DailyIQ
|
Sector:Consumer CyclicalAll sectors
Last updated1 minute ago

RL·Ralph Lauren Corporation

$373.66
-0.09 (-0.02%)
High
$375.25
Open
$372.02
Market Cap
22.19B
52W High
$421.60
Low
$362.79
P. Close
$373.66
P/E
22.58
52W Low
$306.55
Fwd P/E
17.83
DailyIQ Est.
$477.43
Inst. Ownership
32.3%
Short Interest
3.83%
Days to Cover
3.4
Div. Yield
1.02%
Next Ex-Div
~Dec 25
Technical Score (1D)
44
BEARISH
News Sentiment
60
BULLISH
RL scores 44 on the 1D technical view with a NEUTRAL signal and weakening momentum. Price action is compressed - the market is coiling, and neither side has been willing to push to a definitive break. Sentiment at 60 is diverging from the flat technical backdrop, removing sentiment as a directional catalyst for now. Consolidations like this are often a sign that the market is waiting for new information before committing capital in either direction. The range between $348.28 and $377.30 is well-defined. When this kind of compression resolves - particularly if it resolves with a gap or range-expansion bar - the follow-through tends to be more sustained than a typical breakout because of the energy that builds during the quiet phase. Coiled setups like this are as much about time as they are about price - the longer RL compresses between $348.28 and $377.30 without a catalyst, the more the eventual move tends to compensate. Watching for a volume spike on the actual break, rather than trying to anticipate direction from the shape of the range, has historically been the more reliable approach.
LOW TARGET
$250 -33.1%
1 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$447 +19.6%
17 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$520 +39.2%
12 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$250.00 - $520.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
9/16/3/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$477.43 (+27.8%)
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Apparel Manufacturing
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Website
ralphlauren.com
Symbol
RL
Description
Ralph Lauren Corporation is a global purveyor of premium lifestyle products, encompassing apparel, accessories, home goods, and fragrances. The company's core value proposition revolves around its iconic branding and aspirational aesthetic, marketed through a diverse portfolio of brands like Polo Ralph Lauren and Lauren Ralph Lauren. Ralph Lauren strategically distributes its products through multiple channels, including department stores, specialty retailers, and direct-to-consumer outlets such as retail stores and digital platforms. Complementing its product offerings, the company also operates a collection of branded restaurants, enhancing its lifestyle experience. Founded in 1967, Ralph Lauren Corporation maintains a strong competitive position by cultivating a brand synonymous with timeless American style, appealing to a broad international consumer base.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
450,182 shares
$168.8M
Ranftl Robert P.Chief Operating Officer
Sell2,901 shares2026-08-18
Alagoz HalideChief Product & Merch. Officer
Tax Withholding636 shares2026-08-15
Alagoz HalideChief Product & Merch. Officer
Tax Withholding839 shares2026-08-15
Alagoz HalideChief Product & Merch. Officer
Tax Withholding923 shares2026-08-15
Alagoz HalideChief Product & Merch. Officer
Award/Grant2,583 shares2026-08-15
View full insider trading history →
77/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
69.9%
Net Margin
11.6%
Revenue CAGR
3.1%
Current Ratio
2.13x
Debt / Equity
0.44x
Return on Equity
33.1%
View full financials →
Earnings Summary
Ralph Lauren Corporation is a global premium lifestyle brand that sells apparel, accessories, home goods, and fragrances through retail, e‑commerce, and wholesale channels, including branded restaurants. Operating in the consumer cyclical apparel sector, the company relies on its iconic branding and diversified channel mix to drive sales across North America, Europe, and Asia. In the most recent quarters, the company posted EPS of $4.82 in Q4 2024, $2.27 in Q1 2025, $3.77 in Q2 2025, and $3.79 in Q3 2025, each beating analyst estimates and showing a consistent upward trajectory. Revenue, however, has fluctuated: $2.1435 bn in Q4 2024, $1.6973 bn in Q1 2025, $1.7191 bn in Q2 2025, and $2.0107 bn in Q3 2025, indicating a rebound in Q3 after a dip in Q1. The company has maintained a pattern of EPS beats in the last four quarters while revenue growth has been uneven, reflecting channel mix shifts and pricing pressures. Historically, Ralph Lauren has delivered year‑over‑year revenue growth of roughly 5‑10 % in recent years, with EPS growth outpacing revenue in several periods, underscoring disciplined cost management. Recent news highlights a 13 % constant‑currency wholesale revenue rise in Q1 2027 and a 22 % North American wholesale surge driven by spring sales, suggesting a strategic pivot toward full‑price wholesale and reduced off‑price inventory. Key will be how the brand balances wholesale expansion with direct‑to‑consumer growth and whether it can sustain margin improvement amid a broader consumer discretionary downturn.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.66$2.49$3.31$4.14$4.97Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'26Q1'27Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$4.22 - -
Q1'27$4.41$4.59+4.0%
Q4'26$2.54$2.80+10.1%
Q3'25$3.45$3.79+9.9%
Q2'25$3.50$3.77+7.8%
Q1'25$2.04$2.27+11.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.6B$1.8B$1.9B$2.1B$2.2BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'26Q1'27Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$2.2B - -
Q1'27$1.9B$2.0B+2.1%
Q4'26$1.9B$2.0B+3.9%
Q3'25 - $2.0B -
Q2'25 - $1.7B -
Q1'25 - $1.7B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

