USFD·US Foods Holding Corp.

Realized volatility (21d)

18.6% 24th pct

Below its peak

-11.3%

vs 200-day average

+6.0%

Up days (1y)

49%

US Foods Holding Corp. is currently running 18.6% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against USFD's own 10 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 24th percentile — unusually subdued by its own history, against a typical reading of 24.5%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

USFD is trading -11.3% below its running peak. Across 9 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -24.8%, and the deepest was -76.1% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +6.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 45th percentile — close to the gap it normally carries. Over the past year USFD closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 5 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 11 years of records, USFD finished the month higher 4 of 11 times, with a median return of -3.5% and an average of -0.8%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +10.5% on average, its weakest March at -5.8%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: USFD has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 137 of 2,610 sessions (5.2% of the time), with the largest gaps running +33.4% and -10.1%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, USFD moved an average of 2.1% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -1.6% and a largest of -2.9%.

All figures computed from 2,611 daily closes between 2016-05-26 and 2026-10-14, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against USFD's own 10-year history, not a peer group or index.