NXPI·NXP Semiconductors N.V.

Realized volatility (21d)

32.8% 45th pct

Below its peak

-32.1%

vs 200-day average

-8.0%

Up days (1y)

50%

NXP Semiconductors N.V. is currently running 32.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against NXPI's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 45th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 34.1%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

NXPI is trading -32.1% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -27.4%, and the deepest was -51.0% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -8.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 20th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year NXPI closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 14 years of records, NXPI finished the month higher 7 of 14 times, with a median return of -0.7% and an average of -1.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +6.1% on average, its weakest March at -3.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: NXPI has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 240 of 3,268 sessions (7.3% of the time), with the largest gaps running +10.0% and -11.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, NXPI moved an average of 4.4% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -0.4% and a largest of +8.7%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against NXPI's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.