DailyIQ
Last updated1 minute ago

RIVN·Rivian Automotive, Inc.

$14.34
-0.17 (-1.17%)
After Hours
High
$14.56
Open
$14.29
Market Cap
21.01B
52W High
$22.80
Low
$14.10
P. Close
$14.34
P/E
-
52W Low
$12.27
Fwd P/E
-8.15
DailyIQ Est.
$19.53
Inst. Ownership
99.5%
Short Interest
10.50%
Days to Cover
9.1
Technical Score (1D)
9
BEARISH
News Sentiment
32
BEARISH
On Oct 7, Rivian reported 19,248 vehicle deliveries in the third quarter, a figure that exceeded expectations, yet the company chose not to raise its full‑year delivery guidance to 70,000 units. The decision triggered a sharp decline in the stock, reflecting investor disappointment. Rivian also posted a $833 million loss on $1.7 billion in revenue, underscoring ongoing profitability challenges. The company’s reliance on higher‑priced models and the delayed launch of the affordable R2 SUV further dampened outlooks. These developments were highlighted in the company’s quarterly report and subsequent investor communications.
LOW TARGET
$13 -9.1%
3 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$19 +34.5%
19 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$25 +74.8%
12 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$13.00 - $25.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
5/15/9/4/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$19.53 (+36.6%)
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Auto Manufacturers
Exchange
NMS
Country
United States
Website
Symbol
RIVN
Description
Rivian Automotive, Inc. is an electric vehicle manufacturer focused on the consumer and commercial markets. The company's core product offerings include the R1T pickup truck and the R1S sport utility vehicle, both designed for the consumer segment. Beyond vehicle sales, Rivian provides a suite of services, encompassing vehicle repair, maintenance, and software solutions, along with its proprietary fast-charging network, the Rivian Adventure Network. Furthermore, Rivian partners with Amazon.com, Inc. to produce the Electric Delivery Van, expanding its presence in the commercial electric vehicle space. Based in Irvine, California, Rivian's direct-to-customer sales model emphasizes control over the customer experience.
Bought (1Y)
18,000 shares
$251K
Sold (1Y)
435,489 shares
$6.7M
CALLAHAN MICHAEL JOHNChief Administrative Officer
Sell15,000 shares2026-10-01
CALLAHAN MICHAEL JOHNChief Administrative Officer
Sell15,000 shares2026-09-11
McDonough ClaireChief Financial Officer
Sell8,023 shares2026-08-20
McDonough ClaireChief Financial Officer
Sell13,144 shares2026-08-18
Venkataratnam SreelaChief Accounting Officer
Tax Withholding20,297 shares2026-08-15
36/ 100
Bearish
Overall: Bearish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✕Negative net margin
✕Negative operating cash flow
Gross Margin
2.7%
Net Margin
-67.7%
Current Ratio
2.33x
Debt / Equity
0.97x
Return on Equity
-79.4%
Earnings Summary
Rivian Automotive, Inc. is an electric vehicle manufacturer focused on consumer and commercial markets, producing the R1T pickup and R1S SUV while also supplying Amazon’s electric delivery vans. The company operates in the highly competitive consumer‑cyclical auto sector, emphasizing direct‑to‑customer sales and a proprietary fast‑charging network. In the most recent quarters, Rivian’s revenue rose from $1.24 billion in Q1 2025 to $1.30 billion in Q2 2025, a 5.1% increase, while EPS swung from a negative $0.48 to a deeper loss of $0.97, indicating higher operating costs despite modest revenue growth. Compared to the prior two quarters (Q4 2024 revenue $1.73 billion, EPS $‑0.70), revenue fell 24% year‑over‑year, and the company missed earnings estimates in Q2 2025, where analysts expected a loss of $0.78. Historically, Rivian has shown a YoY revenue decline trend, with revenue falling each quarter since Q4 2024, yet the company has consistently posted negative EPS, though the magnitude of losses has fluctuated. Notably, the firm beat delivery estimates in Q3 2025, reporting 19,248 units versus the 18,000 consensus, and maintained stable gross margins, a positive operational signal amid revenue contraction. Key will be whether the company can sustain higher delivery volumes while controlling cost growth, as evidenced by the recent delivery‑margin stability and the planned rollout of autonomous R2 vehicles.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$-1.04$-0.88$-0.72$-0.56$-0.40Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$-0.64 - -
Q2'26$-0.64$-0.47+26.8%
Q1'26$-0.63$-0.55+12.6%
Q4'25$-0.65$-0.54+17.0%
Q3'25$-0.86$-0.96-11.3%
Q2'25$-0.78$-0.97-24.7%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.2B$1.4B$1.6B$1.9B$2.1BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$2.0B - -
Q2'26$1.5B$1.7B+8.8%
Q1'26$1.4B$1.4B-0.7%
Q4'25$1.4B$1.3B-8.7%
Q3'25 - $1.6B -
Q2'25 - $1.3B -

