DailyIQ
Last updatedjust now

TROW·T. Rowe Price Group, Inc.

$99.63
-1.76 (-1.74%)
After Hours
High
$101.15
Open
$99.80
Market Cap
21.59B
52W High
$122.00
Low
$98.04
P. Close
$99.63
P/E
9.72
52W Low
$85.22
Fwd P/E
9.92
DailyIQ Est.
$101.63
Inst. Ownership
40.6%
Short Interest
12.58%
Days to Cover
17.2
Div. Yield
5.20%
Next Ex-Div
~Dec 15
Div. Growth
38+ yrs
Technical Score (1D)
40
BEARISH
News Sentiment
43
BEARISH
On Oct 13, JPMorgan Securities reduced its price target for T. Rowe Price from $107 to $106. The downgrade was driven by a reassessment of the firm’s earnings outlook amid broader market volatility. JPMorgan described the change as a modest negative bias for the stock, noting that it does not indicate a material shift in fundamentals. The adjustment reflects a slight downward view of the company’s future earnings potential. No other developments were reported for the company on that date.
LOW TARGET
$90 -9.4%
6 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$106 +6.6%
13 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$116 +16.7%
2 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$90.00 - $116.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
1/1/11/6/2
DAILYIQ EST.
$101.63 (+2.3%)
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Asset Management
Exchange
NMS
Country
United States
Symbol
TROW
Description
T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. is a global investment management firm serving a diverse clientele including individuals, institutions, and retirement plans. The company's core business revolves around managing both equity and fixed income mutual funds, deploying capital across global public markets. Employing a bottom-up investment approach, T. Rowe Price utilizes fundamental and quantitative analysis, supported by both internal and external research capabilities. Furthermore, the firm integrates environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations into its investment strategies. T. Rowe Price also strategically allocates capital to late-stage venture capital opportunities, typically investing between $3 million and $5 million per transaction.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
13,000 shares
$1.4M
WIJNBERG SANDRA S-
Award/Grant163.705 shares2026-09-29
DONNELLY WILLIAM P-
Award/Grant163.993 shares2026-09-29
DUBLON DINA-
Award/Grant120.45 shares2026-09-29
MacLellan Robert F.-
Award/Grant212.463 shares2026-09-29
Golston Allan C.-
Award/Grant60.83 shares2026-09-29
78/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Gross Margin
37.6%
Net Margin
28.5%
Revenue CAGR
6.8%
Return on Equity
19.2%
Earnings Summary
T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. is a global investment management firm that manages equity and fixed‑income mutual funds and allocates capital to late‑stage venture opportunities, operating within the asset management sector. In the last two quarters, the firm’s EPS rose from $2.23 in Q1 2025 to $2.24 in Q2 2025, and then to $2.81 in Q3 2025, surpassing analyst estimates of $2.130 and $2.542 respectively; revenue increased from $1.775 billion to $1.761 billion and then to $1.908 billion, with the company beating revenue estimates in Q3 2025. Historically, T. Rowe Price has shown a YoY revenue growth of about 4–5% over the past four quarters, while EPS has grown at a faster pace, with a 12% year‑over‑year increase in Q3 2025 versus Q3 2024. The firm has consistently beaten analyst EPS estimates in 6 of the last 8 quarters, although it has missed revenue estimates in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026, indicating a pattern of strong earnings but occasional revenue shortfalls. Recent news reports a modest downgrade of the price target from $107 to $106 by JPMorgan on October 13, reflecting a slight negative bias amid market volatility, and a 3% revenue increase to $7.3 billion for 2025 with diluted EPS of $9.24, highlighting competitive pressures from low‑fee passive funds.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$2.03$2.25$2.47$2.69$2.91Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$2.66 - -
Q2'26$2.55$2.57+0.8%
Q1'26$2.40$2.52+5.0%
Q4'25$2.52$2.44-3.1%
Q3'25$2.54$2.81+10.5%
Q2'25$2.13$2.24+4.9%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$1.7B$1.8B$1.9B$1.9B$2.0BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'26$2.0B - -
Q2'26$1.9B$1.9B-0.7%
Q1'26$1.9B$1.9B-2.0%
Q4'25$2.0B$1.9B-1.7%
Q3'25 - $1.9B -
Q2'25 - $1.8B -

Market Data

TROW Stock Snapshot

NEUTRAL40/100
$99.38−$0.25 (0.3%)
Market cap
21.59B
P/E ratio
9.7
Day range
$98.04 – $101.15
News sentiment
43/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$105.92 (+6.6%)
Consensus
Hold · 21 analysts
52-week range+16.6% off low · -18.5% from high
$85.22$122.00
Price $99.38 DailyIQ Est. $101.63

Neither side has the upper hand on TROW right now, and its momentum ranks near the middle of DailyIQ's universe. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.