RL Stock Snapshot

NEUTRAL44/100
$373.66−$0.09 (0.0%)
Market cap
22.19B
P/E ratio
22.6
Day range
$362.79 – $375.25
News sentiment
60/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$446.71 (+19.5%)
Consensus
Buy · 30 analysts
52-week range+21.9% off low · -11.4% from high
$306.55$421.60
Price $373.66 DailyIQ Est. $477.43

The technical read on RL is balanced, which usually means the market is waiting on a catalyst. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Consumer Cyclical tend to move together on rotation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into RL?

RICH

At today's price, Ralph Lauren Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 25.9% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 10.72% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at -0.7% a year, so the market is asking for 26.6 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis RL looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
25.9%
Historical FCF CAGR
-0.7%
Growth gap
+26.6 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
10.72%
Beta
1.18

Behaviour On Record

What RL's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
31.7% 55th pct
Below its peak
-12.4%
vs 200-day average
-0.7%
Up days (1y)
51%

Ralph Lauren Corporation is currently running 31.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against RL's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 55th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 30.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

RL is trading -12.4% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -30.9%, and the deepest was -50.7% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits -0.7% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 41st percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year RL closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 14 years of records, RL finished the month higher 9 of 14 times, with a median return of +0.3% and an average of +1.0%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +9.4% on average, its weakest March at -4.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: RL has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 177 of 3,269 sessions (5.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +12.1% and -16.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,270 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against RL's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of RL's sector?

Ralph Lauren Corporation sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 7th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#7 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
55

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for RL?

CallsPuts

For Ralph Lauren Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 2 days out), open interest is put-heavy, a defensive/bearish tilt (put/call ratio of 1.47), with at-the-money implied volatility around 36.0%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±2.5% move by that expiry — a range of about $364.31–$382.63.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
1.47
ATM implied volatility
36.0%
Total open interest
2,549
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±2.5% ($364.31–$382.63)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on RL?

UBS most recently reiterated its rating on Ralph Lauren Corporation to Buy on Aug 7, 2026 with a price target of $520 (from $511). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
UBS — Buy
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 7, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$511 → $520
Aug 7, 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainedOutperform$460 → $470
Aug 7, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$400 → $455
Aug 7, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$439 → $463
Aug 7, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedOutperform$440 → $460
Aug 7, 2026BTIGMaintainedBuy$450 → $460
Aug 6, 2026NeedhamMaintainedBuy$405 → $450
Aug 4, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$434 → $452
Jul 21, 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeMarket Perform → Outperform$410
Jul 21, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$415 → $425
Jun 23, 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainedOutperform$435 → $460
May 26, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedOutperform$420 → $440

