LOW·Lowe's Companies, Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

18.0% 24th pct

Below its peak

-37.7%

vs 200-day average

-22.5%

Up days (1y)

48%

Lowe's Companies, Inc. is currently running 18.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against LOW's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 24th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 22.3%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

LOW is trading -37.7% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -21.3%, and the deepest was -47.7% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -22.5% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 0th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year LOW closed higher on 48% of sessions, and it is currently 9 sessions into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, LOW finished the month higher 6 of 13 times, with a median return of -1.1% and an average of -0.6%. Its strongest month historically has been August at +4.1% on average, its weakest February at -0.8%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: LOW has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 63 of 3,267 sessions (1.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.9% and -10.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against LOW's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.