DailyIQ
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Sector:Consumer DefensiveAll sectors
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WMT·Walmart Inc.

$108.12
+0.92 (+0.86%)
After Hours
High
$108.80
Open
$107.54
Market Cap
869.17B
52W High
$135.16
Low
$107.15
P. Close
$108.12
P/E
39.37
52W Low
$97.90
Fwd P/E
33.58
DailyIQ Est.
$134.92
Inst. Ownership
20.8%
Short Interest
1.00%
Days to Cover
3.9
Technical Score (1D)
45
NEUTRAL
News Sentiment
69
BULLISH
On Oct 7, Walmart announced that its Walmart Connect platform had been expanded to include live TV, streaming audio, and connected TV advertising, with new partnerships with Warner Bros. Discovery, Spotify and Yahoo to extend commerce‑media campaigns beyond its own properties. The company said that programmatic activation of Walmart shopper audiences would allow marketers to measure performance on these third‑party media platforms, potentially increasing advertising revenue for Walmart. On Oct 6, Walmart reported that its stock had closed 2.03 % higher than the market, while the Retail‑Wholesale sector had declined 4.5 % over the prior month. The same day, Walmart also clarified that it does not use customer data or weather conditions to adjust prices, and that it will not renew a patent that could enable personalized pricing. Additionally, on Oct 6 Walmart Connect announced that its audience data and closed‑loop measurement would now cover live TV, streaming audio and CTV, positioning the retailer as a stronger player in the broader media ecosystem. Finally, on Oct 6 Walmart noted that its digital business had grown 43 % in the second quarter of fiscal 2027, with U.S. e‑commerce sales rising 24 % and double‑digit incremental margins, underscoring the strategic importance of its digital commerce platform.
LOW TARGET
$81 -25.1%
1 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$127 +17.2%
28 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$155 +43.3%
21 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$81.00 - $155.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
12/30/6/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$134.92 (+24.7%)
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Discount Stores
Exchange
NMS
Country
United States
Website
corporate.walmart.com
Symbol
WMT
Description
Walmart Inc. operates a global network of retail and wholesale stores, e-commerce platforms, and mobile applications, serving customers worldwide through three primary segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club. The company's core value proposition lies in providing a wide array of products, from groceries and household essentials to electronics and apparel, through diverse retail formats, including supercenters, discount stores, and warehouse clubs. Walmart's expansive physical presence, coupled with its online channels, allows it to offer convenience and competitive pricing to a broad consumer base. Furthermore, the company extends its offerings to include financial services, health and wellness products, and private-label merchandise, strengthening its position as a comprehensive retail provider. Founded in 1945, Walmart Inc. is headquartered in Bentonville, Arkansas.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
9,008,347.229 shares
$1071.4M
Bartlett Daniel JExecutive Vice President
Sell3,990 shares2026-10-01
Conde Cesar-
Award/Grant277 shares2026-09-30
Harris Carla A-
Award/Grant168 shares2026-09-30
Moritz Robert Edward Jr.-
Award/Grant361 shares2026-09-30
Friar Sarah-
Award/Grant337 shares2026-09-30
View full insider trading history →
64/ 100
Neutral / mixed
Overall: Neutral
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Net Margin
3.1%
Revenue CAGR
3.5%
Current Ratio
0.79x
Debt / Equity
0.38x
Return on Equity
22.0%
View full financials →
Earnings Summary
Walmart Inc. operates a global network of retail and wholesale stores, e‑commerce platforms, and mobile applications, serving customers worldwide through its U.S., International, and Sam’s Club segments. As a leading discount retailer, Walmart’s business model blends physical convenience with digital expansion, positioning it firmly within the consumer defensive sector. In the most recent quarters, Walmart reported Q4 2024 EPS of $0.66 versus an estimate of $0.6468, and Q1 2025 EPS of $0.61 against $0.57746, both beating analysts while revenue remained flat at $178.83 billion and $163.98 billion respectively; Q2 2025 EPS of $0.68 fell short of the $0.73887 estimate, and revenue dipped to $175.75 billion, indicating a slight deceleration in earnings momentum. Historically, Walmart has maintained a steady YoY revenue growth trajectory, with Q1 2027 revenue of $177.75 billion matching the estimate of $176.73 billion and EPS of $0.66 beating the $0.65872 forecast, while Q2 2027 EPS of $0.81 exceeded the $0.68158 estimate, underscoring a pattern of earnings beats amid modest revenue volatility. Recent news highlights Walmart’s expansion of its Walmart Connect advertising platform to live TV, streaming audio, and CTV, alongside a 43 % digital business growth in Q2 FY2027 and a 24 % rise in U.S. e‑commerce sales, signaling a strategic pivot toward higher‑margin online activity and media monetization.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.54$0.62$0.69$0.77$0.84Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'27Q2'27Q3'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'27$0.64 - -
Q2'27$0.68$0.81+18.8%
Q1'27$0.66$0.66+0.2%
Q3'25$0.60$0.62+3.1%
Q2'25$0.74$0.68-8.0%
Q1'25$0.58$0.61+5.6%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$160.2B$168.4B$176.6B$184.8B$193.0BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q1'27Q2'27Q3'27
QtrEstActual+/−
Q3'27$189.2B - -
Q2'27$188.8B$187.9B-0.5%
Q1'27$176.7B$177.8B+0.6%
Q3'25 - $177.8B -
Q2'25 - $175.8B -
Q1'25 - $164.0B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
→