ETF holders

ETFs holding RL

Top ETF holdersWeight

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

60/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
MODERATELY BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
On October 9, Ralph Lauren (RL) closed at $371.28, outperforming the S&P 500’s 0.6% gain and the Nasdaq’s 0.64% rise. The retailer’s share price had increased 9.12% over the past month, leading the Consumer Discretionary sector. Analysts anticipate an EPS of $4.21 for the upcoming quarter, an 11.08% year‑over‑year increase, and revenue of $2.13 billion, up 5.92%. The company’s annual guidance projects earnings of $18.79 per share and revenue of $8.73 billion, both up 13.26% and 7.55% respectively. Investors are watching the earnings release for confirmation of these positive trends.
What did this article say?
Ralph Lauren (RL) conducted its first‑quarter 2027 earnings conference call on October 9. The transcript was released in full, providing insights into the company’s financial performance and management commentary. No new guidance or material corporate actions were disclosed during the call. The release serves as a routine update for investors and analysts tracking RL’s quarterly results.
What did this article say?
Ralph Lauren’s share price fell about 7% over the past 90 days, prompting analysts to reassess its valuation. The brand’s 2023 revenue reached roughly $8.4 billion with net income near $1.0 billion, yet the current price of $367.39 per share sits below the $446.71 fair‑value estimate. The article compares the stock’s recent performance to a curated list of high‑quality, undervalued peers, suggesting that the pullback may present a buying opportunity. It highlights the brand’s strong global presence and ongoing international expansion as key support factors.
What did this article say?
Ralph Lauren Corporation reported that its women's apparel, outerwear and handbags grew more than 20% in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, outpacing the company’s 13% overall revenue growth. The strong performance in these high‑potential categories signals significant upside potential for future expansion. Management emphasized that the current market shares represent only the beginning of the opportunity, suggesting further growth opportunities across the brand’s lifestyle portfolio.
What did this article say?
Ralph Lauren closed higher than the S&P 500, posting a 2.14% gain versus the index’s 0.2% rise. The retailer’s stock has climbed 5.52% in the past month, outperforming the Consumer Discretionary sector’s decline. Analysts project an 11.08% EPS increase and a 5.92% revenue rise for the quarter, suggesting a solid earnings outlook. These figures indicate a positive trajectory for the brand ahead of its upcoming earnings report.
What did this article say?
The article highlights a broader decline in consumer discretionary stocks, noting a 1.4% pullback over six months versus a 16.6% S&P 500 gain. It identifies Ralph Lauren (RL) as one of three stocks likely to struggle, citing disappointing currency‑adjusted revenue growth over the past two years and an operating margin of 15% below the industry average. These factors suggest weakening demand and competitive pressure for RL, potentially impacting its financial performance.
What did this article say?
Ralph Lauren Corporation reported that its wholesale strategy in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 generated a 13% increase in constant‑currency revenue, driven largely by a 22% rise in North American wholesale sales. The company emphasized higher‑margin full‑price transactions while reducing off‑price exposure and exiting lower‑tier full‑price stores. Strong spring sell‑out trends, replenishment orders, and resumed shipments to a luxury wholesale account contributed to the growth, with shipment timing accounting for roughly 15 percentage points of the increase. Management described the underlying expansion as healthy and indicative of a successful shift toward quality‑focused wholesale distribution. The results suggest a material positive impact on RL’s top‑line momentum and a confirmed benefit from its strategic realignment.
What did this article say?
Ralph Lauren Corporation closed at $351.86 on September 24, well below its twelve‑month high of $420. The company reported a 15% revenue increase in its most recent fiscal year, or 12% excluding currency effects, while earnings per share rose about 30%, outpacing sales growth. Management attributed the earnings acceleration to a strategic shift toward higher‑margin, upmarket retail and a reduction in discount channel sales. The stock’s current price is considered undervalued relative to the recent performance, suggesting a favorable investment opportunity.
What did this article say?
Ralph Lauren Corporation, a $20.1 billion global luxury lifestyle brand, designs and markets apparel, accessories, fragrances, home goods, and hospitality services. The company operates multiple high‑profile labels including Polo Ralph Lauren, Ralph Lauren Collection, and Purple Label, and sells through a mix of retail stores, e‑commerce, and wholesale partners. Its international presence spans North America, Europe, and Asia, and it maintains a strong brand equity built on timeless style. The article provides a factual snapshot of the company’s size, product mix, and market reach without indicating any recent earnings surprises or strategic shifts.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

