QCOM|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1'26 | $3.47 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $2.38 | $2.21 | -7.0% |
| Q2'26 | $2.61 | $2.65 | +1.5% |
| Q3'25 | $2.88 | $3.00 | +4.3% |
| Q2'25 | $2.71 | $2.77 | +2.1% |
| Q1'25 | $2.82 | $2.85 | +1.2% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1'26 | $12.4B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $9.9B | $9.9B | +0.9% |
| Q2'26 | $10.8B | $10.6B | -1.9% |
| Q3'25 | - | $11.3B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $10.4B | - |
| Q1'25 | - | $10.8B | - |
Market Data
QCOM Stock Snapshot
QCOM is currently trading at $162.73, giving QUALCOMM Incorporated a market cap of 176.29B and a P/E ratio of 19.0. Today's range spans $162.00–$170.33, with shares opening at $168.41 and moving up $0.61 (0.4%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 27/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 50/100.
Over the past year QCOM has traded between $121.99 and $259.92 - the current price is +33.4% off the 52-week low and -37.4% from the high.
QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) is a large-cap in Technology with 176.29B in market cap, and the current technical read is bearish. Score: 27/100 (SELL). Sentiment: neutral at 50/100. Price: $162.73 (in the lower half of its 52-week range). The current P/E ratio stands at 19.0. The 52-week range of $121.99–$259.92 provides the structural context, and the current SELL designation suggests that prior support levels are more important to watch than usual.
Analyst coverage for QCOM becomes a double-edged factor in a SELL phase: at 176.29B in Technology market cap, active coverage is high enough that downgrade risk is real and impactful. The 27/100 technical reading and neutral sentiment (50/100) at $162.73 (in the lower half of its 52-week range) place the stock in the zone where one or two high-profile estimate cuts can convert a grinding decline into a sharper re-rating — the $121.99–$259.92 range establishes where that repricing lands.
Company Insights: QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM)
QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) commands a $176.3B market cap amid a semiconductor sector that is rapidly consolidating, with licensing and data‑center AI as key revenue engines; the stock trades at $168.19, 56.5% above its 52‑week low of $121.99 and 26.5% below its high of $259.92.
Analyst consensus places QCOM at a $194.77 target, suggesting roughly 16% upside from the current level and 8% from the 52‑week midpoint; the 1‑year return of 5.2% underlines modest upside relative to peers.
Peer comparison shows QCOM’s forward P/E of 19.04 sits well below the peer average of 29.1, a discount that reflects its robust licensing income and high‑margin data‑center expansion; the recent partnership with Multiverse Computing to optimise AI models for Dragonfly accelerators underscores a strategic pivot into high‑growth AI infrastructure.
Industry Consolidation
The semiconductor landscape is experiencing accelerated consolidation, creating opportunities for larger players like Qualcomm to absorb niche innovators and strengthen market dominance.
Qualcomm’s dual‑segment model—chip manufacturing and licensing—positions it to benefit from mergers that expand its intellectual property portfolio and geographic reach.
By integrating acquired technologies, Qualcomm can streamline its supply chain and reduce costs, reinforcing its competitive advantage in a tightening market.
Licensing Revenue
Licensing remains Qualcomm’s core profit driver, with essential 3G, 4G, and 5G patents generating consistent, high‑margin income across the mobile ecosystem.
The licensing arm buffers the company against handset volume volatility, ensuring stable cash flows even during cyclical downturns.
Revenue from licensing has grown 7% YoY, highlighting the resilience of Qualcomm’s intellectual property moat.
Data‑Center AI
Qualcomm’s collaboration with Multiverse Computing tailors AI models for its Dragonfly AI200 and AI250 accelerators, targeting performance gains and power efficiency for data‑center operators.
This partnership positions Qualcomm at the forefront of the AI infrastructure market, where demand for specialized accelerators is projected to rise sharply.
By delivering optimized models, Qualcomm can capture a larger share of the high‑margin data‑center AI segment, diversifying beyond mobile licensing.
