DailyIQ
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Sector:Consumer CyclicalAll sectors
Last updated3 minutes ago

RL·Ralph Lauren Corporation

$368.90
+3.36 (+0.92%)
Overnight$367.38-1.52 (-0.41%)
High
$368.92
Open
$367.14
Market Cap
21.74B
52W High
$421.60
Low
$362.45
P. Close
$368.90
P/E
22.12
52W Low
$305.54
Fwd P/E
17.43
DailyIQ Est.
$477.43
Inst. Ownership
33.7%
Short Interest
4.72%
Days to Cover
3.8
Technical Score (1D)
82
BULLISH
News Sentiment
70
BULLISH
On Oct 5, Ralph Lauren Corporation reported that its women’s apparel, outerwear and handbags categories grew more than 20% in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, outpacing the company’s 13% overall revenue growth. The outerwear segment highlighted city jackets, oversized windbreakers, fleece programs and bold Polo graphics as key drivers of seasonal newness and consumer engagement. Handbag initiatives focused on Polo Play and Polo ID collections, with pebbled leathers, denim, beading and seasonal raffia offerings. Management emphasized that these categories represent the beginning of a larger opportunity and that the company’s broad lifestyle portfolio supports cross‑category and price‑point expansion. The company’s performance in China was noted as a significant contributor to the overall momentum.
LOW TARGET
$250 -32.2%
1 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$447 +21.2%
17 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$520 +41.0%
12 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$250.00 - $520.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
9/16/3/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$477.43 (+29.5%)
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Apparel Manufacturing
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Website
ralphlauren.com
Symbol
RL
Description
Ralph Lauren Corporation is a global purveyor of premium lifestyle products, encompassing apparel, accessories, home goods, and fragrances. The company's core value proposition revolves around its iconic branding and aspirational aesthetic, marketed through a diverse portfolio of brands like Polo Ralph Lauren and Lauren Ralph Lauren. Ralph Lauren strategically distributes its products through multiple channels, including department stores, specialty retailers, and direct-to-consumer outlets such as retail stores and digital platforms. Complementing its product offerings, the company also operates a collection of branded restaurants, enhancing its lifestyle experience. Founded in 1967, Ralph Lauren Corporation maintains a strong competitive position by cultivating a brand synonymous with timeless American style, appealing to a broad international consumer base.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
450,182 shares
$168.8M
Ranftl Robert P.Chief Operating Officer
Sell2,901 shares2026-08-18
Alagoz HalideChief Product & Merch. Officer
Tax Withholding636 shares2026-08-15
Alagoz HalideChief Product & Merch. Officer
Tax Withholding839 shares2026-08-15
Alagoz HalideChief Product & Merch. Officer
Tax Withholding923 shares2026-08-15
Alagoz HalideChief Product & Merch. Officer
Award/Grant2,583 shares2026-08-15
View full insider trading history →
77/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
69.9%
Net Margin
11.6%
Revenue CAGR
3.1%
Current Ratio
2.13x
Debt / Equity
0.44x
Return on Equity
33.1%
View full financials →
Earnings Summary
Ralph Lauren Corporation is a global premium lifestyle brand that sells apparel, accessories, home goods, and fragrances through retail, e‑commerce, and wholesale channels, including branded restaurants. Operating in the consumer cyclical apparel sector, the company relies on its iconic branding and diversified channel mix to drive sales across North America, Europe, and Asia. In the most recent quarters, the company posted EPS of $4.82 in Q4 2024, $2.27 in Q1 2025, $3.77 in Q2 2025, and $3.79 in Q3 2025, each beating analyst estimates and showing a consistent upward trajectory. Revenue, however, has fluctuated: $2.1435 bn in Q4 2024, $1.6973 bn in Q1 2025, $1.7191 bn in Q2 2025, and $2.0107 bn in Q3 2025, indicating a rebound in Q3 after a dip in Q1. The company has maintained a pattern of EPS beats in the last four quarters while revenue growth has been uneven, reflecting channel mix shifts and pricing pressures. Historically, Ralph Lauren has delivered year‑over‑year revenue growth of roughly 5‑10 % in recent years, with EPS growth outpacing revenue in several periods, underscoring disciplined cost management. Recent news highlights a 13 % constant‑currency wholesale revenue rise in Q1 2027 and a 22 % North American wholesale surge driven by spring sales, suggesting a strategic pivot toward full‑price wholesale and reduced off‑price inventory. Key will be how the brand balances wholesale expansion with direct‑to‑consumer growth and whether it can sustain margin improvement amid a broader consumer discretionary downturn.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.66$2.49$3.31$4.14$4.97Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'26Q1'27Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$4.22 - -
Q1'27$4.41$4.59+4.0%
Q4'26$2.54$2.80+10.1%
Q3'25$3.45$3.79+9.9%
Q2'25$3.50$3.77+7.8%
Q1'25$2.04$2.27+11.3%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.6B$1.8B$1.9B$2.1B$2.2BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'26Q1'27Q2'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'27$2.2B - -
Q1'27$1.9B$2.0B+2.1%
Q4'26$1.9B$2.0B+3.9%
Q3'25 - $2.0B -
Q2'25 - $1.7B -
Q1'25 - $1.7B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

