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DailyIQ
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MCO·Moody's Corporation

$510.63
-4.71 (-0.91%)
High
$515.34
Open
$501.68
Market Cap
91.09B
52W High
$546.88
Low
$493.00
P. Close
$510.63
P/E
31.59
52W Low
$390.00
Fwd P/E
27.64
DailyIQ Est.
$563.15
Inst. Own.
73.7%
Short Interest
1.66%
Days to Cover
3.4
Div. Yield
0.82%
Next Ex-Div
~Nov 15
Div. Growth
16+ yrs
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Oct 21, 2026Guidance reaffirmed · tone -8.6 vs prior release · 94 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
31
BEARISH
News Sentiment
74
BULLISH
On the 1D view, MCO is trending bearish with a score of 31 and declining momentum. The SELL signal is technically clear, and price is compressed. The nuance is sentiment: at 74, it's diverging from the price action, suggesting news flow hasn't caught up to the selling yet. That gap between technicals and sentiment doesn't invalidate the chart-based read, but it does add a wildcard. If sentiment eventually turns to confirm the weakness, the move likely has further to run. If sentiment holds and draws in buyers near $498.67, a base could form before a recovery toward $551.72. Position sizing should reflect the unresolved nature of this split. One tell worth tracking here is whether volume expands on tests of $498.67 or dries up instead - expansion suggests the technical read is starting to attract confirming sellers, while a fade suggests sentiment's steadier tone is the more accurate signal. Until that resolves, $551.72 remains the level that would invalidate the bearish case outright.
LOW TARGET
$480 -6.0%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$552 +8.2%
17 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$600 +17.5%
13 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$480.00 - $600.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
9/13/8/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$563.15 (+10.3%)
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Website
Symbol
MCO
Description
Moody's Corporation is a global provider of risk assessment services, operating through two primary segments. Moody's Investors Service (MIS) is the company's core business, offering credit ratings and assessments on a wide array of debt instruments and issuers, including corporations, financial institutions, and government entities. Complementing this is Moody's Analytics, which delivers a suite of products and services designed to support risk management activities within financial markets. This segment provides credit research, data, and analytical tools, as well as software-as-a-service solutions, catering to the needs of institutional investors. Founded in 1900 and headquartered in New York, Moody's has evolved from its origins as Dun and Bradstreet Company to become a leading player in the financial information and risk assessment landscape.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
17,648.36 shares
$8.5M
West Michael LCEO - Moody's Ratings
Sell195 shares2026-11-04
Demmings Keith-
Award/Grant162.237 shares2026-11-02
Demmings Keith-
Award/Grant458 shares2026-11-02
Phillips Jason DChief Acctg Off & Controller
Sell195 shares2026-11-02
West Michael LCEO - Moody's Ratings
Sell185 shares2026-11-02
74/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Net Margin
31.9%
Revenue CAGR
7.1%
Current Ratio
1.74x
Debt / Equity
1.73x
Return on Equity
60.7%

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$3.46$3.80$4.15$4.49$4.84Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$3.62 - -
Q3'26$4.31$4.14-3.9%
Q2'26$4.25$4.68+10.0%
Q1'26$4.30$4.33+0.8%
Q4'25$4.23$3.64-13.9%
Q3'25$3.68$3.92+6.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.8B$1.9B$2.0B$2.1B$2.2BQ3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$1.9B - -
Q3'26$2.1B$2.0B-3.6%
Q2'26$2.1B$2.2B+4.2%
Q1'26$2.1B$2.1B-0.9%
Q4'25$2.1B$1.9B-9.3%
Q3'25 - $2.0B -

Market Data

MCO Stock Snapshot

BEARISH31/100
$510.63−$4.71 (0.9%)
Market cap
91.09B
P/E ratio
31.6
Day range
$493.00 – $515.34
News sentiment
74/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$552.48 (+8.2%)
Consensus
Buy · 32 analysts
52-week range+30.9% off low · -6.6% from high
$390.00$546.88
Price $510.63 DailyIQ Est. $563.15

Price action on MCO is defensive - rallies are being sold rather than extended. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Behaviour On Record

What MCO's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
26.4% 73rd pct
Below its peak
-2.1%
vs 200-day average
+13.2%
Up days (1y)
51%

Moody's Corporation is currently running 26.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against MCO's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 73rd percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 21.3%.

MCO is trading -2.1% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -16.7%, and the deepest was -41.0% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +13.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 74th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year MCO closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On November specifically: over 13 years of records, MCO finished the month higher 12 of 13 times, with a median return of +5.8% and an average of +5.7%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.7% on average, its weakest September at -3.8%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: MCO has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 119 of 3,267 sessions (3.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.9% and -14.6%.

Across the last 4 dated reports on file, MCO moved an average of 2.5% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 4 times, with a median move of -1.5% and a largest of -4.5%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-04, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against MCO's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of MCO's sector?

Moody's Corporation sits in the Financials sector, currently ranked 6th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).

Sector rank
#6 of 12
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
45

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for MCO?