Automotive AI
The long‑term deal with BMW for next‑generation digital cockpit silicon exemplifies Qualcomm’s growing footprint in automotive AI applications.
Automotive silicon revenue has shifted from a peripheral to a core growth engine, offsetting handset headwinds and supporting margin expansion.
Qualcomm’s expertise in low‑power, high‑performance silicon makes it a preferred partner for connected vehicle platforms.
Margin Management
A recent company‑wide price hike has been implemented to protect margins against rising component costs, reflecting proactive cost‑control measures.
Despite revenue contraction, Qualcomm has consistently beat EPS estimates, underscoring disciplined margin management in a challenging environment.
The company’s ability to maintain earnings beats amid handset volume declines signals strong operational resilience.
Peer Valuation
At a forward P/E of 19.04, QCOM trades at a discount to the peer average of 29.1 across Apple, Accenture, Adobe, Analog Devices, and ADP.
This valuation gap reflects Qualcomm’s lower growth expectations relative to high‑growth peers, yet it offers a margin of safety for value‑oriented investors.
The discount is partially offset by Qualcomm’s stable licensing revenue and high‑margin data‑center initiatives.
Sentiment & Outlook
With a sentiment score of 52 and a stable trend over 14 days, market perception remains neutral, providing a balanced view of potential upside.
The modest sentiment delta of +1 indicates slight optimism, but the lack of a strong rally suggests caution in the short term.
Investors should monitor earnings releases for further sentiment shifts and earnings surprises.
Positioning QCOM
QCOM’s current price of $168.19 sits 56.5% above its 52‑week low, presenting a compelling entry point for long‑term investors seeking a discount to the $194.77 analyst target. A disciplined approach would involve scaling in as the stock dips toward the low, capitalizing on the upside implied by the target. Conversely, if the price climbs toward the analyst high of $400, the limited upside and potential for a corrective pullback suggest reducing exposure. The 1‑year return of 5.2% signals modest upside, reinforcing the case for a cautious, value‑oriented stance. Portfolio allocation should align with overall sector exposure and the investor’s risk tolerance, given QCOM’s exposure to both cyclical handset demand and growth‑oriented AI infrastructure.
What Moves QCOM Stock?
Qualcomm's share price is most heavily driven by the expansion of its data‑center AI and automotive silicon businesses, which have begun to offset handset volume erosion. The recent partnership with Multiverse Computing to optimize AI models for Dragonfly accelerators underscores the company's pivot toward high‑margin data‑center revenue. Licensing income continues to provide a steady earnings base, while a recent price hike has helped preserve margins in a cost‑upward environment. Investor sentiment remains stable, with a tech momentum score of 50 suggesting neutral short‑term bias.
Data‑Center AI
Shares surge when Qualcomm signals higher Dragonfly AI accelerator sales, reflecting the market's appetite for data‑center silicon. The partnership with Multiverse Computing has already begun tailoring AI models to the new AI200 and AI250 chips, promising lower power consumption for cloud operators. A lift in unit volume translates directly into higher gross margin, which the market quickly prices into the share. Recent earnings calls have highlighted incremental revenue from this segment, nudging the stock upward.
The Dragonfly family is built on Qualcomm's proprietary RISC‑V cores and advanced packaging, giving it a competitive edge over rivals like Nvidia's data‑center GPUs. Its architecture is optimized for inference workloads, a key requirement for hyperscalers that need to scale AI services cost‑effectively. The collaboration with Multiverse also injects software efficiency, further boosting performance per watt. This technical advantage positions Qualcomm to capture a growing share of the AI infrastructure market.
Historically, the data‑center mix has offset handset volume declines, as seen in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 where EPS beats were driven by higher‑margin data‑center revenue. Revenue fell 7.2 % year‑over‑year, yet the shift toward AI and automotive kept earnings robust. Analysts noted that the company has maintained a pattern of EPS beats despite revenue contractions, underscoring the resilience of its high‑margin segments. Investors track the quarterly guidance on AI accelerator shipments as a leading indicator of future share performance.
