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Last updated3 minutes ago

LNG·Cheniere Energy, Inc.

$291.99
+1.14 (+0.39%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$279.93-12.06 (-4.13%)
High
$294.89
Open
$289.96
Market Cap
60.65B
52W High
$304.23
Low
$277.34
P. Close
$291.99
P/E
20.79
52W Low
$186.20
Fwd P/E
14.02
DailyIQ Est.
$319.06
Inst. Ownership
40.4%
Short Interest
2.04%
Days to Cover
2.8
Technical Score (1D)
86
BUY
News Sentiment
59
BULLISH
Cheniere Energy is being eyed for inclusion in the S&P 500 during the upcoming Q3 rebalancing, a move that would elevate the company’s market value of roughly $60 billion above the index’s minimum threshold. The potential addition reflects a broader trend of energy sector inflows since 2022, driven by tightening global LNG supply and rising demand for cleaner fuels. If the index committee confirms the inclusion, institutional investors will likely increase their exposure to Cheniere, boosting trading volume and tightening bid‑ask spreads. The higher liquidity could also support a modest lift in valuation multiples, as the stock becomes more attractive to passive funds that track the index. Traders should watch for the official announcement date, which is expected before the quarter’s end, and any commentary on changes to the index’s methodology that could affect the timing or scope of the addition. Additionally, monitor the S&P’s sector weighting adjustments, as a shift toward energy could prompt rebalancing in related ETFs and index funds. The inclusion could also signal confidence in LNG infrastructure projects, potentially accelerating capital deployment in the sector. Finally, keep an eye on any regulatory updates that might influence the index’s treatment of energy companies, as these could alter the expected impact on Cheniere’s trading dynamics.
Earnings Summary
Cheniere Energy, Inc. is a U.S.-based energy infrastructure company specializing in the liquefied natural gas (LNG) sector, operating the Sabine Pass and Corpus Christi terminals and associated pipelines to facilitate import and export of natural gas. The company operates within the Oil & Gas Midstream industry, a sector that has seen heightened demand for cleaner fuels and tighter global LNG supply. In Q4 2024, Cheniere reported EPS of $2.54 versus an estimate of $3.20, while revenue reached $4.44 billion, slightly below the $4.58 billion estimate; the company missed earnings estimates but maintained strong top‑line growth. In Q4 2025, EPS rose to $2.87 against an estimate of $3.97, and revenue of $5.45 billion was near the $5.58 billion estimate, indicating a narrowing earnings gap and continued revenue expansion. The most recent Q2 2026 earnings showed EPS of $3.02 versus an estimate of $3.07 and a robust revenue of $5.73 billion against a $4.94 billion estimate, reflecting a significant acceleration in revenue growth and a near‑miss on earnings. Historically, Cheniere has posted YoY revenue growth in each quarter, with EPS often trailing analyst expectations; the company has consistently delivered revenue gains even when earnings fell short, underscoring a resilient top‑line amid market volatility. Recent news highlights the company’s potential inclusion in the S&P 500, which could boost liquidity and valuation multiples, and the completion of a seventh liquefaction train at Corpus Christi, adding roughly 20 % capacity that has already lifted 2026 EBITDA guidance to $7.9–$8.4 billion; these developments suggest a strengthening operational base and improved margin potential. Investors should watch for the official S&P 500 inclusion announcement, the confirmation of the new train’s operational status, and any regulatory updates that could affect U.S. LNG export policy, as these factors will likely influence Cheniere’s earnings trajectory and valuation in the next quarter.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$2.22$2.91$3.61$4.31$5.00Q4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$4.68 - -
Q2'26$3.07$3.02-1.6%
Q4'25$3.97$2.87-27.6%
Q4'24$3.20$2.54-20.7%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$4.2B$4.7B$5.1B$5.5B$5.9BQ4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$5.4B - -
Q2'26$4.9B$5.7B+15.9%
Q4'25$5.6B$5.5B-2.3%
Q4'24 - $4.4B -

Market Data

LNG Stock Snapshot

BUY86/100
$279.93$12.06 (4.1%)
Market cap
60.65B
P/E ratio
20.8
Day range
$277.34 – $294.89
News sentiment
59/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$308.90 (+10.3%)
Consensus
Buy · 30 analysts
52-week range+50.3% off low · -8.0% from high
$186.20$304.23
Price $279.93 DailyIQ Est. $319.06

LNG's technical picture is constructive, with trend and momentum pointing the same direction. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into LNG?

RICH

At today's price, Cheniere Energy, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 7.5% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 6.29% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at -0.3% a year, so the market is asking for 7.7 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis LNG looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
7.5%
Historical FCF CAGR
-0.3%
Growth gap
+7.7 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
6.29%
Beta
0.52

Behaviour On Record

What LNG's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
26.5% 39th pct
Below its peak
-2.5%
vs 200-day average
+21.3%
Up days (1y)
50%

Cheniere Energy, Inc. is currently running 26.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against LNG's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 39th percentile on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 29.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

LNG is trading -2.5% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -21.2%, and the deepest was -55.8% in 2015. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +21.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 83rd percentile a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year LNG closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, LNG finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +0.8% and an average of +0.3%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +4.5% on average, its weakest December at -2.0%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: LNG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 196 of 3,269 sessions (6.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.5% and -10.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,270 daily closes between 2013-09-05 and 2026-09-04, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against LNG's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of LNG's sector?

Cheniere Energy, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 11th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#11 of 11
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
20

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for LNG?

CallsPuts

For Cheniere Energy, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-11, 9 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.19), with at-the-money implied volatility around 60.0%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±9.0% move by that expiry — a range of about $252.57–$302.45.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-11)
0.19
ATM implied volatility
60.0%
Total open interest
5,023
Expected move by 2026-09-11
±9.0% ($252.57–$302.45)

LNG Competitive Positioning

Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG) is tracked alongside these names in Oil & Gas Midstream on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.