DailyIQ
|
Sector:Consumer CyclicalAll sectors
Last updated 2 minutes ago

NVR·NVR, Inc.

$.
+. (+.%)
High
$6,684.25
Open
$6,520.00
Market Cap
17.50B
52W High
$8,618.28
Low
$6,517.00
P. Close
$6,497.57
P/E
14.13
52W Low
$5,501.01
Fwd P/E
15.47
DailyIQ Est.
$6847.31
Technical Score (1D)
59
BUY
News Sentiment
49
MIXED
NVR’s latest earnings report highlighted robust cash‑flow generation and disciplined capital allocation, which has pushed its valuation multiples—P/E and EV/EBITDA—into a more attractive range relative to its peer MTH. Because the housing market is still sensitive to borrowing costs, the stronger cash position and lower debt load give NVR a buffer against a tightening rate environment, making it a more appealing choice for risk‑averse investors over the next 1–10 trading days. MTH, while offering higher growth prospects, carries a heavier debt burden that could become costly if rates rise further, potentially dampening its upside. The comparative analysis therefore suggests that NVR’s stability may attract capital in the short term, especially as investors weigh the trade‑off between growth and risk. Watch for the next earnings release to confirm whether NVR can maintain its cash‑flow trajectory and whether any new capital projects are announced. Pay close attention to any changes in the company’s debt profile, as an increase could erode the current valuation advantage. Monitor the Federal Reserve’s policy statements and the housing starts data, which will influence the broader interest‑rate sensitivity of both firms. Finally, keep an eye on any shifts in the broader housing market demand, as that will directly affect NVR’s revenue outlook and could alter the relative attractiveness of the two stocks.
Earnings Summary
NVR, Inc. is a leading U.S. homebuilder that operates through its Homebuilding and Mortgage Banking segments, offering a diverse portfolio of single‑family homes, townhomes, and condominiums under the Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes brands while also providing mortgage origination, title insurance, and title search services; the company’s operations span a broad geographic footprint from the East Coast to the Midwest, positioning it firmly within the consumer cyclical residential construction sector. In the most recent two quarters, NVR’s revenue fell from $2.56 billion in Q3 2025 to $1.83 billion in Q1 2026, a 28% decline, while EPS dropped from $112.33 to $67.76, a 39% decline; this contrasts with the prior two quarters where revenue grew modestly from $2.35 billion in Q1 2025 to $2.55 billion in Q2 2025 (8.5% growth) and EPS rose from $94.83 to $108.54 (14.5% growth). Historically, the company has posted EPS beats in three of the last five quarters—Q4 2024, Q2 2025, and Q3 2025—while missing estimates in Q1 2025 and Q1 2026, indicating a pattern of occasional upside but recent downward pressure on profitability. The recent news highlights a plateau in sales for two years and a 7.5% YoY decline in EPS, underscoring mounting competitive pressure and higher mortgage rates driven by rising oil prices and U.S. 10‑year yields; analysts remain divided, with Argus Research downgrading the target price amid concerns over construction costs, while Zelman & Assoc upgraded the rating, citing robust earnings and a disciplined cost model. Investors should watch for the pace of the $750 million share‑repurchase program, any guidance on revenue and margin trends in the upcoming Q3 earnings, and the impact of mortgage‑rate movements on demand, as these factors will shape NVR’s short‑term earnings trajectory and institutional flow dynamics.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$56.93$80.39$103.84$127.30$150.76Q4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$90.37 - -
Q1'26$79.20$67.76-14.4%
Q3'25$109.36$112.33+2.7%
Q2'25$106.20$108.54+2.2%
Q1'25$106.07$94.83-10.6%
Q4'24$129.35$139.93+8.2%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.7B$2.0B$2.3B$2.6B$2.9BQ4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$2.4B - -
Q1'26$2.0B$1.8B-9.2%
Q3'25 - $2.6B -
Q2'25 - $2.5B -
Q1'25 - $2.4B -
Q4'24 - $2.8B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

NVR Stock Snapshot

NVR is currently trading at $6600.45, giving NVR, Inc. a market cap of 17.50B and a P/E ratio of 14.1. Today's range spans $6517.00–$6684.25, with shares opening at $6520.00 and moving up $102.88 (1.6%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 59/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 49/100.

Over the past year NVR has traded between $5501.01 and $8618.28 - the current price is +20.0% off the 52-week low and -23.4% from the high. 15 analysts cover the stock with a Sell consensus and a mean 12-month target of $7132.00 (range $5664.00–$8096.00), implying upside of +8.1%.

Neutral technical setups in large-cap Consumer Cyclical names are inherently unstable - they resolve. Right now, NVR (59/100, HOLD, price $6600.45, in the lower half of its 52-week range) is waiting for that resolution. Sentiment: neutral at 49/100. The current P/E ratio stands at 14.1. With 17.50B in market cap, the 52-week range of $5501.01–$8618.28 is where structural support and resistance live - and which one holds when the next catalyst hits will define the next trade.

Portfolio construction in Consumer Cyclical often uses large-cap names like NVR as tactical swing positions during neutral phases: cheap enough to overweight, liquid enough to exit quickly, and large enough to provide meaningful sector beta. The current 59/100 (HOLD) at $6600.45 (in the lower half of its 52-week range) and neutral sentiment (49/100) frame the position as a catalyst play within the $5501.01–$8618.28 annual range rather than a directional bet.