PEP·PepsiCo, Inc.
PEP|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $2.30 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $2.21 | $2.20 | -0.4% |
| Q1'26 | $2.26 | $1.61 | -28.7% |
| Q4'25 | $2.26 | $2.26 | +0.0% |
| Q3'25 | $2.26 | $2.29 | +1.3% |
| Q2'25 | $2.03 | $2.12 | +4.5% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $25.3B | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $24.2B | $24.2B | -0.1% |
| Q1'26 | $23.9B | $19.4B | -18.5% |
| Q4'25 | $29.3B | $29.3B | +0.3% |
| Q3'25 | - | $23.9B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $22.7B | - |
PEP|Monthly Returns
Market Data
PEP Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 177.09B
- P/E ratio
- 16.9
- Day range
- $129.50 – $133.70
- News sentiment
- 50/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $155.00 (+19.4%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 31 analysts
The chart on PEP has not stabilised: price is near its 52-week low and the trend is still down. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Consumer Defensive tend to move together on rotation.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into PEP?
At today's price, PepsiCo, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 1.8% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 6.00% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 2.3% a year, so the market is asking for 0.5 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis PEP looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.
- Implied FCF growth
- 1.8%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 2.3%
- Growth gap
- -0.5 pts
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 6.00%
- Beta
- 0.39
Behaviour On Record
What PEP's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 15.3% 43rd pct
- Below its peak
- -33.8%
- vs 200-day average
- -12.6%
- Up days (1y)
- 45%
PepsiCo, Inc. is currently running 15.3% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against PEP's own 9 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 43rd percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 16.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
PEP is trading -33.8% below its running peak. Across 8 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -17.6%, and the deepest was -29.2% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.
Price sits -12.6% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 4th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year PEP closed higher on 45% of sessions, and it is currently 8 sessions into a falling streak.
On September specifically: over 9 years of records, PEP finished the month higher 1 of 9 times, with a median return of -4.3% and an average of -3.4%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +2.7% on average, its weakest September at -3.4%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: PEP has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 13 of 2,196 sessions (0.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +4.4% and -7.5%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, PEP moved an average of 1.2% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -0.4% and a largest of +2.0%.
All figures computed from 2,197 daily closes between 2017-12-20 and 2026-09-18, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against PEP's own 9-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of PEP's sector?
PepsiCo, Inc. sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 6th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).
- Sector rank
- #6 of 11
- Sector state
- Improving
- Sector rotation score
- 60
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on PEP?
Barclays most recently reiterated its rating on PepsiCo, Inc. to Equal-Weight on Jul 21, 2026 with a price target of $142 (from $138). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bearish lean.
- Latest action
- Barclays — Equal-Weight
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 1
- Net rating momentum
- -1
PEP Competitive Positioning
- PEPyou're herePepsiCo, Inc.$177.1B+0.18%
- KOThe Coca-Cola Company$379.7B+0.08%
- MNSTMonster Beverage Corporation$87.6B-0.02%
- KDPKeurig Dr Pepper Inc.$42.1B-0.03%