Market Data

WMT Stock Snapshot

NEUTRAL45/100
$108.02−$0.10 (0.1%)
Market cap
869.17B
P/E ratio
39.4
Day range
$107.15 – $108.80
News sentiment
69/100 · Bullish
Analyst target
$126.78 (+17.4%)
Consensus
Buy · 50 analysts
52-week range+10.3% off low · -20.1% from high
$97.90$135.16
Price $108.02 DailyIQ Est. $134.92

WMT sits in the lower half of its 52-week range with the technical picture unresolved. Positioning shifts among large allocators, not retail flow, set the tone for a name this size.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into WMT?

RICH

At today's price, Walmart Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 34.0% a year for the next 10 years to justify its valuation at a 8.49% cost of capital. Over its actual history it has compounded free cash flow at 2.6% a year, so the market is asking for 31.4 percentage points above its own delivered rate. On that basis WMT looks priced above what its own growth record supports.

Implied FCF growth
34.0%
Historical FCF CAGR
2.6%
Growth gap
+31.4 pts
Verdict
RICH
Discount rate (WACC)
8.49%
Beta
0.67

Behaviour On Record

What WMT's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
19.0% 65th pct
Below its peak
-21.7%
vs 200-day average
-11.2%
Up days (1y)
49%

Walmart Inc. is currently running 19.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against WMT's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 65th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 16.8%. The distinction matters because a number that looks calm for one stock is turbulent for another, and the absolute figure on its own tells you neither.

WMT is trading -21.7% below its running peak. Across 12 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -12.7%, and the deepest was -37.7% in 2015. The current drawdown is already deeper than this stock's typical annual low point, which puts it in the part of its range where past recoveries began — and where past declines also continued.

Price sits -11.2% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 4th percentile — a narrower gap than it typically runs. Over the past year WMT closed higher on 49% of sessions, and it is currently 2 sessions into a rising streak.

On October specifically: over 13 years of records, WMT finished the month higher 7 of 13 times, with a median return of +0.9% and an average of +1.9%. Its strongest month historically has been November at +4.6% on average, its weakest May at -1.6%. Seasonality is a weak signal on its own — a decade is a small sample and regimes change — but it is a real distribution rather than a rule of thumb.

Overnight risk is measurable too: WMT has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 19 of 3,268 sessions (0.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +5.8% and -6.4%. For anyone holding through an event, that rate is a better guide to overnight exposure than the intraday range.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-10-07 and 2026-10-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against WMT's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of WMT's sector?

Walmart Inc. sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 7th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (improving).

Sector rank
#7 of 12
Sector state
Improving
Sector rotation score
45

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for WMT?

CallsPuts

For Walmart Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-10-09, 2 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.61), with at-the-money implied volatility around 22.1%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±1.5% move by that expiry — a range of about $105.19–$108.49.

Put/call ratio (2026-10-09)
0.61
ATM implied volatility
22.1%
Total open interest
53,639
Expected move by 2026-10-09
±1.5% ($105.19–$108.49)

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on WMT?

Mizuho most recently reiterated its rating on Walmart Inc. to Outperform on Sep 29, 2026 with a price target of $125 (from $130). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bearish lean.

Latest action
Mizuho — Outperform
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
1
Net rating momentum
-1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Sep 29, 2026MizuhoMaintainedOutperform$130 → $125
Sep 10, 2026DA DavidsonMaintainedBuy$132
Sep 10, 2026BTIGReiteratedBuy$140
Aug 31, 2026Tigress FinancialMaintainedBuy$155
Aug 21, 2026Telsey Advisory GroupMaintainedOutperform$140 → $130
Aug 21, 2026CitigroupMaintainedBuy$147 → $132
Aug 21, 2026BNP ParibasReiteratedOutperform$146 → $137
Aug 21, 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainedBuy$140 → $114
Aug 21, 2026Piper SandlerReiteratedOverweight$137 → $128
Aug 21, 2026JP MorganMaintainedOverweight$137 → $125
Aug 21, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$141 → $130
Aug 21, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedOverweight$140 → $120

WMT Competitive Positioning

Walmart Inc. (WMT) is tracked alongside these names in Discount Stores on DailyIQ — ranked by market cap, with today's move alongside.