Market Data

RIVN Stock Snapshot

BEARISH9/100
$14.30−$0.04 (0.3%)
Market cap
21.01B
Day range
$14.10 – $14.56
News sentiment
32/100 · Bearish
Analyst target
$19.23 (+34.5%)
Consensus
Buy · 34 analysts
52-week range+16.5% off low · -37.3% from high
$12.27$22.80
Price $14.30 DailyIQ Est. $19.53

Price action on RIVN is defensive - rallies are being sold rather than extended. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Behaviour On Record

What RIVN's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
29.7% 1st pct
Below its peak
-91.6%
vs 200-day average
-9.7%
Up days (1y)
47%

Rivian Automotive, Inc. is currently running 29.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against RIVN's own 5 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 1st percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 64.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

RIVN is trading -91.6% below its running peak. Across 4 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -52.1%, and the deepest was -83.0% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -9.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 39th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year RIVN closed higher on 47% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

Overnight risk is measurable too: RIVN has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 88 of 1,228 sessions (7.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.1% and -5.4%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, RIVN moved an average of 8.6% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -3.1% and a largest of -12.2%.

All figures computed from 1,229 daily closes between 2021-11-10 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against RIVN's own 5-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of RIVN's sector?

Rivian Automotive, Inc. sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 6th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#6 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
55

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for RIVN?

CallsPuts

For Rivian Automotive, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-09, 2 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.45), with at-the-money implied volatility around 48.4%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±3.8% move by that expiry — a range of about $14.29–$15.41.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-09)
0.45
ATM implied volatility
48.4%
Total open interest
78,685
Expected move by 2026-10-09
±3.8% ($14.29–$15.41)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on RIVN?

Citigroup most recently initiated coverage on Rivian Automotive, Inc. to Neutral on Sep 14, 2026 with a price target of $18. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
Citigroup — Neutral
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 14, 2026CitigroupInitiatedNeutral$18
Jul 31, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedSector Perform$14 → $16
Jul 31, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedUnderweight$13 → $14
Jul 31, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$20 → $21
Jul 31, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$15 → $16
Jul 31, 2026NeedhamReiteratedBuy$23
Jul 28, 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratedNeutral$19
Jul 27, 2026Piper SandlerUpgradeNeutral → Overweight$18 → $20
Jul 14, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedUnderweight$12 → $13
Jul 9, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$16 → $17
Jul 8, 2026BNP ParibasMaintainedOutperform$22 → $24
Jul 7, 2026JefferiesMaintainedHold$16 → $17

RIVN Competitive Positioning

Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN) is tracked alongside these names in Auto Manufacturers on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

