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DailyIQ
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XOM·Exxon Mobil Corporation

$165.30
-3.97 (-2.35%)
Pre-Market
High
$166.25
Open
$164.87
Market Cap
693.31B
52W High
$188.50
Low
$163.61
P. Close
$165.30
P/E
17.07
52W Low
$114.19
Fwd P/E
13.36
DailyIQ Est.
$185.60
Inst. Own.
3.9%
Short Interest
1.00%
Days to Cover
3.9
Div. Yield
2.49%
Next Ex-Div
~Nov 17
Div. Growth
43+ yrs
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Oct 30, 2026tone -12.9 vs prior release · 156 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
85
BULLISH
News Sentiment
56
BULLISH
On Nov 5, Exxon Mobil reported a fiscal Q3 2026 profit of $15.4 billion, a 102 % increase from the previous year, driven by higher oil prices and supply constraints. The company also highlighted $16.9 billion in structural cost savings since 2019, underscoring its cost discipline. Management’s guidance indicated that fuel markets would remain tight through 2027, supporting a bullish outlook for the near term. On the same day, Exxon Mobil Alaska Production Inc. signed a 15‑year gas sale agreement with STAK Energy Corporation to supply natural gas for a new power plant on Alaska’s North Slope, extending the company’s gas supply portfolio and providing a long‑term revenue stream for the project. The deal was finalized after a multi‑year negotiation process that began earlier in the year, representing a strategic expansion of Exxon’s North Slope gas production footprint. On Nov 4, analysts noted that Exxon’s shares had risen more than 43 % in 2026, the strongest year since 2022, following the Q3 earnings report that exceeded expectations and highlighted robust upstream performance. Some analysts, however, remained cautious about long‑term demand uncertainty.
LOW TARGET
$142 -14.1%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$184 +11.1%
23 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$213 +28.9%
9 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$142.00 - $213.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
5/8/19/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$185.60 (+12.3%)
Sector
Energy
Industry
Oil & Gas Integrated
Exchange
NYQ
Country
United States
Symbol
XOM
Description
Exxon Mobil Corporation is a global energy leader focused on the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas, with a significant international presence spanning countries like the United States, Guyana, and the United Kingdom. The company's core business is diversified across four key segments: Upstream, which focuses on resource extraction; Energy Products, which refines and markets fuels; Chemical Products, which produces petrochemicals; and Specialty Products, which offers performance-enhancing materials. ExxonMobil's integrated operations encompass the entire value chain, from resource discovery to the sale of refined products under well-known brands such as Exxon, Esso, and Mobil. Furthermore, the company is actively exploring lower-emission initiatives, including carbon capture and sustainable aviation fuel, positioning itself for future energy demands.
Earnings Summary
In the last two quarters of 2025, Exxon reported EPS of $1.88 in Q3, beating the $1.82 estimate, and revenue of $85.294 billion matching the $85.294 billion estimate; Q4 2025 EPS of $1.71 beat the $1.70 estimate and revenue of $82.308 billion matched the $82.240 billion estimate, showing steady earnings and revenue performance. The following year, Q1 2026 EPS of $1.16 missed the $3.31 estimate, and revenue of $85.138 billion fell short of the $95.397 billion estimate, indicating a sharp earnings and revenue decline; Q3 2026 EPS of $4.23 beat the $4.12 estimate and revenue of $113.164 billion exceeded the $104.126 billion estimate, reflecting a rebound in the second half. Historically, Exxon has delivered strong revenue growth year over year, with EPS generally beating estimates except for the anomalous Q1 2026 miss, while Q3 2026 showed a robust earnings beat. Recent news highlights institutional buying of shares, a $20 billion annual share‑buyback program, and a record 44th consecutive dividend increase, reinforcing its status as a stable income stock; the company also announced a $70 billion capital plan and a $20 billion buyback program, underscoring capital discipline.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.70$1.70$2.69$3.69$4.69Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$4.00 - -
Q3'26$4.12$4.23+2.7%
Q1'26$3.31$1.16-65.0%
Q4'25$1.70$1.71+0.5%
Q3'25$1.82$1.88+3.0%
Q2'25$1.56$1.64+4.9%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$76.8B$87.0B$97.3B$107.6B$117.9BQ2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$110.4B - -
Q3'26$104.1B$113.2B+8.7%
Q1'26$95.4B$85.1B-10.8%
Q4'25$82.2B$82.3B+0.1%
Q3'25 - $85.3B -
Q2'25 - $81.5B -

