XOM|Analyst Targets
XOM|Company Info
XOM|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $4.00 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $4.12 | $4.23 | +2.7% |
| Q1'26 | $3.31 | $1.16 | -65.0% |
| Q4'25 | $1.70 | $1.71 | +0.5% |
| Q3'25 | $1.82 | $1.88 | +3.0% |
| Q2'25 | $1.56 | $1.64 | +4.9% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $110.4B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $104.1B | $113.2B | +8.7% |
| Q1'26 | $95.4B | $85.1B | -10.8% |
| Q4'25 | $82.2B | $82.3B | +0.1% |
| Q3'25 | - | $85.3B | - |
| Q2'25 | - | $81.5B | - |
XOM|Monthly Returns
Market Data
XOM Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 693.31B
- P/E ratio
- 17.1
- Day range
- $163.61 – $166.25
- News sentiment
- 56/100 · Neutral
- Analyst target
- $183.67 (+12.0%)
- Consensus
- Hold · 34 analysts
Momentum is working in XOM's favour - it ranks in the upper part of DailyIQ's momentum universe. Coverage is deep enough that new information gets priced quickly, so surprises tend to be macro rather than fundamental.
Behaviour On Record
What XOM's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 32.7% 86th pct
- Below its peak
- -8.6%
- vs 200-day average
- +10.0%
- Up days (1y)
- 58%
Exxon Mobil Corporation is currently running 32.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against XOM's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 86th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 20.9%.
XOM is trading -8.6% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -18.7%, and the deepest was -54.9% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits +10.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 77th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year XOM closed higher on 58% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.
On November specifically: over 13 years of records, XOM finished the month higher 5 of 13 times, with a median return of -0.8% and an average of -0.1%. Its strongest month historically has been October at +2.6% on average, its weakest May at -1.0%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: XOM has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 51 of 3,268 sessions (1.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.3% and -9.1%.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, XOM moved an average of 2.3% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -2.1% and a largest of -3.9%.
All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against XOM's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of XOM's sector?
Exxon Mobil Corporation sits in the Energy sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).
- Sector rank
- #8 of 12
- Sector state
- Weakening
- Sector rotation score
- 18
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect XOM to earn?
Analysts expect Exxon Mobil Corporation to earn $13.68 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $7.59 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2029, from 3 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on XOM?
Citigroup most recently reiterated its rating on Exxon Mobil Corporation to Neutral on Nov 4, 2026 with a price target of $175 (from $155). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bearish lean.
- Latest action
- Citigroup: Neutral
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 1
- Net rating momentum
- -1
Earnings Release, Scored
What did Exxon Mobil Corporation's latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
contributed to an increase in our distillate production by approximately 40% since 2019."
New this quarter - 2
Advantaged investments, technology, and $16.9 billion in structural cost savings
New this quarter - 3
since 2019 are expanding our earnings power.
New this quarter
Peers & ETF holders
XOM peers & ETF holders
Oil & Gas IntegratedMarket cap · today
- XOMYou're here$693.3B-1.09%
- CVXChevron Corporation$431.2B-1.52%
- SHELShell PLC$215.4B-0.71%
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about XOM?
XOM rose 0.8% over the month to Nov 5. News tone held between 37 and 75 from Oct 5 to Oct 21, then dropped to 54 on Oct 22.
- Oct 8 +2.8%same day: Exxon Mobil Holdings (XOM) Gains As Market Dips: What You Should Know
- Nov 2 -3.8%same day: ETFs Bought $889.9 Million of ExxonMobil (XOM) on Oct. 29
- Nov 4 -4.6%same day: DZ Bank Downgrades Exxon Mobil to Sell From Neutral, Price Target is $170
Technical analysis
How strong is XOM's momentum right now?
On the daily chart XOM ranks at the 85th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bullish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling XOM?
44 of the 45 tracked managers added to XOM in their latest 13F and 0 trimmed. Together they own 3.9% of the company, worth $26.3B. Bank of New York Mellon and Dimensional Fund Advisors alone hold 1.5%.
- $5.8B positionNew position last quarter
- $4.4B positionNew position last quarter
- 3Amundi0.53%$3.1B positionNew position last quarter
- $1.7B positionNew position last quarter
- $1.4B positionNew position last quarter
- $1.0B positionNew position last quarter
- 7Citigroup Inc0.14%$931.3M positionNew position last quarter
- $577.3M positionNew position last quarter
- 9Ninety One UK Ltd0.08%$568.6M positionNew position last quarter
- 10Fifth Third Bancorp0.08%$538.6M positionNew position last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading XOM?
16 members of Congress disclosed 25 XOM trades between May 15, 2025 and Oct 14, 2026: 9 buys, 14 sells and 2 exchanges, about $509.5K in estimated value.
What stands out
Click one to highlight its trades in the chartDiscover more
How has XOM done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 5, XOM returned +7.2%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 5 did better, led by MPC at +44.8%.
- 1MPCMarathon Petroleum Corporationup 44.8%+37.6 pts
- 2VLOValero Energy Corporationup 39.9%+32.7 pts
- 3PSXPhillips 66up 37.3%+30.1 pts
- 4CVXChevron Corporationup 11.2%+4.0 pts
- 5COPConocoPhillipsup 10.5%+3.2 pts
- 6XOMThis stockup 7.2%
- 7XLEEnergy Select Sector SPDR Fundup 4.3%−2.9 pts
- 8CNQCanadian Natural Resources Limitedup 2.5%−4.7 pts
- 16OIHVanEck Oil Services ETFdown 21.0%−28.2 pts