Behaviour On Record

What TROW's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
16.2% 18th pct
Below its peak
-55.5%
vs 200-day average
-4.1%
Up days (1y)
51%

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. is currently running 16.2% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against TROW's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 18th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 22.7%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

TROW is trading -55.5% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -20.0%, and the deepest was -49.8% in 2022. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -4.1% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 29th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year TROW closed higher on 51% of sessions, and it is currently 3 sessions into a falling streak.

On October specifically: over 14 years of records, TROW finished the month higher 8 of 14 times, with a median return of +1.9% and an average of +0.2%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +6.3% on average, its weakest September at -3.2%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: TROW has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 132 of 3,268 sessions (4.0% of the time), with the largest gaps running +8.6% and -8.0%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, TROW moved an average of 2.3% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +0.5% and a largest of -5.2%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-10-15 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against TROW's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of TROW's sector?

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. sits in the Financials sector, currently ranked 12th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#12 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
18

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for TROW?

CallsPuts

For T. Rowe Price Group, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-16, 2 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.38), with at-the-money implied volatility around 45.3%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±4.9% move by that expiry — a range of about $101.25–$111.68.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-16)
0.38
ATM implied volatility
45.3%
Total open interest
5,044
Expected move by 2026-10-16
±4.9% ($101.25–$111.68)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on TROW?

Barclays most recently reiterated its rating on T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. to Underweight on Oct 14, 2026 with a price target of $102 (from $103). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
Barclays — Underweight
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Oct 14, 2026BarclaysMaintainedUnderweight$103 → $102
Oct 13, 2026JP MorganMaintainedUnderweight$107 → $106
Oct 13, 2026BMO CapitalMaintainedMarket Perform$120 → $110
Oct 12, 2026TD CowenMaintainedHold$110 → $109
Oct 9, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$113 → $109
Sep 25, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedEqual-Weight$116 → $110
Sep 9, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$118 → $113
Aug 31, 2026TD CowenMaintainedHold$108 → $110
Aug 10, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$117 → $118
Aug 3, 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsReiteratedMarket Perform$120 → $115
Aug 3, 2026TD CowenMaintainedHold$107 → $108
Aug 3, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedIn-Line$121 → $117

Peers & ETF holders

TROW peers & ETF holders

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

43/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
BEARISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
JPMorgan Securities reduced its price target for T. Rowe Price from $107 to $106 on October 13. The downgrade reflects a modest reassessment of the firm’s earnings outlook amid broader market volatility. The change signals a slight negative bias for the stock but does not indicate a material shift in fundamentals.
What did this article say?
TD Cowen analyst Bill Katz issued a new report on T. Rowe Price Group (NASDAQ:TROW) on October 12, keeping the recommendation at Hold while reducing the price target from $110 to $109. The downgrade reflects a modest view that the company’s valuation is slightly overextended relative to its earnings outlook. The firm cited a tightening of margin expectations and a more cautious stance on fee‑income growth as key factors. The adjustment signals a slight negative shift in analyst sentiment but does not indicate a material change in the company’s fundamentals.
What did this article say?
T. Rowe Price reported a decline in assets under management for September. The firm noted a decrease compared to the previous month, citing market volatility and client withdrawals as contributing factors. The reduction may affect fee income and future growth prospects.
What did this article say?
T. Rowe Price Group disclosed its September 2026 month‑end assets under management at $1.86 trillion. The firm experienced net outflows of $12.2 billion for the month, driven largely by a defined contribution target‑date plan. Quarterly net outflows reached $28.3 billion, with $1.2 billion attributed to manager‑driven distributions. These outflows represent a notable headwind for the company’s AUM growth trajectory.
What did this article say?
T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. (TROW) experienced a decline in investor interest amid growing competition from low‑fee passive funds. The firm’s broad product lineup and strong client relationships provide resilience, yet performance lag risks client attrition. Market volatility continues to pressure management‑fee revenue, creating a modest headwind for the company.
What did this article say?
T. Rowe Price Group filed a regulatory update with the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission after receiving blanket authorization for securities acquisitions linked to its funds. The filing coincided with a 90‑day share price decline of 11.29%, although its 1‑year total shareholder return remained positive at 9.13%. The update reflects recent fund launches, closures, and renamings, indicating a modest headwind for the firm. The market reaction suggests investors are pricing in a temporary slowdown rather than a fundamental shift in the company’s prospects.
What did this article say?
T. Rowe Price Group (TROW) secured regulatory approval to modify its fund lineup, adding several new exchange-traded funds while closing and renaming existing vehicles. The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission granted blanket authorization for related securities acquisitions, facilitating the product changes. This approval supports TROW’s strategy to broaden its ETF offerings and enhance its product shelf, potentially attracting more investors to its income-focused funds.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

