DailyIQ
Last updatedjust now

RSG·Republic Services, Inc.

$224.48
+4.57 (+2.08%)
After Hours
High
$224.65
Open
$220.74
Market Cap
67.39B
52W High
$233.42
Low
$219.00
P. Close
$224.48
P/E
30.84
52W Low
$196.41
Fwd P/E
27.28
DailyIQ Est.
$247.48
Inst. Ownership
25.9%
Short Interest
1.57%
Days to Cover
2.9
Div. Yield
1.16%
Next Ex-Div
~Jan 2
Div. Growth
21+ yrs
Technical Score (1D)
73
BULLISH
News Sentiment
58
BULLISH
On Oct 13, Republic Services announced that it had opened an expanded compost facility at Forward Landfill in California’s Central Valley, adding capacity to process food scraps and yard waste into compost for local agriculture. The expansion was backed by a US$5.10 million grant from CalRecycle, reinforcing the company’s commitment to organics recycling and aligning with California’s methane‑reduction and circular‑economy goals. That same day, the company also raised its 2026 earnings guidance, signaling stronger future earnings and prompting a modest share‑price uptick that reflected investor confidence in the expanded operations and improved outlook. In addition, analysts reported that the company’s current share price may be undervalued by roughly 26 % when measured against projected cash flows, noting that Republic Services has delivered an 83.6 % five‑year shareholder return and that its discounted‑cash‑flow valuation suggests a stronger price than its 30.8× price‑to‑earnings ratio. The expansion also positions Republic Services within a growing network of 17 organics sites and the upcoming San Bernardino Sustainability Park, which is expected to become one of the largest organics facilities in the United States.
LOW TARGET
$208 -7.3%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$244 +8.7%
21 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$272 +21.2%
12 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$208.00 - $272.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
7/11/15/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$247.48 (+10.3%)
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Waste Management
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Symbol
RSG
Description
Republic Services, Inc. is a leading provider of environmental services across the United States and Canada, specializing in waste management solutions. The company's core business revolves around the collection, transportation, and disposal of various waste streams, including recyclable, solid, and industrial materials. Republic Services offers a comprehensive suite of services, from residential curbside collection and container supply to the operation of transfer stations, landfills, and recycling facilities. Furthermore, the company processes and sells recovered materials like paper, aluminum, and glass, adding value to its waste management operations. Serving a diverse customer base, including small businesses, large organizations, and residential clients, Republic Services has established itself as a key player in the environmental services sector since its incorporation in 1996.
Bought (1Y)
6,742,462 shares
$1482.2M
Sold (1Y)
2,212 shares
$469K
CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C.-
Buy5,185 shares2026-09-11
CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C.-
Buy176,547 shares2026-09-11
CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C.-
Buy135,482 shares2026-09-11
CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C.-
Buy7,596 shares2026-09-11
CASCADE INVESTMENT, L.L.C.-
Buy2,042 shares2026-09-10
70/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Net Margin
12.9%
Revenue CAGR
9.6%
Current Ratio
0.64x
Debt / Equity
1.15x
Return on Equity
17.9%
Earnings Summary
Republic Services, Inc. is a leading provider of environmental services across the United States and Canada, specializing in waste management solutions that include collection, transportation, and disposal of recyclable, solid, and industrial materials, and the processing and sale of recovered materials such as paper, aluminum, and glass. Operating in the waste management sector, the company serves a diverse customer base ranging from residential curbside programs to large commercial and industrial clients, positioning it as a key player in the environmental services industry. In the most recent quarters, Republic Services posted EPS of $1.58 in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, slightly above the $1.39 and $1.53 estimates, respectively, and $1.77 in Q2 2025 versus a $1.76 estimate, indicating consistent earnings beats. Revenue, however, has shown modest fluctuations: $4.046B in Q4 2024, $4.009B in Q1 2025, $4.235B in Q2 2025, and $4.212B in Q3 2025, with a slight dip to $4.136B in Q4 2025 against a $4.25B estimate, and $4.113B in Q1 2026 versus a $4.138B estimate, before rising to $4.430B in Q2 2026, surpassing the $4.406B estimate. Over the past several quarters, the company has maintained a pattern of EPS beats while revenue growth has been relatively flat, with occasional declines that were still within analyst expectations. Historically, Republic Services has delivered steady year‑over‑year revenue growth, with EPS consistently beating estimates in the last four quarters, underscoring a resilient earnings profile despite modest revenue volatility. Recent news highlights the opening of an expanded compost facility at Forward Landfill in California’s Central Valley, backed by a $5.10 million CalRecycle grant, and the company’s lift of 2026 earnings guidance, both of which reinforce its waste‑to‑resource strategy and suggest operational momentum.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$1.60$1.69$1.78$1.88$1.97Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$1.93 - -
Q2'26$1.83$1.85+1.0%
Q1'26$1.65$1.70+2.8%
Q4'25$1.64$1.76+7.4%
Q3'25$1.78$1.90+6.5%
Q2'25$1.76$1.77+0.8%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$4.1B$4.2B$4.3B$4.4B$4.5BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$4.4B - -
Q2'26$4.4B$4.4B+0.6%
Q1'26$4.1B$4.1B-0.6%
Q4'25$4.2B$4.1B-2.7%
Q3'25 - $4.2B -
Q2'25 - $4.2B -

