DailyIQ
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Sector:Financial ServicesAll sectors
Last updated 5 minutes ago

NTRS·Northern Trust Corporation

$.
+. (+.%)
After Hours
High
$185.00
Open
$183.79
Market Cap
33.97B
52W High
$185.57
Low
$182.00
P. Close
$183.53
P/E
18.16
52W Low
$118.99
Fwd P/E
14.86
DailyIQ Est.
$179.46
Technical Score (1D)
95
BUY
News Sentiment
70
BULLISH
Northern Trust is projected to deliver robust Q2 earnings, driven by growing demand for custodian services and favorable operating leverage. This expectation follows a recent lift in the brokerage’s price target to $175 from $157, reflecting a more bullish outlook while maintaining a hold rating. The higher target aligns with an average consensus of $182.35, suggesting analysts see further upside potential in the company’s fee‑based business. For the next 1–10 trading days, the market will be watching the Q2 earnings release for any guidance updates that could confirm or revise the projected earnings strength. A positive earnings surprise or higher‑than‑expected fee growth would reinforce the bullish sentiment and could support the stock’s upward trajectory. Conversely, weaker guidance or a decline in fee income would undermine the current optimism and could trigger a pullback. Traders should also monitor any changes in asset‑management fee structures, as these directly impact the company’s operating leverage and profitability. The broader custodian services sector remains sensitive to regulatory shifts and market volatility, which could influence demand for Northern Trust’s services. In the short term, the key watch items are the Q2 earnings announcement, guidance updates, and any fee‑adjustment announcements that could alter the company’s earnings outlook.
Earnings Summary
Northern Trust Corporation, a Chicago‑based financial holding company founded in 1889, delivers asset servicing and wealth management solutions to institutional investors, corporations, and high‑net‑worth individuals, positioning it within the broader asset management sector. In the most recent two quarters, the firm posted EPS of $2.69 in Q4 2025 and $2.71 in Q1 2026, up from $2.29 in Q3 2025 and $2.13 in Q2 2025, while revenue rose from $2.0309 billion to $2.1231 billion and then to $2.2056 billion, reflecting steady fee‑income growth and operating leverage. Across the last seven quarters, Northern Trust has consistently beat analyst estimates, achieving six out of seven EPS beats and maintaining revenue expansion each period. Historically, the company has shown a pattern of incremental EPS growth coupled with robust revenue increases, underscoring its fee‑based business resilience even amid market volatility. Recent analyst commentary highlights a bullish outlook, with price targets lifted to $175 and $200 by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods and B of A Securities, respectively, and the firm added to Zacks Rank #1 momentum, signaling investor confidence; the company also secured a €340 million low‑carbon infrastructure mandate and is in the process of divesting its guardianship services to focus on higher‑margin wealth management, developments that could sharpen operating leverage. Going forward, investors should watch the Q2 2026 earnings release for guidance on fee growth, the status of the guardianship divestiture, and any regulatory updates that could affect custodian demand, as these factors will shape the firm’s earnings trajectory.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.69$2.03$2.37$2.71$3.05Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$2.89 - -
Q1'26$2.33$2.71+16.5%
Q4'25$2.41$2.69+11.5%
Q3'25$2.24$2.29+2.2%
Q2'25$2.04$2.13+4.2%
Q1'25$1.84$1.90+3.1%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.9B$2.0B$2.2B$2.3B$2.5BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$2.4B - -
Q1'26$2.3B$2.2B-2.9%
Q4'25$2.1B$2.1B+1.1%
Q3'25 - $2.0B -
Q2'25 - $2.0B -
Q1'25 - $1.9B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

NTRS Stock Snapshot

NTRS is currently trading at $184.00, giving Northern Trust Corporation a market cap of 33.97B and a P/E ratio of 18.2. Today's range spans $182.00–$185.00, with shares opening at $183.79 and moving up $0.47 (0.3%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 95/100 (BUY) with a news sentiment reading of 70/100.

Over the past year NTRS has traded between $118.99 and $185.57 - the current price is +54.6% off the 52-week low and -0.8% from the high. 23 analysts cover the stock with a Hold consensus and a mean 12-month target of $179.35 (range $145.00–$200.00), implying downside of -2.5%.

Dividend-paying Financial Services stocks at the large-cap level tend to attract a different buyer mix than pure growth names - and NTRS (33.97B market cap) with a BUY read (95/100) and bullish sentiment (70/100) benefits from both income-oriented and growth-oriented flows. The current P/E ratio stands at 18.2. Price: $184.00 (near 52-week highs in $118.99–$185.57). When technical momentum aligns with that dual-buyer base, the price path tends to be more durable than single-buyer-type momentum trades.

What makes NTRS's BUY setup (95/100) particularly actionable at 33.97B in Financial Services capitalization is the scale-to-move ratio: large enough to feature on institutional mandates but not so large that the percentage upside is already compressed by index inertia. At $184.00 (near 52-week highs in $118.99–$185.57), with sentiment running bullish at 70/100, the setup rewards conviction-sized positioning more than it does speculative small bets.