CallsPuts

For Moody's Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-11-20, 14 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.39), with at-the-money implied volatility around 1.6%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±0.3% move by that expiry — a range of about $502.80–$505.88.

Put/call ratio (2026-11-20)
0.39
ATM implied volatility
1.6%
Total open interest
6,538
Expected move by 2026-11-20
±0.3% ($502.80–$505.88)

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect MCO to earn?

Analysts expect Moody's Corporation to earn $16.79 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $23.89 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2029, from 3 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$3.58$3.36 to $3.8021$1.93B18
Mar 2027$4.72$4.04 to $5.0818$2.19B14
Jun 2027$5.07$4.69 to $5.257~$2.38B-
Sep 2027$4.62$4.28 to $4.837~$2.17B-
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$16.79$16.53 to $17.4024$8.23B21
Dec 2027$18.68$17.08 to $19.7724$8.78B21
Dec 2028$20.49$18.65 to $21.845~$9.62B-
Dec 2029$23.89$22.45 to $24.773~$11.22B-

Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on MCO?

Morgan Stanley most recently reiterated its rating on Moody's Corporation to Equal-Weight on Oct 22, 2026 with a price target of $480 (from $470). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Morgan Stanley: Equal-Weight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 22, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$470 → $480
Oct 22, 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$580 → $575
Oct 22, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedMarket Perform$490 → $511
Oct 22, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$597 → $595
Oct 22, 2026StifelMaintainedBuy$550 → $537
Oct 16, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$610 → $575
Oct 14, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$570 → $555
Oct 13, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedMarket Perform$515 → $490
Oct 7, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$512 → $470
Jul 27, 2026MizuhoMaintainedNeutral$521 → $530
Jul 23, 2026BairdMaintainedOutperform$557 → $572
Jul 23, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$590 → $597

Earnings Release, Scored

What did Moody's Corporation's latest earnings release say?

Filed Oct 21, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Guidance reaffirmed
Tone62.3/ 100-8.6 vs prior release
Hedging words1.48per 100 words-0.20 vs prior release
Tone, last 3 releasesScale 50–76

Most important lines

  1. 1

    Operating Growth2.5 to 3.5%

    New this quarter
  2. 2

    Diluted EPS and Adjusted Diluted EPS 1 increased 18% and 6%, respectively, from the prior-year period.

    New this quarter
  3. 3

    Year-to-date, operating cash flow was $2,471 million, up 21%, and Free Cash Flow 1 was $2,200 million, up 22%.

Peers & ETF holders

MCO peers & ETF holders

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about MCO?

MCO rose 12.9% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 34 and 78 from Oct 6 to Oct 16, then jumped to 92 on Oct 19.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 6 to Nov 6
$450$500Oct 6: tone 57Oct 7: tone 42Oct 8: tone 78Oct 9: tone 51Oct 12: tone 35Oct 13: tone 47Oct 14: tone 34Oct 15: tone 69Oct 16: tone 36Oct 19: tone 92Oct 20: tone 54Oct 21: tone 45Oct 22: tone 58Oct 23: tone 55Oct 26: tone 33Oct 27: tone 25Oct 28: tone 65Oct 29: tone 50Oct 30Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4Nov 5: tone 38Nov 6Oct 6News toneNov 6123
  1. Oct 15 +3.5%
  2. Nov 2 +2.8%
  3. Nov 4 +4.9%

Technical analysis

How strong is MCO's momentum right now?

On the daily chart MCO ranks at the 31st percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling MCO?

80 of the 227 tracked managers added to MCO in their latest 13F and 138 trimmed. Together they own 73.7% of the company, worth $59.6B. Berkshire Hathaway and TCI Fund Management alone hold 21.9%.

80adding138trimming9unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of MCO
  1. $11.2B positionUnchanged last quarter
  2. $6.5B positionUnchanged last quarter
  3. $5.6B positionTrimmed 5.1% last quarter
  4. $4.4B positionTrimmed 1.3% last quarter
  5. $3.2B positionTrimmed 0.4% last quarter
  6. $2.3B positionTrimmed 0.0% last quarter
  7. $1.8B positionTrimmed 1.8% last quarter
  8. $1.7B positionTrimmed 3.8% last quarter
  9. $1.1B positionAdded 2.5% last quarter
  10. $1.1B positionAdded 10.5% last quarter
Full holdings history

Congressional trading

Is Congress trading MCO?

4 members of Congress disclosed 10 MCO trades between Sep 8, 2017 and Sep 23, 2025: 4 buys and 6 sells, about $80.0K in estimated value.

BuysSells2018202020222024
BuySell$1K–$15K$15K–$50K$50K–$100K$100K–$250K

What stands out

Click one to highlight its trades in the chart

Discover more

How has MCO done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 6, MCO returned +13.8%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 5 did better, led by MA at +32.9%.

Change since May 6, through Nov 6
−50%−25%0%+25%+50%+75%May 6JunJulAugSepOctNov 6MA +32.9%MCO +13.8%SYF +0.0%