RSG|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $1.93 | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $1.83 | $1.85 | +1.0% |
| Q1'26 | $1.65 | $1.70 | +2.8% |
| Q4'25 | $1.64 | $1.76 | +7.4% |
| Q3'25 | $1.78 | $1.90 | +6.5% |
| Q2'25 | $1.76 | $1.77 | +0.8% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3'26 | $4.4B | - | - |
| Q2'26 | $4.4B | $4.4B | +0.6% |
| Q1'26 | $4.1B | $4.1B | -0.6% |
| Q4'25 | $4.2B | $4.1B | -2.7% |
| Q3'25 | - | $4.2B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $4.2B | - |
RSG|Monthly Returns
Market Data
RSG Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 69.27B
- P/E ratio
- 31.7
- Day range
- $223.40 – $225.77
- News sentiment
- 49/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $245.92 (+9.9%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 35 analysts
Price is in the upper part of its 52-week range, and the momentum read backs that positioning up. Earnings and guidance carry more weight than macro data at this capitalisation.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into RSG?
At today's price, Republic Services, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 9.9% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 6.64% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 11.7% a year, so the market is asking for 1.7 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis RSG looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.
- Implied FCF growth
- 9.9%
- Historical FCF CAGR
- 11.7%
- Growth gap
- -1.7 pts
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 6.64%
- Beta
- 0.46
Behaviour On Record
What RSG's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 18.9% 72nd pct
- Below its peak
- -12.7%
- vs 200-day average
- +4.9%
- Up days (1y)
- 51%
Republic Services, Inc. is currently running 18.9% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against RSG's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 72nd percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 15.2%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.
RSG is trading -12.7% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -9.2%, and the deepest was -34.0% in 2020. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.
Price sits +4.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 38th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year RSG closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a falling streak.
On September specifically: over 14 years of records, RSG finished the month higher 4 of 14 times, with a median return of -1.0% and an average of -1.1%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +5.2% on average, its weakest September at -1.1%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.
Overnight risk is measurable too: RSG has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 51 of 3,268 sessions (1.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.8% and -12.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, RSG moved an average of 1.4% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +0.3% and a largest of +3.2%.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-09-16 and 2026-09-15, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against RSG's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of RSG's sector?
Republic Services, Inc. sits in the Industrials sector, currently ranked 11th of 11 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (lagging).
- Sector rank
- #11 of 11
- Sector state
- Lagging
- Sector rotation score
- 10
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on RSG?
UBS most recently reiterated its rating on Republic Services, Inc. to Neutral on Aug 11, 2026 with a price target of $235 (from $233). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- UBS — Neutral
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
RSG Competitive Positioning
- RSGyou're hereRepublic Services, Inc.$69.3B-0.93%
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