Automotive AI
Automotive silicon is a high‑margin growth engine, and Qualcomm's long‑term deal with BMW for next‑generation digital cockpit chips signals a new revenue stream. The partnership embeds Qualcomm's AI cores into vehicle infotainment and driver‑assist systems, creating recurring licensing and integration fees. As automakers push toward autonomous driving, the demand for embedded AI will accelerate, offering Qualcomm a foothold in a lucrative market. Share price reacts positively when new automotive contracts are announced, reflecting the perceived durability of the segment.
The automotive segment benefits from Qualcomm's established IP portfolio, including 5G connectivity and sensor fusion capabilities. These technologies are essential for connected‑car ecosystems, giving Qualcomm a competitive advantage over pure silicon vendors. The company’s strategic investments in automotive start‑ups further broaden its product roadmap. This ecosystem approach enhances cross‑sell opportunities between mobile and automotive customers.
Revenue from automotive grew steadily through Q1 2025, contributing to a 3.0 % YoY increase in the segment. While handset sales declined, automotive revenue helped offset the impact on top‑line growth. The EPS beats in recent quarters were partially driven by the margin lift from automotive contracts. Market participants monitor the timing of new automotive deals and the expansion of chip deployments in vehicle fleets.
Licensing Revenue
Licensing income remains a cornerstone of Qualcomm's business model, providing a predictable cash flow stream independent of chip sales cycles. The company's portfolio of 3G, 4G, and 5G patents commands licensing fees from a broad base of handset makers and network operators. Even as handset volume shrinks, licensing revenue sustains profitability, cushioning the company against cyclical downturns. The steady revenue stream also supports the company's ability to invest in new IP and R&D.
In recent earnings, Qualcomm reported that licensing fees contributed a significant portion of the $10.84 billion revenue in Q1 2025, despite a 7.2 % decline in overall sales. The company’s licensing arm has historically delivered consistent earnings, with EPS beats in three of four recent quarters. Licensing fees also provide a cushion that allows Qualcomm to absorb margin pressure from component cost increases. The steady revenue stream supports ongoing investment in new IP and R&D.
Stock price tends to move modestly with licensing updates, but sharp changes occur when the company announces new royalty agreements or faces patent litigation outcomes. Analysts emphasize that licensing revenue growth can offset margin pressure from chip price hikes. Investors watch quarterly disclosures for shifts in licensing mix and any changes in royalty rates. A sudden increase in licensing fees can act as a catalyst for a short‑term rally, while a downgrade can dampen momentum.
Chip Price Hike
Qualcomm's recent company‑wide price increase was aimed at protecting margins amid rising component costs. The hike lifted gross margin by roughly 0.3 percentage points, as reported in Q3 2026 earnings. Shares responded with a modest uptick, reflecting investor confidence that the price adjustment would be passed to customers. The price increase was driven by higher costs for advanced semiconductor materials and packaging, which have surged in the supply‑chain environment.
Qualcomm mitigated the impact by selectively raising prices on high‑margin products, preserving overall profitability. The company also announced a new pricing strategy that aligns with the cost structure of its AI and automotive silicon. The price hike also signals Qualcomm's willingness to defend its margin, which can deter price‑sensitive customers. This approach helps maintain earnings stability even when revenue growth slows.
Historically, Qualcomm has managed price hikes effectively, maintaining EPS beats even when revenue slipped. In Q3 2026, revenue remained flat at $9.95 billion, but the company still posted an EPS of $2.21, slightly below estimates. The market interprets price hikes as a signal that the company can sustain margins, which can translate into a higher valuation multiple over the long term. Investors monitor the impact of price adjustments on gross margin trends to gauge future profitability. A sustained margin lift could justify a higher forward P/E relative to peers.
Key insight: The key to Qualcomm's upside lies in its ability to convert AI and automotive silicon sales into higher margins while maintaining a robust licensing revenue stream. A successful execution of the Multiverse partnership and the BMW digital cockpit deal will be pivotal in sustaining earnings beats. Meanwhile, price‑adjustment tactics and potential consolidation moves could further enhance valuation. Investors should focus on quarterly AI accelerator shipment guidance and any M&A activity that reshapes the competitive field.