Market Data

RSG Stock Snapshot

BULLISH73/100
$224.44−$0.04 (0.0%)
Market cap
67.39B
P/E ratio
30.8
Day range
$219.00 – $224.65
News sentiment
58/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$243.96 (+8.7%)
Consensus
Hold · 35 analysts
52-week range+14.3% off low · -3.8% from high
$196.41$233.42
Price $224.44 DailyIQ Est. $247.48

Price is in the upper part of its 52-week range, and the momentum read backs that positioning up. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into RSG?

FAIR

At today's price, Republic Services, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 11.0% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 6.86% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 11.7% a year, so the market is asking for 0.7 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis RSG looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.

Implied FCF growth
11.0%
Historical FCF CAGR
11.7%
Growth gap
-0.7 pts
Verdict
FAIR
Discount rate (WACC)
6.86%
Beta
0.46

Behaviour On Record

What RSG's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
15.5% 52nd pct
Below its peak
-14.9%
vs 200-day average
+2.2%
Up days (1y)
50%

Republic Services, Inc. is currently running 15.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against RSG's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 52nd percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 15.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

RSG is trading -14.9% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -9.2%, and the deepest was -34.0% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits +2.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 26th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year RSG closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, RSG finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.3% and an average of +1.0%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.2% on average, its weakest September at -1.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: RSG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 49 of 3,267 sessions (1.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.8% and -12.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, RSG moved an average of 1.4% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +0.3% and a largest of +3.2%.

All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against RSG's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of RSG's sector?

Republic Services, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#8 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
36

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for RSG?

CallsPuts

For Republic Services, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 2 days out), open interest is roughly balanced between puts and calls (put/call ratio of 0.97), with at-the-money implied volatility around 41.3%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±3.3% move by that expiry — a range of about $212.95–$227.65.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.97
ATM implied volatility
41.3%
Total open interest
3,187
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±3.3% ($212.95–$227.65)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on RSG?