Held by These ETFs

WMT is a top holding in these ETFs tracked on DailyIQ — bar length shows portfolio weight.

News Sentiment Analysis

Sentiment gathered from recent headlines

69/100
Strong NegativeNeutralStrong Positive
MODERATELY BULLISH

Recent News Coverage

Most recent articles, ranked by recency (click to expand).

10+ articles
What did this article say?
A recent survey revealed that Walmart’s grocery prices continue to undercut those of its main competitors, Albertsons and Dollar General. The study highlighted a widening gap in price competitiveness, underscoring Walmart’s strength in cost leadership. This advantage is expected to sustain customer traffic and support the retailer’s market share in the grocery segment. The findings reinforce Walmart’s pricing strategy as a key driver of its competitive positioning.
What did this article say?
Walmart announced the rollout of Express Pickup, allowing customers to collect orders within an hour during the holiday season. The service complements existing Express Delivery and aims to reduce time spent on holiday shopping tasks. By offering faster, flexible pickup options, Walmart seeks to enhance customer experience and drive foot traffic. The initiative reflects the retailer’s focus on meeting evolving consumer expectations during peak periods.
What did this article say?
Walmart (WMT) broadened its Walmart Connect platform to allow advertisers to leverage shopper data across live TV, streaming audio, and CTV. The retailer announced collaborations with Warner Bros. Discovery, Spotify, and Yahoo to extend commerce media campaigns beyond its own properties. Programmatic activation of Walmart shopper audiences will enable marketers to measure performance on these third‑party media platforms, potentially increasing advertising revenue for WMT.
What did this article say?
On October 6, Walmart’s shares finished at $107.20, rising 2.03% and outpacing the S&P 500’s 0.58% increase. The retailer’s share price had declined 1.93% over the last month, a smaller drop than the Retail‑Wholesale sector’s 4.5% loss. Market participants are watching the November 19 earnings report, where estimates forecast EPS of $0.63 and quarterly revenue of $186.47 billion.
What did this article say?
AI chatbots increasingly recommend Walmart and Costco to U.S. shoppers, according to recent data. The trend suggests that consumers are spending more time and money when guided by these virtual assistants. While the shift indicates a positive headwind for Walmart, it does not represent a material change in the company's financial outlook. The recommendation pattern reflects broader consumer behavior rather than a strategic pivot.
What did this article say?
Walmart’s executive vice president of corporate affairs issued a letter to Groundwork Collaborative’s president, challenging claims that the retailer uses customer data or weather conditions to adjust prices. The letter clarified that Walmart will not renew a patent related to scan‑and‑go technology that could enable personalized pricing. The company reiterated it does not employ digital shelf labels for individual or dynamic pricing, stating that any confusion is self‑generated. No changes to pricing strategy or policy were announced, and the response appears to be a routine damage‑control effort.
What did this article say?
Walmart Connect announced new partnerships with Warner Bros. Discovery, Spotify, and Yahoo DSP to extend its audience data and closed‑loop measurement to live TV, streaming audio, and CTV. The move allows advertisers to target Walmart shoppers on linear television networks such as TBS through a demand‑side platform. By offering broader media reach and deeper measurement, Walmart aims to capture a larger share of television advertising spend and enhance its media arm’s value proposition.
What did this article say?
Avia, a heritage sneaker brand, announced the launch of its Collab Camp collection in partnership with Bimma Williams and four multidisciplinary creatives. The capsule, featuring retro sneakers and activewear, will be sold exclusively at Walmart beginning early Q1 2027. The collaboration aims to leverage Walmart’s extensive retail footprint to reach a broad consumer base and capitalize on Avia’s recent viral popularity. The partnership is expected to drive foot traffic and online sales for Walmart’s apparel segment. No immediate impact on Walmart’s financial guidance was disclosed.

