DailyIQ
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Sector:Consumer CyclicalAll sectors
Last updated 2 minutes ago

PHM·PulteGroup, Inc.

$.
+. (+.%)
After Hours
High
$126.76
Open
$123.56
Market Cap
23.52B
52W High
$144.50
Low
$123.56
P. Close
$123.68
P/E
11.51
52W Low
$107.16
Fwd P/E
11.25
DailyIQ Est.
$140.95
Technical Score (1D)
59
BUY
News Sentiment
55
BULLISH
Goldman Sachs’ recent upgrade of PHM’s price target to $143 from $142 signals a modest bullish reassessment of the company’s financial health and market positioning, which could lift investor sentiment over the next few trading days. The upward tweak may support a short‑term rally, but Bank of America’s Neutral rating—highlighting limited liquidity in PHM’s debt securities—introduces a cautionary note that could temper large‑cap buying and add volatility if the debt market tightens. The mixed signals from the two major banks create a nuanced outlook that traders should monitor closely. Upcoming earnings will be critical to confirm whether the new target is justified and whether liquidity concerns persist. Watch for any shift in BofA’s rating or a change in debt issuance activity that could alter the liquidity narrative. Pay attention to the market’s reaction to the earnings report, as it will likely be the decisive factor for PHM’s short‑term direction.
Earnings Summary
PulteGroup, Inc. is a leading U.S. homebuilder that develops residential communities and offers integrated mortgage services, operating within the consumer‑cyclical residential construction industry. The company’s Q4 2024 earnings per share of $4.43 beat the $3.27 estimate and revenue of $4.922 billion exceeded expectations, while Q1 2025 EPS of $2.57 surpassed the $2.42 estimate and revenue of $3.892 billion showed a modest decline from the prior quarter; Q2 2025 EPS of $3.03 beat the $2.97 estimate and revenue rose to $4.404 billion, and Q3 2025 EPS of $2.96 beat the $2.90 estimate with revenue of $4.405 billion, indicating consistent earnings strength; Q4 2025 EPS of $2.88 narrowly beat the $2.84 estimate and revenue of $4.611 billion reflected a slight increase, but Q1 2026 EPS of $1.79 fell short of the $2.59 estimate and revenue dropped to $3.409 billion, signaling a contraction in top line activity. Historically, PulteGroup has delivered five consecutive EPS beats before the recent miss, while revenue growth has been positive through Q4 2025 but reversed in Q1 2026, pointing to potential pressure from higher input costs and inventory adjustments. Recent analyst coverage has intensified, with a Zacks uptick in coverage suggesting renewed sector optimism, yet a downgrade and a 19.8 % EPS guidance cut have tempered sentiment, reflecting margin compression concerns; the stock’s recent 1.06 % decline underscores the sensitivity to earnings guidance. Investors should watch for management’s commentary on margin recovery, the pace of new community openings, and capital allocation decisions related to the Del Webb clubhouse project, as well as the influence of mortgage‑rate movements on demand, to gauge the company’s ability to sustain earnings momentum.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.60$2.01$2.41$2.81$3.22Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$2.37 - -
Q1'26$2.59$1.79-30.8%
Q4'25$2.84$2.88+1.3%
Q3'25$2.90$2.96+2.1%
Q2'25$2.97$3.03+2.1%
Q1'25$2.42$2.57+6.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$3.2B$3.6B$4.0B$4.4B$4.8BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$4.0B - -
Q1'26$4.1B$3.4B-17.2%
Q4'25$4.4B$4.6B+5.6%
Q3'25 - $4.4B -
Q2'25 - $4.4B -
Q1'25 - $3.9B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

PHM Stock Snapshot

PHM is currently trading at $123.77, giving PulteGroup, Inc. a market cap of 23.52B and a P/E ratio of 11.5. Today's range spans $123.56–$126.76, with shares opening at $123.56 and moving up $0.09 (0.1%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 59/100 (HOLD) with a news sentiment reading of 55/100.

Over the past year PHM has traded between $107.16 and $144.50 - the current price is +15.5% off the 52-week low and -14.3% from the high. 23 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $138.85 (range $100.00–$162.00), implying upside of +12.2%.

The setup for PulteGroup, Inc. (PHM) is neither bullish nor bearish - it's patient. Score: 59/100 (HOLD). Sentiment: neutral (55/100). Price: $123.77 (in the middle of its 52-week range in $107.16–$144.50). The current P/E ratio stands at 11.5. A large-cap with 23.52B in Consumer Cyclical market cap in a neutral technical phase is exactly where position-sizing decisions get made before the next trend emerges.

In neutral phases, large-cap Consumer Cyclical names like PHM are often where sector rotation debates play out quietly — at 23.52B in capitalization, the stock receives incremental allocation from funds reducing mega-cap exposure without the volatility of a small-cap entry. The 59/100 (HOLD) and neutral sentiment (55/100) at $123.77 (in the middle of its 52-week range) describe a stock that is being considered rather than avoided.