32/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
BEARISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
Rivian reported 19,248 vehicle deliveries in Q3, surpassing expectations, yet the company declined to lift its full‑year delivery guidance to 70,000 units. The decision triggered a sharp decline in the stock, reflecting investor disappointment. Rivian also posted a $833 million loss on $1.7 billion revenue, underscoring profitability challenges. The company’s reliance on higher‑priced models and the delayed launch of the affordable R2 SUV further dampened outlooks.
What did this article say?
Rivian Automotive (RIVN) delivered 19,248 vehicles in Q3, surpassing analysts’ estimate of 18,000 and marking a 45.8% year‑over‑year increase. The surge was driven by the new R2 SUV, which began deliveries in June and is positioned as a lower‑priced alternative amid fading federal credits. Management confirmed the 2026 delivery target of 65,000–70,000 units and indicated that R2 production will continue to rise in subsequent quarters. Despite heavy cash burn and thin margins, the company’s delivery performance suggests a positive trajectory for its product mix and market positioning.
What did this article say?
Rivian reported 19,248 vehicle deliveries in Q3, surpassing analysts’ estimate of 18,001, largely driven by the launch of the lower‑priced R2 SUV. The company maintained its 2026 delivery forecast of 65,000 to 70,000 units, unchanged from July, prompting a 2% drop in early trading. Market participants had expected a guidance lift following the record quarter, leading to a muted reaction. The flat outlook suggests the company’s growth trajectory remains steady but not accelerated, tempering enthusiasm for the strong delivery performance.
What did this article say?
Rivian reported third‑quarter deliveries that exceeded Wall Street expectations, allowing the company to keep its annual forecast unchanged. The beat was driven by stronger sales in the United States and China, offsetting weaker demand in Europe. Rivian’s gross margin remained stable, indicating that volume growth did not compromise profitability.
What did this article say?
The article evaluates the long‑term viability of Rivian and Lucid, noting both companies have fallen over 90% from their IPO highs and struggle to achieve profitability. It highlights Rivian’s weaker balance sheet compared to Lucid, suggesting only one of the two may endure to 2030. The piece underscores the broader market skepticism toward premium EV makers and the challenges of scaling production and margins.
What did this article say?
Shares of Rivian fell 3.3% on October 2 after the company announced it would keep its full‑year delivery guidance unchanged. The company reported third‑quarter deliveries that exceeded analyst expectations, yet the unchanged outlook was viewed as a lack of upside. Investors reacted negatively to the perceived stagnation in growth prospects, leading to the decline in the stock price.
What did this article say?
Rivian Automotive’s stock slipped about 3% on October 2 after reporting a delivery beat that still fell short of expectations. The company delivered a larger percentage of vehicles than forecasted, yet the market reacted negatively due to concerns over its production pace and competitive positioning. Analysts noted that Rivian’s run rate remains below two million vehicles annually, a figure deemed disappointing relative to industry peers. The decline reflects broader skepticism about the company’s ability to scale and compete against established players like Tesla. The market’s reaction underscores the perceived risk in Rivian’s growth trajectory.
What did this article say?
Rivian Automotive reported Q3 deliveries of 19,248 vehicles, matching production of 19,751, a figure that met expectations but did not exceed them. The company reaffirmed its 2026 delivery outlook, leaving the full‑year guidance unchanged. The news caused an initial spike in the stock, but investors later sold off, pushing the shares back to pre‑announcement levels. The market reaction reflected a view that the delivery numbers, while solid, did not materially alter the company’s long‑term trajectory.
What did this article say?
Rivian Automotive reported 19,248 vehicle deliveries in Q3 2026, a 46% year‑over‑year increase that surpassed analysts’ consensus of 18,000 units. The company reaffirmed its full‑year 2026 delivery guidance of 65,000 to 70,000 vehicles, indicating confidence in meeting the lower end of the range. Deliveries rose steadily each quarter, with the R2 model contributing significantly to the surge. The results suggest the company is scaling production effectively and may need to increase fourth‑quarter output to reach the guidance floor.
What did this article say?
Rivian reported that it produced 19,751 electric vehicles in the third quarter, a 46% increase in deliveries compared with the same period last year. The company maintained its full‑year delivery guidance of 65,000 to 70,000 vehicles, indicating confidence in its production capacity. The strong quarterly performance was highlighted as a positive operational milestone without altering the company’s forward outlook.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

9
BEARISH
Technical indicators reflect the latest computed signal mix for this timeframe.
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $8.47B combined position · 11 adding, 13 trimming, 1 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
Vanguard Group Inc▼ Sell81,409,2785.54%$1.60B2026-01-29
BlackRock, Inc.▼ Sell231,364,01115.75%$1.17B2026-08-07
Baillie Gifford & Co▼ Sell43,210,3482.94%$749.70M2026-08-06
Two Sigma Investments, LP▲ Buy130,847,7098.91%$566.41M2026-08-14
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.▲ Buy31,272,4772.13%$461.18M2026-08-14
Susquehanna International Group, LLP▼ Sell25,720,9091.75%$446.26M2026-08-14
JPMorgan Chase & Co▲ Buy41,165,8492.80%$432.87M2026-08-12
Citadel Advisors LLC• Hold43,981,8862.99%$357.54M2026-09-02
Geode Capital Management, LLC▲ Buy16,067,3681.09%$278.03M2026-08-12
Morgan Stanley▲ Buy30,801,8982.10%$221.60M2026-08-13
FMR LLC (Fidelity)▼ Sell71,403,9484.86%$220.51M2026-08-13
Norges Bank▲ Buy11,617,1380.79%$201.56M2026-08-12
Capital World Investors▲ Buy11,117,3420.76%$192.89M2026-08-12
Citigroup Inc▼ Sell19,472,5121.33%$190.13M2026-08-03
Balyasny Asset Management L.P.▼ Sell61,728,8004.20%$174.24M2026-08-14
Soros Fund Management LLC▼ Sell132,315,0009.01%$168.85M2026-08-14
Northern Trust Corp▲ Buy8,126,0480.55%$140.99M2026-08-13
Sculptor Capital LP▼ Sell75,814,8005.16%$135.84M2026-08-14
Renaissance Technologies LLC▼ Sell7,599,7960.52%$131.86M2026-08-13
Davidson Kempner Capital Management LP▼ Sell100,000,0006.81%$118.45M2026-08-14
Goldman Sachs Group Inc▼ Sell6,977,2430.47%$115.63M2026-08-14
Point72 Asset Management, L.P.▼ Sell47,985,2513.27%$102.44M2026-08-14
Bank of America Corp▲ Buy8,155,6660.56%$101.78M2026-08-14
AQR Capital Management LLC▲ Buy5,604,7860.38%$94.27M2026-08-14
Whitebox Advisors LLC▲ Buy87,237,0005.94%$94.12M2026-08-14
Q2 2026 flow:82.63M sh bought ($723.90M)111.82M sh sold ($666.82M)net -29.19M sh (+$57.08M)