Technical Analysis

Real-time indicators across multiple timeframes

45
NEUTRAL
Technical indicators reflect the latest computed signal mix for this timeframe.
Unlock full technicals
Create a free account to access more indicators and deeper timeframe data.
Institutional & Hedge Fund Ownership
25 tracked managers · $186.57B combined position · 10 adding, 14 trimming, 1 unchanged (latest 13F filings)
ManagerTrendShares Held% of Co.Position ValueFiled
Vanguard Group Inc▲ Buy439,957,1465.47%$49.02B2026-01-29
BlackRock, Inc.▲ Buy354,923,7084.42%$40.20B2026-08-07
Invesco Ltd.▲ Buy148,459,3331.85%$16.81B2026-08-14
Geode Capital Management, LLC▲ Buy106,449,7491.32%$12.00B2026-08-12
JPMorgan Chase & Co▼ Sell99,167,4211.23%$11.36B2026-08-12
Morgan Stanley▲ Buy88,318,9211.10%$10.00B2026-08-13
Bank of America Corp▼ Sell65,823,1550.82%$7.46B2026-08-14
Norges Bank▼ Sell57,423,9290.71%$6.50B2026-08-12
Goldman Sachs Group Inc▲ Buy44,494,5050.55%$5.04B2026-08-14
Fisher Asset Management, LLC▲ Buy41,493,1730.52%$4.70B2026-08-04
Northern Trust Corp▼ Sell40,990,2210.51%$4.64B2026-08-13
FMR LLC (Fidelity)▼ Sell31,265,1280.39%$3.54B2026-08-13
Wells Fargo & Company▼ Sell29,004,1620.36%$3.29B2026-08-14
Susquehanna International Group, LLP▼ Sell20,778,6180.26%$2.35B2026-08-14
Citadel Advisors LLC• Hold20,719,2260.26%$2.35B2026-09-02
Citigroup Inc▲ Buy11,931,6130.15%$1.35B2026-08-03
AllianceBernstein L.P.▼ Sell10,015,2210.12%$1.24B2026-08-14
Wellington Management Group LLP▼ Sell8,763,0670.11%$992.50M2026-08-14
AQR Capital Management LLC▼ Sell6,210,5150.08%$703.40M2026-08-14
Millennium Management LLC▼ Sell5,593,3880.07%$633.51M2026-08-14
Capital World Investors▼ Sell5,503,4770.07%$623.32M2026-08-12
Neuberger Berman Group LLC▲ Buy4,653,6620.06%$527.27M2026-08-13
Squarepoint Ops LLC▼ Sell4,341,1890.05%$491.68M2026-08-14
Adage Capital Partners GP, L.L.C.▼ Sell3,648,8260.05%$413.27M2026-08-14
Marshall Wace, LLP▲ Buy2,856,1390.04%$323.49M2026-08-13
Q2 2026 flow:56.16M sh bought ($6.36B)41.64M sh sold ($4.76B)net +14.52M sh (+$1.60B)
View full institutional holdings history →
Congressional Trading Activity
25 disclosed trades · ~$507.5K est. traded value · 11 buys, 14 sells
MemberChamberStateTypeAmountTradedFiled
Kevin HernHouseOK01▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-08-272026-09-25
Gilbert CisnerosHouseCA31▲ Buy$1K - $15K2026-08-262026-09-10
Richard Dean Dr McCormickHouseGA06▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-07-302026-08-14
Alan ArmstrongSenateOK▼ Sell$15K - $50K2026-03-272026-07-21
John McGuireHouseVA05▼ Sell$1K - $15K2026-01-202026-02-10
Jonathan JacksonHouseIL01▲ Buy$50K - $100K2026-01-132026-02-23
Julie JohnsonHouseTX32▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-12-182026-01-15
Gilbert CisnerosHouseCA31▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-11-182025-12-15
Richard Dean Dr McCormickHouseGA06▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-11-052025-12-09
Lisa McClainHouseMI09▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-10-312025-11-21
Lisa McClainHouseMI09▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-10-302025-11-21
Lisa McClainHouseMI09▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-10-302025-11-21
Gilbert CisnerosHouseCA31▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-10-172025-11-18
Thomas SuozziHouseNY03▼ Sell$15K - $50K2025-10-142025-10-21
Rick LarsenHouseWA02▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-10-062025-10-16
Julie JohnsonHouseTX32▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-08-142025-09-11
John BoozmanSenateAR▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-07-312025-08-06
Josh GottheimerHouseNJ05▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-07-282025-08-11
Ritchie John TorresHouseNY15▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-07-112025-08-20
Lisa McClainHouseMI09▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-06-172025-08-13
Scott Scott FranklinHouseFL18▼ Sell$15K - $50K2025-06-162025-07-14
Jefferson ShreveHouseIN06▼ Sell$100K - $250K2025-05-122025-06-22
Marjorie Taylor GreeneHouseGA14▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-05-052025-05-06
Bruce WestermanHouseAR04▼ Sell$1K - $15K2025-04-212025-05-12
Katie BrittSenateAL▲ Buy$1K - $15K2025-04-142026-01-26
View full congressional trading history →

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