PATH·UiPath Inc

Realized volatility (21d)

33.4% 6th pct

Below its peak

-84.5%

vs 200-day average

+5.7%

Up days (1y)

51%

UiPath Inc is currently running 33.4% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against PATH's own 5 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 6th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 57.4%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

PATH is trading -84.5% below its running peak. Across 4 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -48.6%, and the deepest was -75.9% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +5.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 72nd percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year PATH closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 6 years of records, PATH finished the month higher 1 of 6 times, with a median return of -0.8% and an average of +1.1%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +7.1% on average, its weakest February at -10.3%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: PATH has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 110 of 1,377 sessions (8.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +13.7% and -11.3%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 1,378 daily closes between 2021-04-21 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against PATH's own 6-year history, not a peer group or index.