MRSH|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $1.97 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $1.98 | $2.96 | +49.4% |
| Q1'26 | $3.29 | $3.29 | -0.0% |
| Q1'25 | $3.00 | $3.06 | +2.1% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $6.8B | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $7.4B | $7.4B | -0.3% |
| Q1'26 | $7.6B | $7.6B | +0.5% |
| Q1'25 | - | $7.1B | - |
MRSH|Monthly Returns
Market Data
MRSH Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 85.65B
- P/E ratio
- 21.5
- Day range
- $178.27 – $181.22
- News sentiment
- 66/100 · Bullish
- Analyst target
- $207.10 (+14.5%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 32 analysts
Momentum has rolled over on Marsh, which is what drives the bearish read. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Financial Services tend to move together on rotation.
Behaviour On Record
What MRSH's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 20.6% 72nd pct
- Below its peak
- -31.0%
- vs 200-day average
- +0.9%
- Up days (1y)
- 48%
Marsh is currently running 20.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against MRSH's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 72nd percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 16.1%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
MRSH is trading -31.0% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -11.1%, and the deepest was -35.8% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.
Price sits +0.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 27th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year MRSH closed higher on 48% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.
On September specifically: over 13 years of records, MRSH finished the month higher 3 of 13 times, with a median return of -1.5% and an average of -1.2%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.4% on average, its weakest December at -1.5%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: MRSH has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 75 of 3,267 sessions (2.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +25.0% and -16.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-16 and 2026-09-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against MRSH's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of MRSH's sector?
Marsh sits in the Financials sector, currently ranked 4th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).
- Sector rank
- #4 of 11
- Sector state
- Lagging
- Sector rotation score
- 70
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on MRSH?
Morgan Stanley most recently reiterated its rating on Marsh to Equal-Weight on Aug 19, 2026 with a price target of $200 (from $180). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bearish lean.
- Latest action
- Morgan Stanley — Equal-Weight
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 1
- Net rating momentum
- -1
