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PANW·Palo Alto Networks, Inc.

$363.58
-11.67 (-3.11%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$363.85+0.27 (+0.07%)
High
$377.94
Open
$375.08
Market Cap
297.41B
52W High
$399.50
Low
$356.00
P. Close
$363.58
P/E
968.76
52W Low
$139.57
Fwd P/E
74.52
DailyIQ Est.
$421.61
Inst. Ownership
44.8%
Short Interest
2.62%
Days to Cover
3.9
Technical Score (1D)
68
BUY
News Sentiment
37
BEARISH
Jim Cramer’s recent endorsement of Palo Alto Networks on Mad Money highlights the firm’s scale and strong revenue growth, noting a 34 % rise in fiscal Q4 2026 revenue to $3.41 billion and a 63 % jump in next‑generation security ARR to $9.10 billion. This bullish signal is likely to reinforce short‑term demand for PANW shares as investors weigh the company’s cash‑generating capacity. The same week, PANW reported a 40 % increase in fiscal 2026 SASE bookings, driven by growth in Access, SD‑WAN and secure‑browser segments, and it has displaced legacy vendors in roughly 100 accounts, adding over $400 million in contract value. The SASE momentum positions PANW as a potential market leader within five to seven years, which could translate into higher margin expansion and longer‑term revenue growth. Meanwhile, a sector rotation that saw semiconductor names tumble while cybersecurity names surged has lifted PANW by nearly 13 %, reflecting investor concern that rapid AI development may outpace security safeguards and prompting higher spending on cyber defenses. This defensive rally could provide a short‑term boost to PANW’s valuation as AI risk becomes a market theme. However, Bernstein’s downgrade to Market Perform, coupled with a price‑target adjustment—first to $351 from $253 and then a later increase to $351—signals caution about valuation risk and potential competitive pressure, even as long‑term fundamentals remain solid. The mixed analyst sentiment underscores uncertainty about PANW’s near‑term trajectory, so traders should monitor upcoming earnings guidance and any further analyst revisions. In the next 1–10 trading days, watch for the company’s Q4 earnings release, any updates on SASE deployment velocity, and how the broader AI‑driven security spend trend evolves.
Earnings Summary
Palo Alto Networks is a global cybersecurity provider offering a multi‑faceted platform that combines cloud‑based access, network security management, and AI‑driven threat detection, serving enterprises, service providers, and government entities. The company operates in the technology sector, specifically within software infrastructure, and focuses on delivering advanced security solutions through its AI‑powered operations suite. In the most recent fiscal year, the company has consistently reported revenue growth, with Q4 2026 revenue reaching $3.41 billion, a 34 % increase from the prior year, while EPS rose to $1.02, beating estimates of $0.9959. Compared to Q3 2026, revenue grew modestly from $3.00 billion to $3.41 billion, and EPS increased from $0.85 to $1.02, indicating a slight acceleration in profitability. Over the last four quarters, PANW has beaten earnings estimates in three quarters (Q1, Q2, Q4 2025; Q4 2026) and missed in Q3 2025, demonstrating a generally positive earnings trend with occasional volatility. Historically, the company has maintained a YoY revenue growth trajectory above 20 % for the past three years, with EPS growth consistently outpacing revenue growth, reflecting efficient cost management and margin expansion. Notable beats include Q4 2026 revenue and EPS, while Q3 2025 EPS fell short of expectations, yet revenue remained strong. Recent news highlights a sector‑wide pullback in tech shares due to rising Treasury yields, which has pressured PANW’s valuation multiples, and a bullish endorsement from Jim Cramer citing a 63 % jump in next‑generation security ARR and a 40 % increase in SASE bookings, underscoring strong product momentum. Analysts have mixed views, with Bernstein downgrading the stock to Market Perform and adjusting the price target, signaling caution over valuation risk. Investors should watch for the upcoming Q1 2027 earnings release, any revisions to guidance, and the impact of Treasury yield movements on valuation, as well as the performance of the newly integrated Tenzai Cortex Exposure Management partnership, which could influence customer acquisition and retention dynamics.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.76$0.84$0.91$0.99$1.06Q2'25Q3'25Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26Q4'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'25$0.94 - -
Q4'26$1.00$1.02+2.4%
Q3'26$0.80$0.85+6.7%
Q2'26$0.96$1.03+7.2%
Q3'25$0.89$0.93+4.4%
Q2'25$0.89$0.95+7.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$2.3B$2.6B$2.9B$3.3B$3.6BQ2'25Q3'25Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26Q4'25
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'25$2.6B - -
Q4'26$3.4B$3.4B-0.3%
Q3'26$3.0B$3.0B-0.0%
Q2'26$2.6B$2.6B-1.5%
Q3'25 - $2.5B -
Q2'25 - $2.5B -