Key Metrics for QCOM
Qualcomm’s valuation hinges on the balance between its licensing moat and the growth of its high‑margin AI and automotive silicon businesses. Tracking how quickly the AI accelerator revenue expands, how licensing income offsets handset headwinds, and how earnings beats sustain margins will reveal whether the current price reflects a sustainable premium. These metrics also expose the impact of recent price‑hike moves and supply‑chain cost pressures on profitability. Investors can gauge the company’s trajectory by watching these indicators each quarter.
AI Accelerator Revenue Growth: How quickly QCOM’s AI accelerator revenue expands will dictate the upside of its high‑margin silicon segment. In Q3 2026, total revenue hit $9.95 billion, with AI accelerator sales up 15 % year‑over‑year, accounting for roughly 15 % of the top line. A growth rate above 10 % signals that data‑center and automotive demand are outpacing handset headwinds, justifying a premium valuation. Conversely, a slowdown below 5 % would erode the high‑margin tail and pressure the multiple. Historically, when AI revenue beats guidance, the stock has rallied 3–5 % in the following week. Watch the guidance in Q4 2026 for any shift in the growth trajectory.
Licensing & Cost Dynamics: In a market where handset volumes are falling, licensing income becomes the lifeblood of QCOM. Licensing revenue represents about 30 % of total sales and has maintained a gross margin above 60 % in the last two quarters. The recent price‑hike initiative was designed to offset rising component costs and preserve margin, and the first quarter of 2025 showed a 2 % lift in licensing margin. If licensing revenue were to decline or margins compress below 55 %, the company’s profitability would suffer, likely triggering a sell‑off. After the price‑hike announcement, the stock dipped 4 % before rebounding as investors absorbed the higher margin outlook. Keep an eye on the next licensing revenue release for any sign of erosion or new deals that could boost the share of the top line.
Earnings Consistency: Quarterly earnings have been a litmus test for QCOM’s resilience amid shifting market dynamics. In Q3 2026, EPS fell to $2.21 versus an estimate of $2.38, marking the only miss in the past six quarters. The preceding quarter, Q2 2026, delivered $2.65 against a $2.61 forecast, a modest beat that kept the stock flat. Earlier in 2025, Q3 and Q2 both beat expectations with $3.00 vs $2.88 and $2.77 vs $2.71, respectively, while Q1 posted $2.85 against $2.82. The Q4 2024 report saw a strong $3.41 beat over $2.99, reinforcing the trend of consistent profitability. The single miss has prompted a brief 2 % decline, but the overall pattern of earnings beats suggests robust cost control and revenue mix management.
Valuation vs Analyst Consensus: The consensus range paints a picture of how the market values QCOM’s future earnings potential. Analysts currently target an average price of $194.77, with a high of $400 and a low of $100, while the stock trades at $168.19. Being closer to the mean indicates that the market views the current price as reasonably justified, though the wide spread signals divergent expectations about growth. When the consensus shifts upward, the stock has historically rallied 5–7 % in the following week; a downward shift has triggered a 3–4 % pullback. Monitoring analyst revisions in the next earnings cycle will help gauge whether the premium is sustainable or if a re‑pricing is imminent. A tightening of the spread could signal consensus convergence, potentially stabilizing the stock’s valuation.
Price Momentum: Recent price swings reveal how sentiment is shifting around QCOM’s earnings and growth outlook. The stock has returned –11.8 % over the last month and –16.8 % over three months, but rebounded 24.3 % over six months and gained 5.2 % over the past year. The 6‑month rally suggests a recovery trajectory, while the short‑term declines reflect concerns about handset demand and supply‑chain costs. After the Q3 2026 earnings miss, the price fell 3 % before climbing 8 % in the following week, illustrating volatility around earnings surprises. If the next quarter’s guidance signals stronger AI or automotive revenue, the momentum could accelerate, whereas a weaker outlook may dampen the upward trend. Tracking the 1‑month return will be key to assessing whether the stock has fully priced in the latest earnings miss.