Morgan Stanley most recently reiterated its rating on Republic Services, Inc. to Equal-Weight on Oct 13, 2026 with a price target of $219 (from $232). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Morgan Stanley — Equal-Weight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 13, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$232 → $219
Oct 8, 2026CIBCMaintainedOutperformer$249 → $240
Aug 11, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$233 → $235
Aug 7, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$233 → $240
Jul 10, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$247 → $259
May 12, 2026UBSMaintainedNeutral$240 → $223
May 12, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$253 → $247
May 11, 2026Argus ResearchDowngradeBuy → Hold-
May 11, 2026BarclaysMaintainedEqual-Weight$227 → $233
May 8, 2026RBC CapitalMaintainedOutperform$265 → $267
Apr 16, 2026BairdMaintainedNeutral$242 → $240
Apr 10, 2026JP MorganMaintainedNeutral$233 → $245

Peers & ETF holders

RSG peers & ETF holders

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

58/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
MODERATELY BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
Republic Services (RSG) reported that its annual sales growth of 4.2% over the past two years lagged behind industrial peers, and unit sales remained flat, forcing the company to rely on price increases. Analysts projected only 5.1% sales growth for the next 12 months, indicating weaker demand. The company trades at a forward P/E of 28.8x, reflecting market caution about its growth prospects.
What did this article say?
Republic Services opened an expanded compost facility at Forward Landfill in California’s Central Valley, adding capacity to process food scraps and yard waste with upgraded technology. The expansion is backed by a US$5.10 million CalRecycle grant, reinforcing the company’s commitment to organics recycling. It joins a growing network of 17 organics sites and the upcoming San Bernardino Sustainability Park, positioning organics as a core, state‑supported growth platform for the company.
What did this article say?
Republic Services (RSG) expanded its compost facility at Forward Landfill in California’s Central Valley, adding capacity to process food scraps and yard waste into compost for local agriculture. The company also lifted its 2026 guidance, signaling stronger future earnings. Investors reacted with a modest share price uptick, but the market remains cautious, weighing the upside against existing expectations. The expansion and guidance lift represent a tangible operational win and a positive outlook for the company’s waste‑to‑resource strategy.
What did this article say?
Republic Services (RSG) expanded its organics compost facility at Forward Landfill in California, adding capacity with the help of a state grant. The upgrade supports California’s methane reduction and circular economy objectives. RSG plans to open the San Bernardino Sustainability Park later this year, which is expected to become one of the largest organics facilities in the United States. The expansion signals a continued focus on sustainability and could enhance RSG’s environmental credentials, though it represents a moderate, non-transformative improvement to the company’s portfolio.
What did this article say?
Republic Services (RSG) has been a solid performer for shareholders, returning 83.6% over five years. Analysts question whether the current $219.75 price reflects the cash the company can generate. The waste collection and disposal model supports steady cash flow, suggesting the stock may be undervalued by about 26%. The valuation debate contrasts the 30.8x P/E ratio with cash‑flow‑based metrics. Investors consider whether the share price aligns with future cash generation.
What did this article say?
Republic Services (RSG) is set to report Q3 FY2026 results, with analysts expecting diluted EPS of $1.91, slightly above last year’s $1.90. The company has consistently beaten earnings estimates for four consecutive quarters. Despite solid earnings, RSG shares have declined 2.4% over the past year, trailing the S&P 500.
What did this article say?
Deutsche Bank analysts projected that Republic Services (RSG) would meet its Q3 earnings expectations, citing robust pricing power that offsets elevated diesel costs. The firm highlighted that diesel prices rose roughly 50% year‑over‑year in Q3, yet pricing should remain healthy, potentially boosting margins. Analysts also noted that a faster‑than‑expected recovery in old corrugated cardboard prices could add upside, while uncertainties around renewable identification number prices and volume trends pose risks. Overall, the outlook suggests a positive earnings trajectory for RSG in the near term.
What did this article say?
Deutsche Bank reduced its price target for Republic Services (RSG) from $270 to $258, citing a more conservative outlook. The bank maintains an overweight rating but lowered the mean target to $246.09. The adjustment reflects a modest view that RSG’s valuation may be slightly overestimated. The change is unlikely to trigger immediate market movement but signals a cautious stance from a major research house.
What did this article say?
Raymond James reduced its price target for Republic Services (RSG) from $238 to $235, citing a modest adjustment in its valuation assumptions. The brokerage maintained an overweight rating and an average price target of $246.09 across analysts. The change reflects a slight shift in the firm’s outlook but does not indicate a fundamental change in the company’s prospects.
What did this article say?
CIBC analyst Kevin Chiang reduced Republic Services’ (NYSE:RSG) price target from $249 to $240 while keeping an Outperform rating. The downgrade reflects a reassessment of the company’s valuation relative to peers. No change was made to the earnings guidance or fundamental outlook. The move signals a modest negative shift in the analyst’s view of RSG’s upside potential.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