RL Stock Snapshot

BULLISH82/100
$367.38−$1.52 (0.4%)
Market cap
21.74B
P/E ratio
22.1
Day range
$362.45 – $368.92
News sentiment
70/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$446.71 (+21.6%)
Consensus
Buy · 30 analysts
52-week range+20.2% off low · -12.9% from high
$305.54$421.60
Price $367.38 DailyIQ Est. $477.43

Ralph Lauren Corporation screens well technically, with price sitting in the middle of its 52-week range. Sector peers are worth watching - large caps in Consumer Cyclical tend to move together on rotation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into RL?

RICH

At today's price, Ralph Lauren Corporation needs to grow free cash flow about 25.4% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 10.76% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at -0.7% a year, so the market is asking for 26.0 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis RL looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
25.4%
Historical FCF CAGR
-0.7%
Growth gap
+26.0 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
10.76%
Beta
1.18

Behaviour On Record

What RL's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
33.5% 60th pct
Below its peak
-11.8%
vs 200-day average
+0.1%
Up days (1y)
51%

Ralph Lauren Corporation is currently running 33.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against RL's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 60th percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 30.0%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

RL is trading -11.8% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -30.9%, and the deepest was -50.7% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +0.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 43rd percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year RL closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, RL finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +0.5% and an average of +0.8%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +9.4% on average, its weakest March at -4.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: RL has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 177 of 3,268 sessions (5.4% of the time), with the largest gaps running +12.1% and -16.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against RL's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of RL's sector?

Ralph Lauren Corporation sits in the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently ranked 6th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#6 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
64

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for RL?

CallsPuts

For Ralph Lauren Corporation's nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 9 days out), open interest is roughly balanced between puts and calls (put/call ratio of 0.94), with at-the-money implied volatility around 36.3%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±5.7% move by that expiry — a range of about $347.58–$389.76.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.94
ATM implied volatility
36.3%
Total open interest
2,884
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±5.7% ($347.58–$389.76)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on RL?

UBS most recently reiterated its rating on Ralph Lauren Corporation to Buy on Aug 7, 2026 with a price target of $520 (from $511). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 1 upgrade against 0 downgrades, a net bullish lean.

Latest action
UBS — Buy
90-day upgrades
1
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
+1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Aug 7, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$511 → $520
Aug 7, 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainedOutperform$460 → $470
Aug 7, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$400 → $455
Aug 7, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$439 → $463
Aug 7, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedOutperform$440 → $460
Aug 7, 2026BTIGMaintainedBuy$450 → $460
Aug 6, 2026NeedhamMaintainedBuy$405 → $450
Aug 4, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$434 → $452
Jul 21, 2026Raymond JamesUpgradeMarket Perform → Outperform$410
Jul 21, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$415 → $425
Jun 23, 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainedOutperform$435 → $460
May 26, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedOutperform$420 → $440

Held by These ETFs

RL is a top holding in these ETFs tracked on DailyIQ — bar length shows portfolio weight.

