DailyIQ
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Sector:Consumer CyclicalAll sectors
Last updated 4 minutes ago

RIVN·Rivian Automotive, Inc.

$.
-. (-.%)
After Hours
High
$18.79
Open
$18.44
Market Cap
23.79B
52W High
$22.69
Low
$17.47
P. Close
$17.48
P/E
-
52W Low
$11.57
Fwd P/E
-9.35
DailyIQ Est.
$18.99
Technical Score (1D)
82
BUY
News Sentiment
68
BULLISH
Rivian just raised its revenue and earnings guidance for the year, signaling optimism about vehicle sales and cost management. Despite the upgrade, shares fell, reflecting investor concerns that the company may still struggle to meet the new targets amid production and margin pressures. The guidance hike comes after a sharp rise in vehicle deliveries, which has pushed Rivian’s revenue growth rate above Tesla’s, suggesting potential upside but also higher execution risk. Analysts note that the guidance still falls short of market expectations, so the upside may be limited if Rivian cannot scale efficiently. Jim Cramer has criticized the recent discounted capital raise, warning that the valuation discount could dilute shareholders and that the timing may signal underlying financial pressures. The $1.74 billion stock sale, announced earlier this week, has been met with mixed reactions: some investors see it as a necessary capital infusion for production expansion, while others view it as a dilution risk. The stock’s recent rise despite the dilution plan indicates that the market is weighing the potential upside of the capital raise against the downside of dilution. Traders should watch for the official announcement of the sale date and the next earnings release, which will reveal whether Rivian can translate its guidance into actual performance. Additionally, monitoring production metrics and delivery numbers over the next 1–10 trading days will help gauge execution risk and the impact of the capital raise on margins. Finally, any shift in investor sentiment following Cramer’s commentary could influence short‑term volatility, so keep an eye on analyst updates and market reactions.
Earnings Summary
Rivian Automotive is an electric‑vehicle manufacturer that sells the R1T pickup and R1S SUV to consumers and produces the Amazon‑backed Electric Delivery Van for commercial fleets. The company operates in the consumer‑cyclical auto‑manufacturing sector and has a direct‑to‑customer sales model that emphasizes control over the customer experience. In the most recent two quarters with reported results, Q1 2026 posted a negative EPS of $‑0.55 versus a negative EPS of $‑0.54 in Q4 2025, while revenue rose from $1.286 billion to $1.381 billion, a 7.6 % increase; compared with Q3 2025, revenue fell 17.4 % and EPS remained negative at $‑0.96. Across the last six quarters, the firm has delivered three earnings beats (Q4 2024, Q1 2025, Q4 2025) and three misses (Q2 2025, Q3 2025, Q1 2026), indicating a pattern of earnings volatility that has alternated between modest improvements and continued losses. Historically, revenue has swung between $1.24 billion and $1.56 billion, with no sustained upward trajectory, while EPS has hovered around $‑0.5 to $‑1.0, reflecting the company’s high capital‑intensive production ramp. Recent news highlights a $1.5 billion equity offering to meet Department of Energy loan requirements and strengthen liquidity, the potential dilution risk it introduces, and the company’s strong Q2 deliveries that lifted its 2026 forecast. The equity raise, coupled with DOE financing, may support production expansion but also heightens EPS dilution concerns. Investors should watch for the final pricing of the equity offering, the allocation of proceeds to the DOE loan, guidance on revenue and margin improvement, and the pace of R2 SUV ramp‑up, as these factors will shape Rivian’s capital structure and earnings trajectory in the next quarter.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-1.04$-0.88$-0.72$-0.57$-0.41Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$-0.62 - -
Q1'26$-0.63$-0.55+12.6%
Q4'25$-0.65$-0.54+17.0%
Q3'25$-0.86$-0.96-11.3%
Q2'25$-0.78$-0.97-24.7%
Q1'25$-0.92$-0.48+48.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.2B$1.3B$1.4B$1.5B$1.6BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$1.5B - -
Q1'26$1.4B$1.4B-0.7%
Q4'25$1.4B$1.3B-8.7%
Q3'25 - $1.6B -
Q2'25 - $1.3B -
Q1'25 - $1.2B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

RIVN Stock Snapshot

RIVN is currently trading at $17.49, giving Rivian Automotive, Inc. a market cap of 23.79B. Today's range spans $17.47–$18.79, with shares opening at $18.44 and moving up $0.01 (0.1%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 82/100 (BUY) with a news sentiment reading of 68/100.

Over the past year RIVN has traded between $11.57 and $22.69 - the current price is +51.2% off the 52-week low and -22.9% from the high. 34 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $18.73 (range $12.00–$25.00), implying upside of +7.1%.

The BUY technical setup for RIVN (82/100) is worth attention in the context of the broader Consumer Cyclical sector. At $17.49 (in the middle of its 52-week range), with 23.79B in capitalization and bullish sentiment at 68/100, this large-cap name sits at the intersection where momentum strategies and fundamental growth investors both find something to like. Annual range: $11.57–$22.69.

Earnings revision cycles in large-cap Consumer Cyclical names tend to compound: when technicals confirm a BUY thesis (82/100) and news sentiment (68/100, bullish) supports the narrative, analyst upgrades follow price rather than lead it. At $17.49 (in the middle of its 52-week range), RIVN's position within the $11.57–$22.69 annual range suggests there's room for multiple expansion before the stock encounters meaningful technical resistance.