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OKE·ONEOK, Inc.

$93.49
+0.27 (+0.29%)
After Hours
High
$95.01
Open
$92.63
Market Cap
58.76B
52W High
$99.85
Low
$92.27
P. Close
$93.49
P/E
16.07
52W Low
$64.02
Fwd P/E
14.97
DailyIQ Est.
$101.95
Inst. Ownership
37.2%
Short Interest
4.14%
Days to Cover
7.5
Technical Score (1D)
59
BUY
News Sentiment
56
BULLISH
The most recent update places OKE among the top dividend‑growth stocks for September, with a yield approaching 7 %. The analyst’s long position signals confidence that the company will continue to raise its dividend, reinforcing its appeal to income‑focused investors. This endorsement does not indicate a new corporate event but confirms OKE’s status as a reliable dividend payer in the current market. Over the next 1–10 trading days, the primary driver for OKE’s valuation will be the company’s upcoming earnings release, which will test the sustainability of its payout ratio. Investors should watch for any guidance on future dividend increases or cuts, as that will directly affect the stock’s yield profile. Additionally, monitoring OKE’s cash‑flow generation and debt service coverage will provide insight into its ability to maintain dividend growth. A positive earnings surprise could lift the stock’s price, while a miss or a dividend warning would likely dampen sentiment. Finally, keep an eye on broader interest‑rate movements, as higher rates could pressure dividend‑yielding stocks like OKE by making alternative fixed‑income assets more attractive.
Earnings Summary
ONEOK, Inc. is a leading midstream energy company that gathers, processes, transports, and stores natural gas and natural gas liquids across key U.S. production regions such as the Mid‑Continent, Permian Basin, and Rocky Mountains, positioning it firmly within the oil & gas midstream sector. The company’s extensive pipeline network and processing facilities enable it to connect producers with end‑users, delivering a diversified portfolio of energy products including gasoline, diesel, and aviation fuel. In recent quarters, ONEOK’s revenue has shown a steady upward trajectory, rising from $7.00 billion in Q4 2024 to $12.05 billion in Q2 2026, a 72% year‑over‑year increase, while EPS has fluctuated around the $1.30–$1.55 range, with a slight decline in Q1 2025 to $1.04 versus the $1.57 in Q4 2024, yet rebounding to $1.34 in Q2 2025 and $1.49 in Q3 2025. The company beat estimates in Q4 2024 and Q3 2025, missed in Q1 2025, and narrowly beat in Q2 2025, indicating a mixed but generally positive earnings trend. Historically, ONEOK has maintained consistent revenue growth, with YoY increases of 10–15% in the past four quarters, while EPS has alternated between beats and misses, reflecting sensitivity to operating leverage and commodity price swings. Recent news highlights ONEOK’s acquisition of high‑margin Brazos Permian assets, expected to lift EBITDA and improve cash flow, alongside a cash tender offer to repurchase up to $2 billion of debt, which could reduce interest expense and strengthen the balance sheet. These developments suggest a strategic focus on enhancing profitability and financial flexibility. Investors should watch for the impact of the debt repurchase on leverage ratios and any guidance revisions regarding operating leverage, as well as the performance of the newly acquired Permian assets in the next earnings cycle, which will be key to assessing the sustainability of revenue growth and EPS resilience.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.24$1.37$1.49$1.61$1.73Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.68 - -
Q2'26$1.48$1.53+3.7%
Q1'26$1.31$1.30-0.7%
Q4'25$1.49$1.55+3.8%
Q3'25$1.45$1.49+2.5%
Q2'25$1.33$1.34+0.9%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$7.3B$8.6B$10.0B$11.3B$12.7BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$11.1B - -
Q2'26$9.0B$12.0B+33.3%
Q1'26$8.2B$9.6B+16.8%
Q4'25$8.7B$9.1B+3.6%
Q3'25 - $8.6B -
Q2'25 - $7.9B -

Market Data

OKE Stock Snapshot

HOLD59/100
$93.46$0.03 (0.0%)
Market cap
58.76B
P/E ratio
16.1
Day range
$92.27 – $95.01
News sentiment
56/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$101.05 (+8.1%)
Consensus
Hold · 30 analysts
52-week range+46.0% off low · -6.4% from high
$64.02$99.85
Price $93.46 DailyIQ Est. $101.95

OKE is in a holding pattern - neither trend nor momentum has taken control. Institutional coverage is thorough here, so shifts in analyst expectations show up in price quickly.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into OKE?

CHEAP

At today's price, ONEOK, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 14.2% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 7.04% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 19.1% a year, so the market is asking for 5.0 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis OKE looks priced below what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
14.2%
Historical FCF CAGR
19.1%
Growth gap
-5.0 pts
Verdict
CHEAP
Discount rate (WACC)
7.04%
Beta
0.71

Behaviour On Record

What OKE's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
28.5% 74th pct
Below its peak
-18.1%
vs 200-day average
+11.7%
Up days (1y)
53%

ONEOK, Inc. is currently running 28.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against OKE's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 74th percentile a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 21.9%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

OKE is trading -18.1% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -18.5%, and the deepest was -57.3% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +11.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 82nd percentile a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year OKE closed higher on 53% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, OKE finished the month higher 5 of 13 times, with a median return of -1.9% and an average of -3.3%. Its strongest month historically has been April at +3.3% on average, its weakest September at -3.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: OKE has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 127 of 3,268 sessions (3.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.1% and -6.7%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, OKE moved an average of 2.1% in the session after earnings, closing higher 0 of those 3 times, with a median move of -1.4% and a largest of -3.6%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-18 and 2026-09-17, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against OKE's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of OKE's sector?

ONEOK, Inc. sits in the Energy sector, currently ranked 2nd of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#2 of 11
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
80

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for OKE?

CallsPuts

For ONEOK, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-18, 0 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.56), with at-the-money implied volatility around 23.4%.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-18)
0.56
ATM implied volatility
23.4%
Total open interest
24,577

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on OKE?

TD Cowen most recently reiterated its rating on ONEOK, Inc. to Hold on Sep 11, 2026 with a price target of $93 (from $90). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 2 downgrades, a net bearish lean.

Latest action
TD CowenHold
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
2
Net rating momentum
-2
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 11, 2026TD CowenMaintainedHold$90 → $93
Sep 9, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$105 → $112
Sep 3, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$97 → $108
Sep 2, 2026JefferiesMaintainedHold$95 → $105
Sep 2, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedHold$93 → $104
Sep 2, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$98 → $106
Sep 1, 2026ScotiabankMaintainedSector Perform$89 → $95
Sep 1, 2026JP MorganMaintainedNeutral$95 → $106
Aug 18, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$103 → $105
Jul 29, 2026Morgan StanleyDowngradeOverweight → Equal-Weight$113 → $103
Jul 21, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedSector Perform$84 → $90
Jul 17, 2026JefferiesDowngradeBuy → Hold$100 → $95

OKE Competitive Positioning

ONEOK, Inc. (OKE) is tracked alongside these names in Oil & Gas Midstream on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.