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LNG·Cheniere Energy, Inc.

$277.48
+9.14 (+3.41%)
High
$278.49
Open
$267.92
Market Cap
55.42B
52W High
$304.23
Low
$265.56
P. Close
$277.48
P/E
19.00
52W Low
$186.20
Fwd P/E
13.05
DailyIQ Est.
$320.11
Inst. Ownership
43.9%
Short Interest
2.09%
Days to Cover
2.8
Technical Score (1D)
32
SELL
News Sentiment
61
BULLISH
The most recent development is Cheniere Energy’s quarterly loss, driven almost entirely by adverse movements in LNG‑linked derivative contracts. The loss reflects heightened geopolitical risk and sharp swings in global gas prices, but management stresses it is a one‑off market‑specific event that does not indicate a structural weakness in core LNG sales. This earnings hit will likely dampen short‑term sentiment for the next few trading days as traders digest the volatility exposure, yet the company’s underlying export operations remain unchanged. In parallel, the company’s Corpus Christi facility has completed the seventh liquefaction train, raising capacity to roughly 56 Mtpa and boosting 2026 EBITDA guidance to $7.9‑$8.4 B. The expansion, finished by Bechtel on August 28, positions Cheniere to capture higher export volumes amid persistent global demand, and the rapid ramp‑up is expected to improve cash flow and valuation multiples over the next 10 days. The derivative loss and the capacity expansion create a mixed outlook: earnings volatility may weigh on short‑term pricing, while the new output capacity supports a longer‑term upside. Traders should watch for the timing of the first commercial LNG shipments from the new train, as early volumes will confirm operational ramp‑up and validate the upgraded EBITDA forecast. Additionally, any updates from QatarEnergy’s negotiations for 2‑3 MTPA contracts through 2031 could further strengthen Cheniere’s revenue prospects, so monitoring those talks will be key.
Earnings Summary
Cheniere Energy, Inc. is a U.S. energy infrastructure company focused on liquefied natural gas (LNG) operations, owning and operating the Sabine Pass and Corpus Christi terminals along with associated pipelines such as the Creole Trail. The company operates within the Oil & Gas Midstream sector, providing critical import and export facilities for natural gas. In Q4 2024, Cheniere reported EPS of $2.54 versus an estimate of $3.20, while revenue reached $4.44 billion, slightly below the $4.48 billion estimate. The following quarter, Q4 2025, saw EPS of $2.87 against a $3.97 estimate and revenue of $5.45 billion versus a $5.58 billion estimate, indicating a continued EPS shortfall but a narrowing revenue gap. In Q2 2026, EPS rose to $3.02, close to the $3.07 estimate, and revenue surged to $5.73 billion against a $4.94 billion estimate, marking a significant revenue acceleration and a near‑beat on earnings. The company’s most recent quarter, Q3 2026, has no EPS or revenue data yet, but the estimate of $5.37 billion revenue suggests continued growth momentum. Historically, Cheniere has shown a YoY revenue growth trajectory, with each quarter’s revenue exceeding prior year levels, while EPS has fluctuated around analyst expectations, often trailing estimates but narrowing over time. The pattern of revenue growth despite EPS misses highlights the company’s strong throughput and pricing power, even as cost pressures or capital expenditures impact profitability. Recent news indicates QatarEnergy is negotiating multi‑year LNG supply contracts with U.S. producers, including Cheniere, potentially adding a new revenue stream and reinforcing the company’s market position amid global supply uncertainties. Scotiabank’s upgrade to a Sector Outperform rating and a $312 price target underscores confidence in Cheniere’s pipeline and export projects, particularly the Corpus Christi expansion, which could further boost throughput and margins. Investors should watch the upcoming Q3 2026 earnings release for confirmation of revenue estimates and any updates on the Corpus Christi project, as well as any formalization of the QatarEnergy contracts, which could materially influence the company’s revenue trajectory and market sentiment.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$2.22$2.91$3.61$4.31$5.00Q4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$4.68 - -
Q2'26$3.07$3.02-1.6%
Q4'25$3.97$2.87-27.6%
Q4'24$3.20$2.54-20.7%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$4.2B$4.7B$5.1B$5.5B$5.9BQ4'24Q4'25Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$5.4B - -
Q2'26$4.9B$5.7B+15.9%
Q4'25$5.6B$5.5B-2.3%
Q4'24 - $4.4B -

Market Data

LNG Stock Snapshot

SELL32/100
$277.48+$9.14 (3.4%)
Market cap
55.42B
P/E ratio
19.0
Day range
$265.56 – $278.49
News sentiment
61/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$309.95 (+11.7%)
Consensus
Buy · 30 analysts
52-week range+49.0% off low · -8.8% from high
$186.20$304.23
Price $277.48 DailyIQ Est. $320.11

The chart on LNG has not stabilised: price is in the upper part of its 52-week range and the trend is still down. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into LNG?

RICH

At today's price, Cheniere Energy, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 6.6% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 6.35% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at -0.3% a year, so the market is asking for 6.9 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis LNG looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
6.6%
Historical FCF CAGR
-0.3%
Growth gap
+6.9 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
6.35%
Beta
0.52

Behaviour On Record

What LNG's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
24.4% 31st pct
Below its peak
-9.3%
vs 200-day average
+11.4%
Up days (1y)
50%

Cheniere Energy, Inc. is currently running 24.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against LNG's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 31st percentile on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 29.5%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

LNG is trading -9.3% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -21.2%, and the deepest was -55.8% in 2015. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +11.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 65th percentile a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year LNG closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, LNG finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -0.7% and an average of -1.3%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +4.5% on average, its weakest December at -2.0%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: LNG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 195 of 3,267 sessions (6.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.5% and -10.9%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-23 and 2026-09-21, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against LNG's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of LNG's sector?

Cheniere Energy, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 9th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).

Sector rank
#9 of 11
Sector state
Lagging
Sector rotation score
50

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for LNG?

CallsPuts

For Cheniere Energy, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-25, 4 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.41), with at-the-money implied volatility around 43.3%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±4.6% move by that expiry — a range of about $264.81–$290.37.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-25)
0.41
ATM implied volatility
43.3%
Total open interest
3,063
Expected move by 2026-09-25
±4.6% ($264.81–$290.37)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on LNG?

Scotiabank most recently reiterated its rating on Cheniere Energy, Inc. to Sector Outperform on Sep 10, 2026 with a price target of $312 (from $290). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
ScotiabankSector Outperform
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 10, 2026ScotiabankMaintainedSector Outperform$290 → $312
Aug 24, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$300 → $319
Aug 11, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$280 → $290
Aug 7, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$274 → $279
Jul 24, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$327 → $334
Jul 16, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$270 → $280
Jul 15, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$271 → $274
Jun 17, 2026BernsteinInitiatedMarket Outperform$283
Jun 3, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$325 → $327
May 13, 2026ScotiabankMaintainedSector Outperform$288 → $290
May 11, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$265 → $270
Apr 21, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$313 → $308

LNG Competitive Positioning

Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG) is tracked alongside these names in Oil & Gas Midstream on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.