DailyIQ
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Sector:Consumer CyclicalAll sectors
Last updated 3 minutes ago

RIVN·Rivian Automotive, Inc.

$.
-. (-.%)
After Hours
High
$18.00
Open
$17.71
Market Cap
25.76B
52W High
$22.69
Low
$16.59
P. Close
$17.80
P/E
-
52W Low
$11.57
Fwd P/E
-
DailyIQ Est.
$19.01
Technical Score (1D)
68
BUY
News Sentiment
59
BULLISH
The most recent update is that Rivian closed at $17.80 as the luxury EV sector reacted to Lucid’s dismissal of bankruptcy rumors, indicating a brief lift in sentiment. This uptick is driven by a broader market perception that liquidity concerns for the sector may be easing, but investors remain cautious about production metrics. A week earlier, Rivian’s own announcement of a $1.2 billion common‑stock offering diluted shares and underscored the company’s persistent burn rate, which could temper the short‑term rally. The capital raise, while boosting cash, also raises dilution risk that could weigh on earnings expectations in the next 1–10 trading days. Meanwhile, UBS’s upgrade of Rivian’s price target reflects optimism that production capacity will ramp and demand will strengthen, which may support longer‑term upside. The combination of a higher target and a recent liquidity improvement suggests that the market is balancing short‑term dilution concerns against a potential production rebound. Traders should watch the company’s upcoming earnings release for confirmation of the projected 65,000–70,000 vehicle outlook and any updates on cash burn. Additionally, monitoring Lucid’s liquidity and production metrics will provide context for the broader luxury EV sentiment that could influence Rivian’s price. Finally, any new developments on Rivian’s capital structure or production milestones will be key to reassessing the risk‑reward profile over the next trading week.
Earnings Summary
Rivian Automotive, Inc. is an electric vehicle manufacturer focused on consumer and commercial markets, producing the R1T pickup and R1S SUV while also supplying Amazon’s electric delivery vans and a proprietary fast‑charging network; the company operates in the consumer cyclical auto‑manufacturing sector. In the most recent two quarters, revenue fell from $1.303 billion in Q2 2025 to $1.286 billion in Q4 2025, and then rose modestly to $1.381 billion in Q1 2026, reflecting a deceleration in top‑line growth compared with the $1.558 billion peak in Q3 2025; EPS, however, improved from a loss of $0.97 per share in Q2 2025 to $0.54 per share in Q4 2025 and $0.55 per share in Q1 2026, beating analyst estimates in each of those quarters after missing in the two prior periods. Historically, Rivian’s revenue trajectory has been volatile, with a sharp decline from $1.734 billion in Q4 2024 to $1.24 billion in Q1 2025, followed by a rebound to $1.558 billion in Q3 2025 before falling again; EPS has trended upward over the same span, yet the company has consistently missed guidance on earnings in the middle of the cycle, suggesting that profitability gains are not yet translating into revenue momentum. Recent news highlights a $1.2 billion common‑stock offering that diluted shares and underscored the firm’s high burn rate, a UBS upgrade that signals optimism about a production ramp and stronger demand, and a delivery beat of 12,194 vehicles in Q2 2025 that supports the narrative of growing customer traction; however, quality concerns reported by JD Power and the launch of a micro‑mobility e‑bike line illustrate ongoing operational challenges that could temper investor sentiment. Investors should watch for the company’s next earnings release to see whether guidance for vehicle deliveries and revenue aligns with the projected 65,000‑70,000‑unit ramp, how the equity proceeds are allocated between working capital, production scaling, and new product initiatives, and whether quality metrics improve, as these factors will be key to assessing the sustainability of the recent EPS improvement and the potential for a revenue rebound.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-1.04$-0.88$-0.72$-0.57$-0.41Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$-0.62 - -
Q1'26$-0.63$-0.55+12.6%
Q4'25$-0.65$-0.54+17.0%
Q3'25$-0.86$-0.96-11.3%
Q2'25$-0.78$-0.97-24.7%
Q1'25$-0.92$-0.48+48.0%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.2B$1.3B$1.4B$1.5B$1.6BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$1.5B - -
Q1'26$1.4B$1.4B-0.7%
Q4'25$1.4B$1.3B-8.7%
Q3'25 - $1.6B -
Q2'25 - $1.3B -
Q1'25 - $1.2B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

RIVN Stock Snapshot

RIVN is currently trading at $17.79, giving Rivian Automotive, Inc. a market cap of 25.76B. Today's range spans $16.59–$18.00, with shares opening at $17.71 and moving down $0.01 (0.1%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 68/100 (BUY) with a news sentiment reading of 59/100.

Over the past year RIVN has traded between $11.57 and $22.69 - the current price is +53.8% off the 52-week low and -21.6% from the high. 34 analysts cover the stock with a Buy consensus and a mean 12-month target of $18.77 (range $13.00–$25.00), implying upside of +5.5%.

Relative strength is the story for Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) in Consumer Cyclical right now. Technical score 68/100 (BUY), sentiment neutral at 59/100, price $17.79 (in the middle of its 52-week range). The 25.76B market cap keeps this name on institutional screens, and the bullish setup means sector rotation inflows from Consumer Cyclical have a natural landing spot here. Annual range: $11.57–$22.69.

What makes RIVN's BUY setup (68/100) particularly actionable at 25.76B in Consumer Cyclical capitalization is the scale-to-move ratio: large enough to feature on institutional mandates but not so large that the percentage upside is already compressed by index inertia. At $17.79 (in the middle of its 52-week range in $11.57–$22.69), with sentiment running neutral at 59/100, the setup rewards conviction-sized positioning more than it does speculative small bets.