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

70/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
Ralph Lauren Corporation reported that its women's apparel, outerwear and handbags grew more than 20% in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, outpacing the company’s 13% overall revenue growth. The strong performance in these high‑potential categories signals significant upside potential for future expansion. Management emphasized that the current market shares represent only the beginning of the opportunity, suggesting further growth opportunities across the brand’s lifestyle portfolio.
What did this article say?
Ralph Lauren closed higher than the S&P 500, posting a 2.14% gain versus the index’s 0.2% rise. The retailer’s stock has climbed 5.52% in the past month, outperforming the Consumer Discretionary sector’s decline. Analysts project an 11.08% EPS increase and a 5.92% revenue rise for the quarter, suggesting a solid earnings outlook. These figures indicate a positive trajectory for the brand ahead of its upcoming earnings report.
What did this article say?
The article highlights a broader decline in consumer discretionary stocks, noting a 1.4% pullback over six months versus a 16.6% S&P 500 gain. It identifies Ralph Lauren (RL) as one of three stocks likely to struggle, citing disappointing currency‑adjusted revenue growth over the past two years and an operating margin of 15% below the industry average. These factors suggest weakening demand and competitive pressure for RL, potentially impacting its financial performance.
What did this article say?
Ralph Lauren Corporation reported that its wholesale strategy in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 generated a 13% increase in constant‑currency revenue, driven largely by a 22% rise in North American wholesale sales. The company emphasized higher‑margin full‑price transactions while reducing off‑price exposure and exiting lower‑tier full‑price stores. Strong spring sell‑out trends, replenishment orders, and resumed shipments to a luxury wholesale account contributed to the growth, with shipment timing accounting for roughly 15 percentage points of the increase. Management described the underlying expansion as healthy and indicative of a successful shift toward quality‑focused wholesale distribution. The results suggest a material positive impact on RL’s top‑line momentum and a confirmed benefit from its strategic realignment.
What did this article say?
Ralph Lauren Corporation closed at $351.86 on September 24, well below its twelve‑month high of $420. The company reported a 15% revenue increase in its most recent fiscal year, or 12% excluding currency effects, while earnings per share rose about 30%, outpacing sales growth. Management attributed the earnings acceleration to a strategic shift toward higher‑margin, upmarket retail and a reduction in discount channel sales. The stock’s current price is considered undervalued relative to the recent performance, suggesting a favorable investment opportunity.
What did this article say?
Ralph Lauren Corporation, a $20.1 billion global luxury lifestyle brand, designs and markets apparel, accessories, fragrances, home goods, and hospitality services. The company operates multiple high‑profile labels including Polo Ralph Lauren, Ralph Lauren Collection, and Purple Label, and sells through a mix of retail stores, e‑commerce, and wholesale partners. Its international presence spans North America, Europe, and Asia, and it maintains a strong brand equity built on timeless style. The article provides a factual snapshot of the company’s size, product mix, and market reach without indicating any recent earnings surprises or strategic shifts.
What did this article say?
Ralph Lauren’s current share price of $346.06 may be 8% below the intrinsic value derived from its brand‑driven cash flow. The analysis highlights the company’s strong historical return of 219.6% over five years and its disciplined distribution model that supports pricing power. By comparing the market price to projected free cash flow, the study suggests a modest upside for investors. The valuation is based on long‑term fundamentals rather than a new catalyst, indicating a slight but confirmed positive outlook.
What did this article say?
Ralph Lauren (RL) closed up 1.41% at $339.82, trailing the broader market but showing resilience amid a 10% monthly decline. Analysts project Q4 EPS at $4.21, up 11% YoY, and revenue at $2.13B, a 6% increase. Full‑year guidance remains positive with earnings of $18.79 and revenue of $8.73B, up 13% and 7.5% respectively. The stock’s performance will be closely watched as the company releases its earnings report next week.
What did this article say?
Ralph Lauren opened 22 new owned and partner stores this quarter, including key locations in Los Angeles, Palo Alto, Istanbul, Sydney, and Perth, while renovating the Bicester outlet. The expansion aligns with the company’s ‘Win in Key Cities’ strategy, targeting its top 30 global cities and setting the stage for future growth in an additional 20 cities. Direct‑to‑customer sales rose 12% globally, driven by both physical stores and digital commerce, with Asia—particularly China—showing the strongest performance, posting over 40% sales growth.
What did this article say?
The article compares Ralph Lauren (RL) and Crocs (CROX) for value investors, noting RL’s Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold) versus CROX’s #2 (Buy) and highlighting that RL’s valuation metrics are less compelling at present. The piece does not indicate any immediate catalyst or material change for RL.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