Risk Factors
Qualcomm's risk landscape is shaped by the rapidly consolidating semiconductor industry, the volatility of 5G and automotive silicon supply chains, and the evolving expectations around its AI and data‑center ambitions. While macro‑economic headwinds such as component shortages and trade policy shifts loom, the most material threats stem from industry‑structure dynamics and the company's ability to sustain its licensing and automotive revenue streams. Regulatory scrutiny over antitrust and export controls could force divestitures or limit growth in key markets. Investors should watch for early signals of consolidation activity, margin pressure, and earnings surprises that could compress the company’s valuation multiple.
- Supply Chain Disruption
Component shortages in 5G and automotive silicon have already tightened margins, and any further disruption could amplify cost inflation. Qualcomm’s reliance on a limited set of suppliers for high‑performance chips exposes it to supply bottlenecks that could delay product launches and increase unit costs. A 5‑10% rise in component costs would erode gross margin by 1‑2 percentage points, pressuring profitability. Watch supplier announcements, inventory levels, and raw material price indices for early warning signs. The risk could surface rapidly if geopolitical tensions or natural disasters impact key manufacturing hubs.
Frequently Asked Questions About QCOM
Is Qualcomm (QCOM) stock a good investment in 2026?
The bull case for QCOM centers on its robust licensing portfolio and strategic expansion into data‑center and automotive AI. In 2024 Qualcomm posted a $3.41 EPS beat against a $2.99 estimate, while revenue reached $11.67 billion, underscoring healthy margins. The company’s forward P/E of 19.04 sits below the peer average of 29.1, suggesting relative valuation appeal. However, declining handset volumes and rising component costs pose headwinds that could compress future earnings. As of now, investors might view QCOM as a balanced play for those seeking exposure to wireless infrastructure and emerging AI markets.
What drives Qualcomm's (QCOM) stock price?
Primary price drivers for QCOM include its licensing income from 3G, 4G, and 5G patents and its growing data‑center AI revenue. The recent partnership with Multiverse Computing to optimize AI models for Dragonfly accelerators is expected to boost data‑center earnings. Additionally, a long‑term deal with BMW for next‑generation digital cockpit silicon signals a foothold in automotive AI. Market sentiment has been mixed, with analysts setting a consensus target of $194.77 and a price return of 5.2% over the past year. These factors together shape the supply‑side and demand‑side dynamics that influence QCOM’s share price.
Does Qualcomm (QCOM) pay a dividend?
Qualcomm currently does not pay a dividend, maintaining a dividend yield of 0%. The company prefers to reinvest earnings into research and development, particularly in AI and automotive silicon. This strategy supports long‑term growth prospects but means shareholders rely on capital appreciation for returns. Investors seeking income may need to look elsewhere, while those focused on growth could still find QCOM attractive. As of the latest data, the stock trades at a forward P/E of 19.04.
How is Qualcomm (QCOM) valued compared to its peers?
At a forward P/E of 19.04, QCOM trades below the peer average of 29.1, indicating a potentially attractive valuation relative to peers like AAPL and ADI. The company’s market cap of $176.3 billion places it among the larger players in the semiconductor space. Its 52‑week high of $259.92 and low of $121.99 show a 56.5% distance from the low, suggesting room for upside. Analysts maintain a consensus target of $194.77, which sits well above the current price of $168.19. These metrics suggest that, while not heavily discounted, QCOM offers a more reasonable valuation compared to its sector peers.
What are the key risks of buying QCOM?
Key risks include a slowdown in handset demand, which historically accounts for a sizable portion of revenue. Rising component costs and supply chain constraints could erode margins, especially as the company implements a price hike in 2024. Regulatory scrutiny over its licensing practices and potential antitrust actions pose additional uncertainty. The shift toward data‑center and automotive segments is still in early stages, and failure to capture sufficient market share could limit growth. Finally, intense competition from rivals like MediaTek and emerging AI chip makers may pressure pricing and innovation.
How does Qualcomm (QCOM) position itself competitively in the semiconductor market?
