PRU·Prudential Financial, Inc.

Realized volatility (21d)

15.2% 9th pct

Below its peak

-12.4%

vs 200-day average

+4.4%

Up days (1y)

56%

Prudential Financial, Inc. is currently running 15.2% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against PRU's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 9th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 23.1%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

PRU is trading -12.4% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -24.1%, and the deepest was -58.2% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +4.4% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 64th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year PRU closed higher on 56% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, PRU finished the month higher 11 of 13 times, with a median return of +3.0% and an average of +3.2%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.8% on average, its weakest March at -2.8%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: PRU has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 124 of 3,267 sessions (3.8% of the time), with the largest gaps running +9.4% and -5.4%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, PRU moved an average of 1.8% in the session after earnings, closing higher 0 of those 3 times, with a median move of -2.0% and a largest of -3.1%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against PRU's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.