DailyIQ
Last updated 1 minute ago

PEP·PepsiCo, Inc.

$.
+. (+.%)
High
$139.04
Open
$137.11
Market Cap
185.77B
52W High
$171.48
Low
$135.50
P. Close
$135.40
P/E
17.78
52W Low
$133.75
Fwd P/E
15.07
DailyIQ Est.
$156.96
Technical Score (1D)
27
SELL
News Sentiment
65
BULLISH
RBC Capital has cut PepsiCo’s price target to $161 from $163 while keeping a Sector Perform rating, citing a mixed Q2 earnings report that leaves investors uncertain about the company’s near‑term trajectory. The downgrade follows a core EPS of $2.20 versus consensus $2.21 and revenue of $24.18 billion, slightly below expectations, even as international sales remain a bright spot. Because the target reduction signals a more cautious outlook, traders may see a tightening of the stock’s upside range over the next 1–10 trading days. The market implication is that PEP could trade closer to the new target as investors reassess the company’s ability to sustain growth amid domestic sales softness. Watch for the company’s upcoming guidance on organic revenue growth and core EPS for 2026, which will test whether the 2‑4 % and 4‑6 % growth forecasts hold. Pay attention to any updates on capex plans, as the firm’s capex below 5 % of net revenue could influence cash flow expectations. Monitor domestic sales data releases, as continued weakness could reinforce the cautious stance. Keep an eye on RBC’s subsequent research notes; a further rating change could shift sentiment more sharply. Finally, observe broader consumer spending trends, which could amplify the impact of PepsiCo’s domestic sales performance on the stock’s short‑term volatility.
Earnings Summary
PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) is a global consumer‑defensive powerhouse that produces and markets a broad portfolio of beverages and convenient foods, with key brands such as Pepsi, Gatorade, Lay’s, and Doritos. Operating across North America, Latin America, Europe, and Asia, the company’s revenue mix reflects both stable snack sales and seasonal beverage demand. In the latest two quarters, PepsiCo posted EPS of $2.26 in Q4 2025, narrowly beating the $2.2597 estimate, and $1.61 in Q1 2026, missing the $2.25944 forecast, while revenue climbed to $29.343 billion in Q4 2025, slightly above the $29.262 billion estimate, but fell sharply to $19.443 billion in Q1 2026, well below the $23.8665 billion expectation; this represents a 22 % jump from Q3 2025 to Q4 2025 followed by a 34 % decline into Q1 2026. The preceding two quarters showed a strong run: Q2 2025 EPS of $2.12 exceeded the $2.02904 estimate and Q3 2025 EPS of $2.29 beat the $2.25996 forecast, with revenues of $22.726 billion and $23.937 billion respectively, indicating steady growth. Historically, PepsiCo has delivered consistent revenue beats in the past four quarters, with EPS generally outperforming expectations until the recent Q1 2026 miss, underscoring the impact of domestic pricing pressures and higher transportation costs. Recent analyst commentary notes a downgrade of the price target by RBC and Citi following a mixed Q2 2026 report, citing domestic sales softness and ineffective price cuts, while the company’s ESG reporting gap and a new joint venture in Vietnam are highlighted as material developments; these factors could influence investor sentiment and the company’s cost structure. Investors should watch for guidance on domestic snack and beverage volumes, the effectiveness of the company’s pricing strategy, and any updates to its Scope 3 emissions reporting, as these elements will shape PepsiCo’s near‑term profitability and growth outlook.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.51$1.73$1.95$2.18$2.40Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$2.30 - -
Q2'26$2.21$2.20-0.4%
Q1'26$2.26$1.61-28.7%
Q4'25$2.26$2.26+0.0%
Q3'25$2.26$2.29+1.3%
Q2'25$2.03$2.12+4.5%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$18.0B$21.2B$24.4B$27.6B$30.8BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$25.3B - -
Q2'26$24.2B$24.2B-0.1%
Q1'26$23.9B$19.4B-18.5%
Q4'25$29.3B$29.3B+0.3%
Q3'25 - $23.9B -
Q2'25 - $22.7B -

Market Data

PEP Stock Snapshot

PEP is currently trading at $138.71, giving PepsiCo, Inc. a market cap of 185.77B and a P/E ratio of 17.8. Today's range spans $135.50–$139.04, with shares opening at $137.11 and moving up $3.31 (2.4%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 27/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 65/100.

Over the past year PEP has traded between $133.75 and $171.48 - the current price is +3.7% off the 52-week low and -19.1% from the high. 31 analysts cover the stock with a Hold consensus and a mean 12-month target of $155.73 (range $124.00–$183.00), implying upside of +12.3%.

Factor models are actively underweighting PEP: large-cap, Consumer Defensive, 185.77B market cap, 27/100 (SELL), bullish sentiment (65/100). Price: $138.71 (near 52-week lows). (P/E: 17.8) Momentum and trend-following strategies reduce exposure when scores drop below the 27/100 threshold; quality factors recalibrate; low-vol strategies find better risk-adjusted alternatives elsewhere in the sector. Annual range: $133.75–$171.48. The systematic de-risking compounds the fundamental concern.

Analyst coverage for PEP becomes a double-edged factor in a SELL phase: at 185.77B in Consumer Defensive market cap, active coverage is high enough that downgrade risk is real and impactful. The 27/100 technical reading and bullish sentiment (65/100) at $138.71 (near 52-week lows) place the stock in the zone where one or two high-profile estimate cuts can convert a grinding decline into a sharper re-rating — the $133.75–$171.48 range establishes where that repricing lands.