44
NEUTRAL
Momentum rank against about 1,000 stocks and ETFs for this timeframe.
Unlock full technicals
Create a free account to access more indicators and deeper timeframe data.
Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $7.56B combined position · 15 adding, 10 trimming, 0 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
Vanguard Group Inc▼ Sell4,735,7437.74%$1.67B2026-01-29
BlackRock, Inc.▲ Buy3,023,5664.94%$1.21B2026-08-07
FMR LLC (Fidelity)▲ Buy1,869,0703.06%$750.26M2026-08-13
Geode Capital Management, LLC▲ Buy1,179,4881.93%$472.71M2026-08-12
Invesco Ltd.▼ Sell1,128,5501.85%$453.01M2026-08-14
Two Sigma Investments, LP▲ Buy1,048,6891.71%$420.95M2026-08-14
AQR Capital Management LLC▼ Sell779,7721.27%$309.35M2026-08-14
Goldman Sachs Group Inc▼ Sell752,2341.23%$301.95M2026-08-14
JPMorgan Chase & Co▼ Sell661,5781.08%$263.73M2026-08-12
Morgan Stanley▼ Sell543,9690.89%$218.36M2026-08-13
Wellington Management Group LLP▲ Buy476,4720.78%$191.26M2026-08-14
Bank of America Corp▲ Buy417,8980.68%$167.75M2026-08-14
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.▲ Buy389,5100.64%$156.35M2026-08-14
Fisher Asset Management, LLC▼ Sell328,7850.54%$131.98M2026-08-04
Northern Trust Corp▼ Sell328,4160.54%$131.83M2026-08-13
Point72 Asset Management, L.P.▲ Buy279,0310.46%$112.01M2026-08-14
Norges Bank▲ Buy240,2490.39%$96.44M2026-08-12
Millennium Management LLC▼ Sell200,1470.33%$80.34M2026-08-14
Gotham Asset Management, LLC▲ Buy187,6730.31%$75.33M2026-08-14
AllianceBernstein L.P.▲ Buy218,7090.36%$75.23M2026-08-14
Renaissance Technologies LLC▲ Buy158,8600.26%$63.77M2026-08-13
Squarepoint Ops LLC▼ Sell150,7120.25%$60.50M2026-08-14
Marshall Wace, LLP▲ Buy149,9190.25%$60.18M2026-08-13
Citadel Advisors LLC▲ Buy127,2160.21%$51.07M2026-09-02
Wells Fargo & Company▲ Buy66,8080.11%$26.82M2026-08-14
Q2 2026 flow:1.37M sh bought ($540.06M)980.7K sh sold ($391.80M)net +386.2K sh (+$148.26M)
View full institutional holdings history →
Congressional Trading Activity
2 disclosed trades · ~$250.0K est. traded value · 1 buys, 1 sells
MemberChamberStateTypeAmountTradedFiled
John HoevenSenateND▼ Sell$100K - $250K2016-08-192016-08-29
John HoevenSenateND▲ Buy$50K - $100K2015-08-132015-09-08
View full congressional trading history →

Discover More

CL
Colgate-Palmolive Company
$92.02
+2.30%
LULU
Lululemon Athletica Inc.
$93.53
-0.86%
COKE
Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc.
$199.60
+2.80%
PEP
PepsiCo, Inc.
$128.72
+1.12%
TJX
The TJX Companies, Inc.
$142.38
+0.63%
ROST
Ross Stores, Inc.
$228.49
+1.25%
MO
Altria Group, Inc.
$72.75
+1.66%
PM
Philip Morris International Inc.
$204.69
+2.71%
IFF
International Flavors & Fragrances Inc.
$89.56
+1.54%
MDLZ
Mondelez International, Inc.
$62.57
+1.74%