upgrade may prompt increased demand for its shares, especially from investors seeking exposure to the broader industrial and manufacturing sectors. The market will likely watch how LIN’s stock reacts to the announcement, as a positive price movement could reinforce the narrative of a bullish outlook. Traders should also keep an eye on Keybanc’s subsequent commentary, as any additional guidance or caveats could shift sentiment quickly. Additionally, monitoring LIN’s earnings releases and any updates on its cost structure or supply‑chain dynamics will be important, since the company’s profitability is sensitive to commodity prices and industrial demand. Finally, watch for broader market reactions to other industrial gas names, as a sector‑wide shift could amplify or dampen the impact of Keybanc’s coverage on LIN.
Earnings Summary
Linde plc is a global industrial gas leader supplying essential gases and turnkey plant solutions to sectors ranging from healthcare to electronics, operating in a highly cyclical basic materials environment. In Q4 2024 Linde reported EPS of $3.97 versus an estimate of $3.92 and revenue of $8.282 billion, a slight decline from Q3 2024’s $8.615 billion, reflecting seasonal demand softness. The company’s EPS trend has been upward, with Q1 2025 EPS at $3.95 and Q2 2025 EPS at $4.09, both beating estimates, while revenue rebounded to $8.495 billion in Q2 2025 after a $8.112 billion dip in Q1 2025. Linde has consistently outperformed analyst expectations in the last four quarters, with EPS beats in each period and revenue growth in three of the four quarters, underscoring resilient profitability amid modest margin pressure. Recent news highlights a Keybanc Overweight rating and a $542 price target, signaling confidence in Linde’s valuation and growth prospects, while a new long‑term semiconductor contract and a $1 billion Phoenix facility investment point to a strategic pivot toward high‑margin technology markets that could offset CapEx drag. Investors should watch for guidance on future CapEx levels and the status of delayed projects, as these factors will influence margin recovery and revenue mix in the coming quarters, while monitoring European industrial demand indicators that could add cyclical risk to the near‑term outlook.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$3.96$4.12$4.28$4.44$4.60Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$4.52 - -
Q2'26$4.53$4.50-0.6%
Q1'26$4.45$4.33-2.6%
Q4'25$4.22$4.20-0.4%
Q3'25$4.18$4.21+0.7%
Q2'25$4.04$4.09+1.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$8.4B$8.6B$8.9B$9.2B$9.4BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$9.2B - -
Q2'26$9.1B$9.3B+2.3%
Q1'26$8.9B$8.8B-1.6%
Q4'25$8.7B$8.8B+0.4%
Q3'25 - $8.6B -
Q2'25 - $8.5B -

Market Data

LIN Stock Snapshot

SELL9/100
$460.48$2.56 (0.6%)
Market cap
214.92B
P/E ratio
29.7
Day range
$459.58 – $464.04
News sentiment
74/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$544.40 (+18.2%)
Consensus
Buy · 32 analysts
52-week range+18.7% off low · -16.0% from high
$387.78$548.28
Price $460.48 DailyIQ Est. $556.80

LIN is on the weaker side of its setup, with little confirmation for a reversal yet. At this size, moves are driven by index flows and macro positioning as much as by company news.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into LIN?

RICH

At today's price, Linde plc needs to grow free cash flow about 22.0% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 7.52% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 18.6% a year, so the market is asking for 3.4 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis LIN looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
22.0%
Historical FCF CAGR
18.6%
Growth gap
+3.4 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
7.52%
Beta
0.63

Behaviour On Record

What LIN's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
14.1% 20th pct
Below its peak
-15.3%
vs 200-day average
-4.0%
Up days (1y)
49%

Linde plc is currently running 14.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against LIN's own 8 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 20th percentile unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 19.4%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

LIN is trading -15.3% below its running peak. Across 7 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -14.3%, and the deepest was -32.9% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -4.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 12th percentile a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year LIN closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 8 years of records, LIN finished the month higher 2 of 8 times, with a median return of -3.8% and an average of -2.8%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.4% on average, its weakest September at -2.8%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: LIN has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 67 of 1,976 sessions (3.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.5% and -13.8%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, LIN moved an average of 2.4% in the session after earnings, closing higher 0 of those 3 times, with a median move of -3.5% and a largest of -3.6%.

All figures computed from 1,977 daily closes between 2018-10-31 and 2026-09-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against LIN's own 8-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of LIN's sector?

Linde plc sits in the Materials sector, currently ranked 7th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#7 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
30

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for LIN?

CallsPuts

For Linde plc's nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 3 days out), open interest is roughly balanced between puts and calls (put/call ratio of 1.14), with at-the-money implied volatility around 25.6%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±2.6% move by that expiry — a range of about $451.00–$475.00.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
1.14
ATM implied volatility
25.6%
Total open interest
12,809
Expected move by 2026-09-18
±2.6% ($451.00–$475.00)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on LIN?

Keybanc most recently initiated coverage on Linde plc to Overweight on Sep 11, 2026 with a price target of $542. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
KeybancOverweight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 11, 2026KeybancInitiatedOverweight$542
Aug 10, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedOutperform$560 → $546
Aug 3, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$600 → $580
Aug 3, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$576 → $553
Aug 3, 2026BernsteinMaintainedOutperform$559 → $564
Jul 17, 2026BernsteinMaintainedOutperform$561 → $599
Jul 10, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedOutperform$515 → $525
Jun 24, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$585 → $600
May 5, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$552 → $570
May 4, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$525 → $530
May 4, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$580 → $585
Apr 24, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$512 → $552

LIN Competitive Positioning

Linde plc (LIN) is tracked alongside these names in Specialty Chemicals on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.