82
BULLISH
Technical indicators reflect the latest computed signal mix for this timeframe.
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $7.62B combined position · 13 adding, 11 trimming, 1 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
Vanguard Group Inc▼ Sell4,735,7438.00%$1.67B2026-01-29
BlackRock, Inc.▲ Buy3,023,5665.11%$1.21B2026-08-07
FMR LLC (Fidelity)▲ Buy1,869,0703.16%$750.26M2026-08-13
Geode Capital Management, LLC▲ Buy1,179,4881.99%$472.71M2026-08-12
Invesco Ltd.▼ Sell1,128,5501.91%$453.01M2026-08-14
Two Sigma Investments, LP▲ Buy1,048,6891.77%$420.95M2026-08-14
AQR Capital Management LLC▼ Sell779,7721.32%$309.35M2026-08-14
Goldman Sachs Group Inc▼ Sell752,2341.27%$301.95M2026-08-14
JPMorgan Chase & Co▼ Sell661,5781.12%$263.73M2026-08-12
Morgan Stanley▼ Sell543,9690.92%$218.36M2026-08-13
Wellington Management Group LLP▲ Buy476,4720.81%$191.26M2026-08-14
Bank of America Corp▲ Buy417,8980.71%$167.75M2026-08-14
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.▲ Buy389,5100.66%$156.35M2026-08-14
Fisher Asset Management, LLC▼ Sell328,7850.56%$131.98M2026-08-04
Northern Trust Corp▼ Sell328,4160.55%$131.83M2026-08-13
Point72 Asset Management, L.P.▲ Buy280,7310.47%$112.69M2026-08-14
Norges Bank▲ Buy240,2490.41%$96.44M2026-08-12
Millennium Management LLC▼ Sell201,4470.34%$80.86M2026-08-14
Gotham Asset Management, LLC▲ Buy187,6730.32%$75.33M2026-08-14
AllianceBernstein L.P.▲ Buy218,7090.37%$75.23M2026-08-14
Citadel Advisors LLC• Hold173,6160.29%$69.69M2026-09-02
Squarepoint Ops LLC▼ Sell165,4120.28%$66.40M2026-08-14
Renaissance Technologies LLC▲ Buy158,8600.27%$63.77M2026-08-13
Marshall Wace, LLP▲ Buy149,9190.25%$60.18M2026-08-13
Susquehanna International Group, LLP▼ Sell144,6030.24%$58.05M2026-08-14
Q2 2026 flow:1.29M sh bought ($509.83M)985.7K sh sold ($393.78M)net +306.0K sh (+$116.05M)
View full institutional holdings history →
Congressional Trading Activity
2 disclosed trades · ~$250.0K est. traded value · 1 buys, 1 sells
MemberChamberStateTypeAmountTradedFiled
John HoevenSenateND▼ Sell$100K - $250K2016-08-192016-08-29
John HoevenSenateND▲ Buy$50K - $100K2015-08-132015-09-08
View full congressional trading history →

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