DailyIQ
Last updated 5 minutes ago

NFLX·Netflix, Inc.

$.
-. (-.%)
After Hours
High
$76.42
Open
$75.44
Market Cap
307.51B
52W High
$128.96
Low
$72.51
P. Close
$73.37
P/E
22.99
52W Low
$70.86
Fwd P/E
19.10
DailyIQ Est.
$119.92
Technical Score (1D)
23
SELL
News Sentiment
67
BULLISH
Netflix is moving into live TV and streaming bundles to counter a recent slowdown in viewer engagement, a trend executives flagged during the company’s annual business review. The shift is intended to keep audiences on the platform longer, thereby offsetting the risk that lower engagement could erode subscriber stickiness even though cancellation rates remain low and profits stay strong. By bundling live channels and third‑party streaming services, Netflix could diversify its revenue mix and create new subscription tiers that may attract both existing and new customers. This strategic pivot could also open the door to advertising integration within live content, potentially boosting margin pressure but offering a higher‑margin revenue stream. The company’s Q2 earnings on July 16 will be the first opportunity to see how these initiatives translate into guidance for subscriber growth, content spend, and operating margins. Investors should watch the earnings release for any revisions to revenue mix projections, especially the balance between subscription and ad‑supported income. Pay close attention to the timeline for rolling out live TV and bundle offerings, as delays could signal execution challenges or regulatory hurdles. Monitor engagement metrics such as viewing duration and series completion rates, which will indicate whether the new strategy is successfully improving user retention. Finally, keep an eye on any cost‑control measures or changes in content acquisition strategy that could affect Netflix’s free‑cash‑flow outlook and overall valuation.
Earnings Summary
Netflix, a global entertainment provider headquartered in Los Gatos, California, delivers a diverse library of television series, documentaries, feature films, and interactive games across approximately 190 countries, positioning it within the Communication Services sector and Entertainment industry. In the most recent two quarters—Q4 2025 and Q1 2026—revenue rose from $12.05 billion to $12.25 billion, a 1.7% sequential increase, while EPS surged from $0.56 to $1.23, a 119% jump; compared to the prior two quarters (Q2 2025 and Q3 2025), revenue grew from $11.08 billion to $11.51 billion and EPS fell from $0.719 to $0.587, indicating a reversal of the earlier decline. Across the six quarters reported, Netflix beat analyst estimates in four (Q4 2024, Q1 2025, Q2 2025, Q1 2026) and missed in two (Q3 2025, Q4 2025), underscoring a pattern of strong earnings growth punctuated by occasional revenue‑margin trade‑offs. Historically, YoY revenue has accelerated, with Q4 2025 up 17.5% and Q1 2026 up 16.8% versus the same quarters in 2024, while EPS growth has been even more pronounced, rising 31% YoY in Q4 2025 and 86% in Q1 2026, reflecting disciplined cost management amid expanding content spend. Recent news highlights Netflix’s strategic pivot toward live sports, notably its bid for U.S. broadcast rights to the 2030 and 2034 FIFA World Cups and exploration of continuous live channels, which could diversify revenue streams but may compress margins in the short term; the company’s partnership with major publishers to launch a lifestyle short‑form library aims to counter password‑sharing and bolster engagement. Investors should watch for guidance on subscriber growth, ad‑revenue traction, and the timing of the live‑TV rollout, as well as the outcome of the FIFA rights negotiations, all of which will shape the company’s cost structure and revenue diversification in the coming quarter.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.46$0.68$0.90$1.11$1.33Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$0.79 - -
Q1'26$0.84$1.23+46.0%
Q4'25$0.56$0.56-0.5%
Q3'25$0.70$0.59-15.8%
Q2'25$0.70$0.72+2.2%
Q1'25$0.57$0.66+16.8%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$10.2B$10.9B$11.7B$12.4B$13.2BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$12.8B - -
Q1'26$12.6B$12.2B-3.0%
Q4'25$12.2B$12.1B-1.3%
Q3'25 - $11.5B -
Q2'25 - $11.1B -
Q1'25 - $10.5B -

Market Data

NFLX Stock Snapshot

NFLX is currently trading at $73.40, giving Netflix, Inc. a market cap of 307.51B and a P/E ratio of 23.0. Today's range spans $72.51–$76.42, with shares opening at $75.44 and moving up $0.03 (0.0%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 23/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 67/100.

Over the past year NFLX has traded between $70.86 and $128.96 - the current price is +3.6% off the 52-week low and -43.1% from the high. 60 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $113.15 (range $80.00–$151.40), implying upside of +54.2%.

The path of least resistance for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) is currently lower - 23/100 (SELL), bullish sentiment (67/100), price $73.40 (near 52-week lows within $70.86–$128.96). The current P/E ratio stands at 23.0. At 307.51B in Communication Services market cap, this large-cap name is in the zone where portfolio risk managers - not just traders - are making decisions. Trimming positions on technical deterioration is standard practice at this size, and the current setup gives them a clear rationale to act.

Analyst coverage for NFLX becomes a double-edged factor in a SELL phase: at 307.51B in Communication Services market cap, active coverage is high enough that downgrade risk is real and impactful. The 23/100 technical reading and bullish sentiment (67/100) at $73.40 (near 52-week lows) place the stock in the zone where one or two high-profile estimate cuts can convert a grinding decline into a sharper re-rating — the $70.86–$128.96 range establishes where that repricing lands.