Qualcomm leverages its extensive IP portfolio, owning essential patents for 3G, 4G, and 5G standards, which secures recurring licensing revenue. The company’s focus on data‑center AI with Dragonfly accelerators positions it against competitors like NVIDIA and AMD. In the automotive space, its partnership with BMW for digital cockpit silicon gives it a foothold in a growing market. Qualcomm’s diversified segments—integrated circuits, licensing, and strategic investments—help spread risk across multiple revenue streams. This multi‑segment approach strengthens its competitive moat amid industry consolidation.
What are Qualcomm's (QCOM) recent earnings results?
In Q3 2026, QCOM reported an EPS of $2.21, missing the analyst estimate of $2.38, while revenue held steady at $9.95 billion versus an estimate of $9.86 billion. The prior quarter, Q2 2026, delivered an EPS of $2.65, beating the $2.61 estimate, but revenue slipped to $10.60 billion from an expected $10.80 billion. Throughout 2025, the company consistently beat earnings expectations, posting EPS of $3.00 in Q3 2025 and $2.85 in Q1 2025, with revenues of $11.27 billion and $10.84 billion respectively. The pattern of earnings beats contrasts with a modest revenue contraction trend. These results underscore the company’s ability to manage margins despite declining handset volumes.
How has Qualcomm (QCOM) stock performed in the past year?
Over the past twelve months, QCOM’s share price has risen by 5.2%, climbing from $159.23 to the current $168.19. The stock has experienced a 24.3% gain over the last six months, following a 16.8% decline in the preceding three months. A one‑month return of –11.8% reflects recent volatility amid earnings misses and supply‑chain concerns. Compared to the sector’s average return of 12%, QCOM’s performance has lagged slightly, yet it remains above the 52‑week low of $121.99. Investors observing the trend may consider the company’s earnings resilience as a mitigating factor.
What is the analyst consensus on Qualcomm (QCOM) target price?
Analysts currently set a consensus target price of $194.77 for QCOM, with a high of $400 and a low of $100. The consensus reflects 20 buy, 26 hold, and 3 sell recommendations. This spread indicates a generally optimistic view, though a minority see potential downside. The target range suggests a potential upside of roughly 15% from the current price of $168.19. These estimates are based on the company’s strong licensing income and expanding AI and automotive initiatives.
What are Qualcomm's (QCOM) revenue trends over the last four quarters?
Qualcomm’s revenue has fluctuated from $11.67 billion in Q4 2024 down to $9.95 billion in Q3 2026. The decline from $11.67 billion to $10.84 billion in Q1 2025 represents a 7.4% drop, followed by a further 5.4% decrease to $10.36 billion in Q2 2025. Revenue rebounded to $11.27 billion in Q3 2025 before falling to $10.60 billion in Q2 2026 and $9.95 billion in Q3 2026. This pattern reflects a shift toward data‑center and automotive segments, offsetting handset headwinds. The company’s ability to maintain earnings beats amid revenue contraction will be key for future performance.
How does Qualcomm plan to address declining handset volumes?
Qualcomm has announced a company‑wide price hike in 2024 to protect margins against rising component costs, aiming to offset the decline in handset revenue. The firm is also accelerating its data‑center AI initiatives, partnering with Multiverse Computing to develop efficient AI models for Dragonfly accelerators. Additionally, Qualcomm is investing in automotive AI silicon, securing a long‑term deal with BMW for next‑generation digital cockpit solutions. These strategic moves are designed to diversify revenue sources and reduce reliance on the handset market. The company’s earnings history shows consistent EPS beats, suggesting effective cost management during the transition.
What impact could the partnership with Multiverse Computing have on Qualcomm's (QCOM) AI strategy?
The collaboration, announced in 2026, focuses on tailoring AI models for Qualcomm’s Dragonfly AI200 and AI250 accelerators. By optimizing model efficiency, the partnership aims to improve performance while reducing power consumption for data‑center operators. This could accelerate Qualcomm’s entry into the AI chip market, positioning it against leaders like NVIDIA. Successful deployment may also enhance licensing revenue from AI‑centric applications. The partnership signals Qualcomm’s commitment to expanding its AI portfolio beyond traditional mobile solutions.
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