ORCL·Oracle Corporation

Realized volatility (21d)

44.7% 87th pct

Below its peak

-57.2%

vs 200-day average

-11.3%

Up days (1y)

44%

Oracle Corporation is currently running 44.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against ORCL's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 87th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 23.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

ORCL is trading -57.2% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -17.9%, and the deepest was -46.4% in 2025. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -11.3% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 11th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year ORCL closed higher on 44% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 14 years of records, ORCL finished the month higher 9 of 14 times, with a median return of +1.7% and an average of +1.8%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +4.5% on average, its weakest December at -2.0%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: ORCL has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 64 of 3,269 sessions (2.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.2% and -5.4%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, ORCL moved an average of 3.5% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -1.4% and a largest of -7.2%.

All figures computed from 3,270 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against ORCL's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.