DailyIQ
Last updated 1 hour ago

NVR·NVR, Inc.

$.
+. (+.%)
High
$6,116.57
Open
$6,112.88
Market Cap
16.30B
52W High
$8,618.28
Low
$6,081.93
P. Close
$6,036.99
P/E
13.16
52W Low
$5,501.01
Fwd P/E
14.38
Mean Target
-
Technical Score (1D)
27
SELL
News Sentiment
49
MIXED
NVR announced a new $750 million share repurchase program alongside its fiscal Q1 2026 results, which indicated pressure on earnings and homebuilding revenue. This combination of weaker performance and a substantial buyback prompts questions regarding capital allocation strategies and their potential impact on per-share metrics. The stock has experienced volatility, with a recent positive short-term return but a year-to-date decline. Investors will be watching to see how the buyback impacts per-share metrics in the coming quarters, especially given the current revenue pressures.
Earnings Summary
NVR, Inc. is a major U.S. homebuilder focused on constructing and selling residential properties across various segments, including single-family homes, townhomes, and condominiums, under brands like Ryan Homes and NVHomes. Operating in the Consumer Cyclical sector's Residential Construction industry, NVR also offers mortgage banking services, including origination and title services, primarily in the eastern United States. NVR's recent earnings performance has shown a deceleration in both revenue and EPS growth, particularly in the most recent reported quarters. For Q1 2026, the company reported actual EPS of $67.76 against an estimate of $79.20, and revenue of $1.83 billion against an estimate of $2.02 billion. This followed a Q4 2024 where actual EPS was $139.93 on an estimate of $129.35, with revenue at $2.78 billion. The preceding quarters of Q1 2025, Q2 2025, and Q3 2025 showed actual EPS exceeding estimates, with $94.83, $108.54, and $112.33 respectively, against estimates of $106.07, $106.20, and $109.36. Revenue for these periods was $2.35 billion, $2.55 billion, and $2.56 billion. While NVR beat EPS estimates in the three quarters leading up to Q1 2026, the most recent quarter saw a significant miss on both EPS and revenue. Recent news highlights headwinds for NVR, including a 22% revenue decline and 34% net income drop in Q1 2026, attributed to rising Treasury yields, mortgage rates, geopolitical tensions, and oil prices, despite a 7% increase in new home orders. Argus Research lowered its price target to $5,704, suggesting a reassessment of valuation. Investors will be watching for any signs of stabilization in new home orders and how NVR navigates the challenging interest rate environment and rising costs, while noting its strong liquidity position.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$56.93$80.39$103.84$127.30$150.76Q4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$90.80 - -
Q1'26$79.20$67.76-14.4%
Q3'25$109.36$112.33+2.7%
Q2'25$106.20$108.54+2.2%
Q1'25$106.07$94.83-10.6%
Q4'24$129.35$139.93+8.2%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.7B$2.0B$2.3B$2.6B$2.9BQ4'24Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$2.4B - -
Q1'26$2.0B$1.8B-9.2%
Q3'25 - $2.6B -
Q2'25 - $2.5B -
Q1'25 - $2.4B -
Q4'24 - $2.8B -

Market Data

NVR Stock Snapshot

NVR is currently trading at $6094.21, giving NVR, Inc. a market cap of 16.30B and a P/E ratio of 13.2. Today's range spans $6081.93–$6116.57, with shares opening at $6112.88 and moving up $57.22 (0.9%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 27/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 49/100.

Over the past year NVR has traded between $5501.01 and $8618.28 - the current price is +10.8% off the 52-week low and -29.3% from the high.

Macro sensitivity explains some of NVR's bearish setup (27/100, SELL) - at 16.30B in Consumer Cyclical market cap, interest rate shifts, currency moves, or commodity price changes can create fundamental headwinds that compound the technical deterioration. Sentiment: neutral (49/100). Price: $6094.21 (in the lower half of its 52-week range). The current P/E ratio stands at 13.2. Annual range: $5501.01–$8618.28. The question for investors is whether the macro driver is transient or structural - because the answer determines whether this is a tradeable dip or a deeper re-rating.

Analyst coverage for NVR becomes a double-edged factor in a SELL phase: at 16.30B in Consumer Cyclical market cap, active coverage is high enough that downgrade risk is real and impactful. The 27/100 technical reading and neutral sentiment (49/100) at $6094.21 (in the lower half of its 52-week range) place the stock in the zone where one or two high-profile estimate cuts can convert a grinding decline into a sharper re-rating — the $5501.01–$8618.28 range establishes where that repricing lands.

Recent News Coverage

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