LULU·Lululemon Athletica Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

25.6% 25th pct

Below its peak

-81.4%

vs 200-day average

-32.6%

Up days (1y)

47%

Lululemon Athletica Inc. is currently running 25.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against LULU's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 25th percentile — on the quiet side for this stock, against a typical reading of 33.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

LULU is trading -81.4% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -34.2%, and the deepest was -62.1% in 2025. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -32.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 4th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year LULU closed higher on 47% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 14 years of records, LULU finished the month higher 6 of 14 times, with a median return of -1.6% and an average of +0.8%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +6.3% on average, its weakest September at -5.5%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: LULU has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 106 of 3,268 sessions (3.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.9% and -6.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against LULU's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.