RSG|Analyst Targets
RSG|Company Info
RSG|Insider Trading
RSG|Fundamentals
RSG|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $1.93 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $1.83 | $1.85 | +1.0% |
| Q1'26 | $1.65 | $1.70 | +2.8% |
| Q4'25 | $1.64 | $1.76 | +7.4% |
| Q3'25 | $1.78 | $1.90 | +6.5% |
| Q2'25 | $1.76 | $1.77 | +0.8% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $4.4B | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $4.4B | $4.4B | +0.6% |
| Q1'26 | $4.1B | $4.1B | -0.6% |
| Q4'25 | $4.2B | $4.1B | -2.7% |
| Q3'25 | - | $4.2B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $4.2B | - |
RSG|Monthly Returns
Market Data
RSG Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 67.39B
- P/E ratio
- 30.8
- Day range
- $219.00 – $224.65
- News sentiment
- 58/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $243.96 (+8.7%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 35 analysts
Price is in the upper part of its 52-week range, and the momentum read backs that positioning up. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into RSG?
At today's price, Republic Services, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 11.0% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 6.86% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 11.7% a year, so the market is asking for 0.7 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis RSG looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.
- Implied FCF growth
- 11.0%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 11.7%
- Growth gap
- -0.7 pts
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 6.86%
- Beta
- 0.46
Behaviour On Record
What RSG's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 15.5% 52nd pct
- Below its peak
- -14.9%
- vs 200-day average
- +2.2%
- Up days (1y)
- 50%
Republic Services, Inc. is currently running 15.5% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against RSG's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 52nd percentile — close to its own typical level, against a typical reading of 15.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
RSG is trading -14.9% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -9.2%, and the deepest was -34.0% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.
Price sits +2.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 26th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year RSG closed higher on 50% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a rising streak.
On October specifically: over 13 years of records, RSG finished the month higher 8 of 13 times, with a median return of +1.3% and an average of +1.0%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.2% on average, its weakest September at -1.7%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: RSG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 49 of 3,267 sessions (1.5% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.8% and -12.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, RSG moved an average of 1.4% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +0.3% and a largest of +3.2%.
All figures computed from 3,268 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-13, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against RSG's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of RSG's sector?
Republic Services, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).
- Sector rank
- #8 of 12
- Sector state
- Improving
- Sector rotation score
- 36
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on RSG?
Morgan Stanley most recently reiterated its rating on Republic Services, Inc. to Equal-Weight on Oct 13, 2026 with a price target of $219 (from $232). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- Morgan Stanley — Equal-Weight
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
Peers & ETF holders
RSG peers & ETF holders
Waste ManagementMarket cap · today
- RSGYou're here$67.4B-0.02%
- WMWaste Management, Inc.$84.9B+0.50%
News Sentiment Analysis
Sentiment gathered from recent headlines
Recent News Coverage
Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).
Technical Analysis
Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes
| Manager | Trend | Shares Held | % of Co. | Position Value | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | ▲ Buy | 19,133,356 | 6.24% | $4.05B | 2026-01-29 |
| BlackRock, Inc. | ▲ Buy | 17,824,725 | 5.82% | $3.80B | 2026-08-07 |
| Morgan Stanley | ▼ Sell | 4,905,312 | 1.60% | $1.05B | 2026-08-13 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | ▲ Buy | 4,896,109 | 1.60% | $1.04B | 2026-08-12 |
| FMR LLC (Fidelity) | ▼ Sell | 4,544,104 | 1.48% | $968.26M | 2026-08-13 |
| JPMorgan Chase & Co | ▲ Buy | 3,669,000 | 1.20% | $787.66M | 2026-08-12 |
| Bank of America Corp | ▲ Buy | 3,203,365 | 1.05% | $682.57M | 2026-08-14 |
| Norges Bank | ▲ Buy | 3,162,965 | 1.03% | $673.96M | 2026-08-12 |
| Invesco Ltd. | ▲ Buy | 2,350,340 | 0.77% | $500.81M | 2026-08-14 |
| Two Sigma Investments, LP | ▲ Buy | 2,280,285 | 0.74% | $485.88M | 2026-08-14 |
| Northern Trust Corp | ▼ Sell | 2,172,941 | 0.71% | $463.01M | 2026-08-13 |
| Goldman Sachs Group Inc | ▼ Sell | 2,157,020 | 0.70% | $459.62M | 2026-08-14 |
| AQR Capital Management LLC | ▲ Buy | 1,717,195 | 0.56% | $365.90M | 2026-08-14 |
| Capital World Investors | ▼ Sell | 1,179,731 | 0.38% | $251.38M | 2026-08-12 |
| Citadel Advisors LLC | ▲ Buy | 1,107,012 | 0.36% | $235.88M | 2026-09-02 |
| Marshall Wace, LLP | ▲ Buy | 919,625 | 0.30% | $195.95M | 2026-08-13 |
| Citigroup Inc | ▲ Buy | 611,928 | 0.20% | $130.39M | 2026-08-03 |
| D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. | ▲ Buy | 580,626 | 0.19% | $123.72M | 2026-08-14 |
| Wells Fargo & Company | ▲ Buy | 394,690 | 0.13% | $84.10M | 2026-08-14 |
| Millennium Management LLC | ▲ Buy | 341,544 | 0.11% | $72.78M | 2026-08-14 |
| Adage Capital Partners GP, L.L.C. | ▲ Buy | 310,491 | 0.10% | $66.16M | 2026-08-14 |
| Point72 Asset Management, L.P. | ▼ Sell | 231,679 | 0.08% | $49.37M | 2026-08-14 |
| Squarepoint Ops LLC | ▼ Sell | 226,503 | 0.07% | $48.26M | 2026-08-14 |
| AllianceBernstein L.P. | ▼ Sell | 219,364 | 0.07% | $48.05M | 2026-08-14 |
| Prudential Financial Inc | ▲ Buy | 216,205 | 0.07% | $46.07M | 2026-08-12 |
| Member | Chamber | State | Type | Amount | Traded | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Gottheimer | House | NJ05 | ▲ Buy | $1K - $15K | 2026-08-06 | 2026-09-14 |
| Alan Armstrong | Senate | OK | ▲ Buy | $1K - $15K | 2026-03-27 | 2026-07-21 |
| Julie Johnson | House | TX32 | ▼ Sell | $1K - $15K | 2025-12-18 | 2026-01-15 |
| Julie Johnson | House | TX32 | ▼ Sell | $1K - $15K | 2025-11-13 | 2025-12-11 |
| Valerie Hoyle | House | OR04 | ▼ Sell | $1K - $15K | 2025-09-23 | 2025-10-10 |
| Julie Johnson | House | TX32 | ▼ Sell | $1K - $15K | 2025-08-14 | 2025-09-11 |
| Adam Smith | House | WA09 | ▼ Sell | $1K - $15K | 2025-08-08 | 2025-08-08 |
| Valerie Hoyle | House | OR04 | ▲ Buy | $1K - $15K | 2025-06-06 | 2025-09-12 |
| Julie Johnson | House | TX32 | ▼ Sell | $1K - $15K | 2025-04-01 | 2025-05-14 |
| George Whitesides | House | CA27 | ▼ Sell | $100K - $250K | 2025-03-24 | 2025-04-23 |