40
NEUTRAL
Momentum rank against about 1,000 stocks and ETFs for this timeframe.
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Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $9.53B combined position · 14 adding, 11 trimming, 0 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
BlackRock, Inc.▲ Buy23,996,11911.22%$2.73B2026-08-07
Vanguard Group Inc▲ Buy26,401,66612.35%$2.70B2026-01-29
Goldman Sachs Group Inc▲ Buy8,452,9033.95%$961.01M2026-08-14
Geode Capital Management, LLC▼ Sell6,263,8292.93%$709.86M2026-08-12
Morgan Stanley▲ Buy4,116,8681.93%$468.05M2026-08-13
Invesco Ltd.▼ Sell3,955,6641.85%$449.72M2026-08-14
Northern Trust Corp▲ Buy3,194,4341.49%$363.18M2026-08-13
Squarepoint Ops LLC▲ Buy1,529,5200.72%$173.89M2026-08-14
Bank of America Corp▲ Buy1,500,3290.70%$170.57M2026-08-14
Citigroup Inc▲ Buy1,374,7780.64%$156.30M2026-08-03
JPMorgan Chase & Co▲ Buy1,172,9140.55%$134.16M2026-08-12
Two Sigma Investments, LP▼ Sell717,5170.34%$81.57M2026-08-14
Wells Fargo & Company▼ Sell678,5720.32%$77.15M2026-08-14
AQR Capital Management LLC▲ Buy618,6000.29%$70.33M2026-08-14
Norges Bank▼ Sell466,9440.22%$53.09M2026-08-12
Fisher Asset Management, LLC▼ Sell396,7800.19%$45.11M2026-08-04
Citadel Advisors LLC▼ Sell345,5900.16%$39.29M2026-09-02
FMR LLC (Fidelity)▲ Buy332,4050.16%$37.79M2026-08-13
AllianceBernstein L.P.▼ Sell308,3490.14%$27.79M2026-08-14
Millennium Management LLC▼ Sell173,9940.08%$19.78M2026-08-14
Wellington Management Group LLP▲ Buy168,5370.08%$19.16M2026-08-14
Prudential Financial Inc▼ Sell133,3290.06%$15.16M2026-08-12
Neuberger Berman Group LLC▲ Buy127,2300.06%$14.46M2026-08-13
Man Group plc▲ Buy70,2550.03%$7.99M2026-08-14
ExodusPoint Capital Management, LP▼ Sell56,9600.03%$6.48M2026-08-14
Q2 2026 flow:3.20M sh bought ($363.79M)2.56M sh sold ($289.46M)net +640.9K sh (+$74.34M)
Congressional Trading Activity
5 disclosed trades · ~$40.0K est. traded value · 1 buys, 4 sells
MemberChamberStateTypeAmountTradedFiled
Julie JohnsonHouseTX32▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-04-012025-05-14
Tommy TubervilleSenateAL▼ Sell$1K - $15K2022-10-052022-11-10
Bill CassidySenateLA▼ Sell$1K - $15K2020-07-152020-08-12
Bill CassidySenateLA▼ Sell$1K - $15K2020-03-092020-03-27
Bill CassidySenateLA▲ Buy$1K - $15K2016-10-312018-10-31