DailyIQ
Last updated4 minutes ago

PFE·Pfizer Inc.

$28.45
-0.36 (-1.25%)
Market Closed (Overnight)$28.44-0.01 (-0.04%)
High
$28.80
Open
$28.58
Market Cap
163.52B
52W High
$29.21
Low
$28.38
P. Close
$28.45
P/E
37.74
52W Low
$23.58
Fwd P/E
9.87
DailyIQ Est.
$28.70
Inst. Ownership
34.5%
Short Interest
2.60%
Days to Cover
3.5
Technical Score (1D)
95
BUY
News Sentiment
50
MIXED
Pfizer’s updated COVID‑19 vaccine has just received regulatory approval, adding a new revenue stream that could lift earnings in the next few quarters. The approval expands the company’s product portfolio and provides a recurring sales channel that investors view as a positive earnings catalyst. Because the vaccine is a high‑margin product, the market expects a modest lift in profitability, which could support a tighter valuation range over the next 1–10 trading days. The company’s strong exposure to cytotoxic and rare‑disease therapies also underpins long‑term growth, but product concentration and upcoming patent expirations remain a risk that could temper upside. Investors are debating whether the current price already incorporates these drivers or if further upside remains, so the stock may trade within a narrow band as the market digests the new approval. Watch for the first quarterly earnings report to see how the vaccine’s sales trajectory compares to guidance, as that will clarify the earnings impact. Also monitor any updates on patent expirations for key cytotoxic drugs, which could influence the company’s competitive position. Finally, keep an eye on broader vaccine demand trends, as shifts in public health policy could affect the vaccine’s sales trajectory.
Earnings Summary
Pfizer is a global biopharmaceutical company that develops, manufactures, and distributes medicines and vaccines across cardiovascular, infectious disease, and oncology therapeutic areas, positioning it within the broader drug manufacturers sector. In the most recent quarters, Pfizer’s earnings have consistently outperformed analyst expectations, with Q4 2024 EPS of $0.63 versus an estimate of $0.46 and Q1 2025 EPS of $0.92 versus $0.67, while revenue grew from $17.76 billion to $13.71 billion, reflecting a shift toward non‑COVID oncology products. The company’s EPS growth accelerated from Q2 2025 ($0.78) to Q3 2025 ($0.87) and maintained a positive trajectory into Q1 2026 ($0.75) and Q2 2026 ($0.77), with revenue consistently beating estimates and rising from $14.65 billion to $15.03 billion. Historically, Pfizer has shown a steady YoY revenue increase, with oncology sales driving growth even as COVID‑related revenue declines; the company has repeatedly beat EPS estimates in the last four quarters, underscoring resilient profitability. Recent news highlights a 5 % operational rise in non‑COVID revenue in Q2 2026, driven by 23 % Padcev and 37 % Lorbrena sales, and the EMA’s formal review of its Lyme disease vaccine, PF‑10730705, which could open a new infectious‑disease revenue stream; these developments reinforce the company’s oncology‑driven growth narrative. Investors should watch for guidance on the 2026 dividend policy and the timing of patent expirations for key products, as these factors will influence the sustainability of earnings momentum and the company’s risk‑reward profile.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.53$0.63$0.72$0.82$0.91Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$0.76 - -
Q2'26$0.69$0.77+11.4%
Q1'26$0.72$0.75+3.9%
Q4'25$0.58$0.66+14.3%
Q3'25$0.63$0.87+37.4%
Q2'25$0.57$0.78+35.9%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$13.2B$14.5B$15.7B$16.9B$18.1BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$16.1B - -
Q2'26$14.5B$15.0B+3.3%
Q1'26$13.8B$14.5B+4.7%
Q4'25$17.1B$17.6B+2.6%
Q3'25 - $16.7B -
Q2'25 - $14.7B -

Market Data

PFE Stock Snapshot

BUY95/100
$28.44$0.01 (0.0%)
Market cap
163.52B
P/E ratio
37.7
Day range
$28.38 – $28.80
News sentiment
50/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$28.61 (+0.6%)
Consensus
Hold · 36 analysts
52-week range+20.6% off low · -2.6% from high
$23.58$29.21
Price $28.44 DailyIQ Est. $28.70

The setup on Pfizer Inc. is the constructive kind - confirmation across timeframes, not one lone indicator. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into PFE?

RICH

At today's price, Pfizer Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 2.8% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 6.66% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at -1.5% a year, so the market is asking for 4.3 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis PFE looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
2.8%
Historical FCF CAGR
-1.5%
Growth gap
+4.3 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
6.66%
Beta
0.61

Behaviour On Record

What PFE's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
20.2% 59th pct
Below its peak
-53.0%
vs 200-day average
+9.8%
Up days (1y)
51%

Pfizer Inc. is currently running 20.2% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against PFE's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 59th percentile close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 18.5%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

PFE is trading -53.0% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -20.2%, and the deepest was -48.8% in 2023. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +9.8% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 89th percentile a wider gap than this stock usually carries. Over the past year PFE closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a falling streak.

On September specifically: over 13 years of records, PFE finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +0.2% and an average of -0.3%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +3.3% on average, its weakest January at -3.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: PFE has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 24 of 3,269 sessions (0.7% of the time), with the largest gaps running +4.3% and -3.7%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, PFE moved an average of 1.8% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +1.7% and a largest of +3.8%.

All figures computed from 3,270 daily closes between 2013-09-05 and 2026-09-04, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against PFE's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of PFE's sector?

Pfizer Inc. sits in the Health Care sector, currently ranked 2nd of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#2 of 11
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
90

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for PFE?

CallsPuts

For Pfizer Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-09-04, 0 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.39), with at-the-money implied volatility around 4.7%.

Put/call ratio (2026-09-04)
0.39
ATM implied volatility
4.7%
Total open interest
80,323

PFE Competitive Positioning

Pfizer Inc. (PFE) is tracked alongside these names in Drug Manufacturers - General on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.