73
BULLISH
Momentum rank against about 1,000 stocks and ETFs for this timeframe.
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $16.68B combined position · 17 adding, 8 trimming, 0 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
Vanguard Group Inc▲ Buy19,133,3566.24%$4.05B2026-01-29
BlackRock, Inc.▲ Buy17,824,7255.82%$3.80B2026-08-07
Morgan Stanley▼ Sell4,905,3121.60%$1.05B2026-08-13
Geode Capital Management, LLC▲ Buy4,896,1091.60%$1.04B2026-08-12
FMR LLC (Fidelity)▼ Sell4,544,1041.48%$968.26M2026-08-13
JPMorgan Chase & Co▲ Buy3,669,0001.20%$787.66M2026-08-12
Bank of America Corp▲ Buy3,203,3651.05%$682.57M2026-08-14
Norges Bank▲ Buy3,162,9651.03%$673.96M2026-08-12
Invesco Ltd.▲ Buy2,350,3400.77%$500.81M2026-08-14
Two Sigma Investments, LP▲ Buy2,280,2850.74%$485.88M2026-08-14
Northern Trust Corp▼ Sell2,172,9410.71%$463.01M2026-08-13
Goldman Sachs Group Inc▼ Sell2,157,0200.70%$459.62M2026-08-14
AQR Capital Management LLC▲ Buy1,717,1950.56%$365.90M2026-08-14
Capital World Investors▼ Sell1,179,7310.38%$251.38M2026-08-12
Citadel Advisors LLC▲ Buy1,107,0120.36%$235.88M2026-09-02
Marshall Wace, LLP▲ Buy919,6250.30%$195.95M2026-08-13
Citigroup Inc▲ Buy611,9280.20%$130.39M2026-08-03
D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc.▲ Buy580,6260.19%$123.72M2026-08-14
Wells Fargo & Company▲ Buy394,6900.13%$84.10M2026-08-14
Millennium Management LLC▲ Buy341,5440.11%$72.78M2026-08-14
Adage Capital Partners GP, L.L.C.▲ Buy310,4910.10%$66.16M2026-08-14
Point72 Asset Management, L.P.▼ Sell231,6790.08%$49.37M2026-08-14
Squarepoint Ops LLC▼ Sell226,5030.07%$48.26M2026-08-14
AllianceBernstein L.P.▼ Sell219,3640.07%$48.05M2026-08-14
Prudential Financial Inc▲ Buy216,2050.07%$46.07M2026-08-12
Q2 2026 flow:6.80M sh bought ($1.45B)1.98M sh sold ($422.31M)net +4.82M sh (+$1.03B)
Congressional Trading Activity
10 disclosed trades · ~$247.0K est. traded value · 3 buys, 7 sells
MemberChamberStateTypeAmountTradedFiled
Josh GottheimerHouseNJ05▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-08-062026-09-14
Alan ArmstrongSenateOK▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-03-272026-07-21
Julie JohnsonHouseTX32▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-12-182026-01-15
Julie JohnsonHouseTX32▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-11-132025-12-11
Valerie HoyleHouseOR04▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-09-232025-10-10
Julie JohnsonHouseTX32▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-08-142025-09-11
Adam SmithHouseWA09▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-08-082025-08-08
Valerie HoyleHouseOR04▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-06-062025-09-12
Julie JohnsonHouseTX32▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-04-012025-05-14
George WhitesidesHouseCA27▼ Sell$100K - $250K2025-03-242025-04-23