MKC·McCormick & Company, Incorporated

Realized volatility (21d)

28.1% 87th pct

Below its peak

-57.4%

vs 200-day average

-18.7%

Up days (1y)

49%

McCormick & Company, Incorporated is currently running 28.1% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against MKC's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 87th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 19.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

MKC is trading -57.4% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -15.8%, and the deepest was -36.8% in 2023. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -18.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 4th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year MKC closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, MKC finished the month higher 5 of 13 times, with a median return of -1.0% and an average of -0.6%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +2.7% on average, its weakest September at -3.4%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: MKC has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 72 of 3,267 sessions (2.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +13.5% and -11.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, MKC moved an average of 2.0% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +0.1% and a largest of -4.4%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against MKC's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.