DailyIQ
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Sector:Consumer DefensiveAll sectors
Last updated 2 minutes ago

MDLZ·Mondelez International, Inc.

$.
+. (+.%)
After Hours
High
$58.99
Open
$58.05
Market Cap
75.52B
52W High
$71.15
Low
$57.82
P. Close
$58.82
P/E
28.88
52W Low
$51.20
Fwd P/E
17.43
DailyIQ Est.
$68.63
Technical Score (1D)
45
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
50
MIXED
Mondelez’s latest update indicates that the recent decline in cocoa prices has already been priced into the company’s valuation, leaving little room for near‑term upside. The lower cocoa cost reduces input expenses, which should help improve chocolate‑segment margins, but analysts expect this benefit to materialize only by 2027 if prices remain low. Because the current market has already absorbed the cost advantage, the hold rating remains unchanged and investors should not anticipate a sharp rebound in the next 1–10 trading days. The key question for the short term is whether cocoa prices will start to climb again, which would erode the margin improvement Mondelez has been counting on. Watch for any commodity‑market signals that could indicate a reversal in cocoa pricing, as well as any updates from Mondelez on its quarterly guidance or margin targets. Additionally, keep an eye on consumer demand trends for chocolate, since a shift in buying patterns could alter the company’s revenue outlook. Monitor the company’s earnings releases for any mention of cost‑control measures or supply‑chain adjustments that might affect profitability. Finally, stay alert to regulatory developments that could impact cocoa supply chains or trade policies, as these could have downstream effects on Mondelez’s cost structure and pricing strategy.
Earnings Summary
Mondelez International, a global leader in the snack food industry, offers a broad portfolio of biscuits, chocolates, candies, and baked goods under iconic brands such as Oreo, Cadbury Dairy Milk, and Milka, and operates through supermarkets, convenience stores, and online channels worldwide, positioning it firmly within the consumer defensive confectioners sector. In the most recent two quarters, the company reported EPS of $0.72 in Q4 2025 and $0.67 in Q1 2026, a slight decline from the $0.73 EPS seen in Q2 and Q3 2025, while revenue rose from $8.984 billion in Q2 2025 to $10.496 billion in Q4 2025 and then fell to $10.080 billion in Q1 2026, indicating a mixed revenue trajectory; EPS has consistently beaten analyst estimates in five of the last six quarters, with the only miss occurring in Q4 2024. Historically, the company has maintained a streak of earnings surprises, with a 9.84 % EPS beat in Q1 2026 and a strong 6‑10 % surprise margin over the past year, even as revenue growth has fluctuated, underscoring a pattern of resilient profitability amid commodity volatility. Recent news highlights the impact of cocoa inflation on cost bases, tightening margins and prompting a flat organic revenue outlook, while the launch of recycled‑plastic packaging for Marabou chocolate bars signals a sustainability push that could lower packaging costs and improve margins; analysts are also monitoring the company’s commodity hedging strategy and the performance of new product launches such as Biscoff, Ritz, and Toblerone. Investors should watch for any changes in commodity cost pressures, early cost‑saving data from the new packaging rollout, and the next earnings release for confirmation of the flat growth narrative and commentary on cost‑control measures, as these factors will be key to assessing Mondelez’s ability to sustain dividend growth and competitive positioning in a commodity‑sensitive market.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.60$0.64$0.68$0.72$0.76Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$0.68 - -
Q1'26$0.62$0.67+8.3%
Q4'25$0.71$0.72+1.3%
Q3'25$0.71$0.73+2.9%
Q2'25$0.68$0.73+7.9%
Q1'25$0.66$0.74+12.2%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$8.8B$9.3B$9.7B$10.2B$10.7BQ1'25Q2'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$9.4B - -
Q1'26$9.9B$10.1B+1.4%
Q4'25$10.5B$10.5B-0.2%
Q3'25 - - -
Q2'25 - $9.0B -
Q1'25 - $9.3B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

MDLZ Stock Snapshot

MDLZ is currently trading at $58.94, giving Mondelez International, Inc. a market cap of 75.52B and a P/E ratio of 28.9. Today's range spans $57.82–$58.99, with shares opening at $58.05 and moving up $0.12 (0.2%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 45/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 50/100.

Over the past year MDLZ has traded between $51.20 and $71.15 - the current price is +15.1% off the 52-week low and -17.2% from the high. 36 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $67.27 (range $55.00–$75.00), implying upside of +14.1%.

MDLZ is in consolidation mode: 45/100 technical score (HOLD), neutral sentiment at 50/100, price at $58.94 (in the lower half of its 52-week range within $51.20–$71.15). The current P/E ratio stands at 28.9. The 75.52B market cap in Consumer Defensive means the stock is widely covered and any shift in analyst sentiment or earnings expectations will be immediately reflected in price - making the current neutral phase a good time to track upcoming catalysts closely.

In neutral phases, large-cap Consumer Defensive names like MDLZ are often where sector rotation debates play out quietly — at 75.52B in capitalization, the stock receives incremental allocation from funds reducing mega-cap exposure without the volatility of a small-cap entry. The 45/100 (HOLD) and neutral sentiment (50/100) at $58.94 (in the lower half of its 52-week range) describe a stock that is being considered rather than avoided.