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ORCL·Oracle Corporation

$.
-. (-.%)
High
$133.41
Open
$132.00
Market Cap
396.05B
52W High
$345.72
Low
$127.11
P. Close
$131.54
P/E
23.18
52W Low
$134.57
Fwd P/E
12.04
DailyIQ Est.
$276.04
Technical Score (1D)
14
SELL
News Sentiment
64
BULLISH
Oracle’s debt load and the concentration of its order book on the OpenAI contract have triggered a sharp sell‑off, pushing the shares below a key $134 support level and raising liquidity concerns. The S&P downgrade to BBB‑ from BBB, announced eight hours ago, underscores doubts about Oracle’s ability to service its debt and absorb the costs of its $70 billion AI build‑out. The downgrade also coincides with rising CDS spreads after the $300 billion OpenAI partnership, amplifying fears that the partnership could be a liability if the Apple lawsuit escalates. Oracle’s 52‑week low at $132 and the break of a technical floor have split the market between a potential buying opportunity and a risk of a debt‑fueled collapse. The company’s projected negative free cash flow for the hyperscaler cohort signals a liquidity squeeze that could pressure capital allocation decisions in the near term. Meanwhile, the UK Treasury’s designation of Oracle as a critical third‑party supplier to the financial sector introduces mandatory resilience testing and incident reporting, which may increase operating costs but also enhance regulatory credibility. Oracle’s AI roadmap, emphasizing AI‑optimized databases and analytics, remains a growth driver, but the heavy debt burden could limit the company’s ability to invest further in AI if revenue growth stalls. Traders should monitor Oracle’s upcoming earnings for updated debt guidance, any changes to the OpenAI partnership terms, and the impact of the UK regulatory framework on operating expenses. Additionally, watch for developments in the Apple lawsuit and any signals from S&P about the sustainability of Oracle’s AI strategy, as these will shape the risk profile over the next 1–10 trading days.
Earnings Summary
Oracle Corporation, a global technology provider founded in 1977 and headquartered in Austin, Texas, specializes in enterprise‑level software and cloud services, offering a comprehensive suite of cloud applications such as ERP, SCM, and HCM, alongside industry‑specific solutions and the NetSuite suite. The company also delivers robust infrastructure technologies, including the Oracle Database and cloud‑based compute, storage, and networking capabilities, positioning it firmly within the software‑infrastructure sector. In the most recent fiscal year, Oracle’s earnings have shown a mixed but generally upward trajectory. Q1 2025 revenue rose to $14.13 billion, but EPS of $1.47 fell short of the $1.49 estimate; Q2 2025 revenue increased to $15.90 billion and EPS of $1.70 beat the $1.64 estimate; Q3 2025 revenue dipped to $14.93 billion and EPS of $1.47 missed the $1.48 estimate; Q4 2025 revenue climbed to $16.06 billion and EPS of $2.26 surpassed the $1.64 estimate. The trend continued into 2026, with Q3 revenue of $17.19 billion slightly below the $17.25 estimate and EPS of $1.79 beating the $1.74 estimate, and Q4 revenue of $19.18 billion falling short of the $19.48 estimate while EPS of $2.11 exceeded the $1.96 estimate, giving Oracle four of the last six quarters of EPS beats. Historically, Oracle has maintained a pattern of EPS beats in the majority of recent quarters, even as revenue growth has fluctuated, indicating resilience in profitability. Recent news highlights a 17 % revenue rise to $67.4 billion and a 37 % jump in net income to $17 billion, driven largely by a 93 % surge in Oracle Cloud Infrastructure revenue to $5.8 billion, underscoring the expanding demand for AI‑enabled cloud services; the company’s defense ecosystem expansion and partnership with Crusoe to deliver AI compute further diversify its revenue streams. Investors should watch for guidance on OCI revenue, defense‑sector revenue growth, and capex plans, as well as the pace of AI product adoption and backlog conversion, to gauge the sustainability of Oracle’s earnings momentum.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.35$1.61$1.86$2.12$2.38Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$1.74 - -
Q4'26$1.96$2.11+7.5%
Q3'26$1.74$1.79+3.1%
Q4'25$1.64$2.26+38.0%
Q3'25$1.48$1.47-0.6%
Q2'25$1.64$1.70+3.4%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$14.2B$15.7B$17.2B$18.7B$20.2BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q3'26Q4'26Q1'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q1'27$19.5B - -
Q4'26$19.5B$19.2B-1.5%
Q3'26$17.3B$17.2B-0.4%
Q4'25 - $16.1B -
Q3'25 - $14.9B -
Q2'25 - $15.9B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

ORCL Stock Snapshot

ORCL is currently trading at $130.06, giving Oracle Corporation a market cap of 396.05B and a P/E ratio of 23.2. Today's range spans $127.11–$133.41, with shares opening at $132.00 and moving down $1.48 (1.1%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 14/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 64/100.

Over the past year ORCL has traded between $134.57 and $345.72 - the current price is -3.4% off the 52-week low and -62.4% from the high. 50 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $251.85 (range $155.00–$400.00), implying upside of +93.6%.

ORCL is showing a SELL signal (14/100) with bullish sentiment (64/100). Price: $130.06 (near 52-week lows within $134.57–$345.72). (P/E: 23.2) At 396.05B in Technology market cap, a bearish technical read accompanied by negative sentiment often marks the beginning of an earnings revision cycle downward - active managers trim before the revisions become consensus, compounding the selling pressure.

The current SELL phase for ORCL (14/100) at $130.06 (near 52-week lows) suggests that the market is discounting either a fundamental deterioration or a sector headwind that hasn't fully appeared in the earnings line yet. Sentiment at 64/100 (bullish) confirms that news flow is not providing a counternarrative. At 396.05B in Technology capitalization, ORCL has the liquidity for institutional exits to be orderly — but orderly doesn't mean shallow within the $134.57–$345.72 range.