Market Data

PANW Stock Snapshot

BUY68/100
$363.85+$0.27 (0.1%)
Market cap
297.41B
P/E ratio
968.8
Day range
$356.00 – $377.94
News sentiment
37/100 · Bearish
Analyst target
$395.38 (+8.7%)
Consensus
Buy · 64 analysts
52-week range+160.7% off low · -8.9% from high
$139.57$399.50
Price $363.85 DailyIQ Est. $421.61

Palo Alto Networks, Inc. screens well technically, with price sitting in the upper part of its 52-week range. Liquidity at this scale means Technology rotation matters more to short-term price than any single headline.

Behaviour On Record

What PANW's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
67.8% 96th pct
Below its peak
-8.2%
vs 200-day average
+51.8%
Up days (1y)
54%

Palo Alto Networks, Inc. is currently running 67.8% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against PANW's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 96th percentile an extreme by its own standards, against a typical reading of 32.6%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

PANW is trading -8.2% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -28.7%, and the deepest was -46.6% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +51.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 98th percentile a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year PANW closed higher on 54% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, PANW finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +2.4% and an average of +1.4%. Its strongest month historically has been May at +8.9% on average, its weakest March at -0.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: PANW has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 119 of 3,267 sessions (3.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.1% and -10.3%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 4 dated reports on file, PANW moved an average of 4.5% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 4 times, with a median move of -1.8% and a largest of -7.0%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-09-20 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against PANW's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of PANW's sector?

Palo Alto Networks, Inc. sits in the Technology sector, currently ranked 1st of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading). Within its narrower Software industry group, PANW ranks 3rd of 15 tracked industries, leading.

Sector rank
#1 of 11
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
90
Industry rank
#3 of 15

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for PANW?

CallsPuts

For Palo Alto Networks, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-25, 5 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.69), with at-the-money implied volatility around 50.8%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±6.4% move by that expiry — a range of about $349.64–$397.18.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-25)
0.69
ATM implied volatility
50.8%
Total open interest
12,810
Expected move by 2026-09-25
±6.4% ($349.64–$397.18)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on PANW?

Bernstein most recently downgraded Palo Alto Networks, Inc. to Market Perform on Sep 17, 2026 with a price target of $351 (from $253). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bearish lean.

Latest action
BernsteinMarket Perform
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
1
Net rating momentum
-1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 17, 2026BernsteinDowngradeOutperform → Market Perform$253 → $351
Sep 3, 2026Argus ResearchReiteratedBuy$425
Sep 2, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$400 → $410
Sep 2, 2026Roth CapitalMaintainedNeutral$210 → $300
Sep 2, 2026OppenheimerMaintainedOutperform$400 → $450
Sep 2, 2026Piper SandlerReiteratedOverweight$345 → $410
Sep 2, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedBuy$345 → $420
Sep 2, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$370 → $375
Sep 2, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$434 → $475
Sep 2, 2026GuggenheimReiteratedNeutral-
Sep 2, 2026SusquehannaMaintainedPositive$350 → $415
Sep 2, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$387 → $394

PANW Competitive Positioning

Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW) is tracked alongside these names in Software - Infrastructure on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.