Market Data

XOM Stock Snapshot

BULLISH85/100
$163.95−$1.80 (1.1%)
Market cap
693.31B
P/E ratio
17.1
Day range
$163.61 – $166.25
News sentiment
56/100 · Neutral
Analyst target
$183.67 (+12.0%)
Consensus
Hold · 34 analysts
52-week range+43.6% off low · -13.0% from high
$114.19$188.50
Price $163.95 DailyIQ Est. $185.60

Momentum is working in XOM's favour - it ranks in the upper part of DailyIQ's momentum universe. Coverage is deep enough that new information gets priced quickly, so surprises tend to be macro rather than fundamental.

Behaviour On Record

What XOM's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
32.7% 86th pct
Below its peak
-8.6%
vs 200-day average
+10.0%
Up days (1y)
58%

Exxon Mobil Corporation is currently running 32.7% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against XOM's own 13 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 86th percentile — elevated for this stock, against a typical reading of 20.9%.

XOM is trading -8.6% below its running peak. Across 13 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -18.7%, and the deepest was -54.9% in 2020. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +10.0% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 77th percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year XOM closed higher on 58% of sessions, and it is currently 1 session into a rising streak.

On November specifically: over 13 years of records, XOM finished the month higher 5 of 13 times, with a median return of -0.8% and an average of -0.1%. Its strongest month historically has been October at +2.6% on average, its weakest May at -1.0%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: XOM has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 51 of 3,268 sessions (1.6% of the time), with the largest gaps running +6.3% and -9.1%.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, XOM moved an average of 2.3% in the session after earnings, closing higher 1 of those 3 times, with a median move of -2.1% and a largest of -3.9%.

All figures computed from 3,269 daily closes between 2013-11-06 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against XOM's own 13-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of XOM's sector?

Exxon Mobil Corporation sits in the Energy sector, currently ranked 8th of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (weakening).

Sector rank
#8 of 12
Sector state
Weakening
Sector rotation score
18

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect XOM to earn?

Analysts expect Exxon Mobil Corporation to earn $13.68 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $7.59 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2029, from 3 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$4.18$3.81 to $4.509$110.00B8
Mar 2027$3.36$1.68 to $4.3416$98.26B5
Jun 2027$3.73$2.76 to $4.795~$127.47B-
Sep 2027$3.60$2.68 to $4.475~$123.03B-
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$13.68$13.25 to $14.3014$425.03B12
Dec 2027$12.01$7.70 to $16.5023$430.94B13
Dec 2028$9.40$5.85 to $12.095~$321.24B-
Dec 2029$7.59$6.12 to $10.473~$259.38B-

Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on XOM?

Citigroup most recently reiterated its rating on Exxon Mobil Corporation to Neutral on Nov 4, 2026 with a price target of $175 (from $155). Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 1 downgrade, a net bearish lean.

Latest action
Citigroup: Neutral
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
1
Net rating momentum
-1
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Nov 4, 2026CitigroupMaintainedNeutral$155 → $175
Nov 4, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$180 → $193
Nov 2, 2026UBSMaintainedBuy$199 → $213
Nov 2, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$185 → $187
Nov 2, 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainedOutperform$185 → $200
Nov 2, 2026Wells FargoMaintainedEqual-Weight$182 → $189
Oct 19, 2026BarclaysMaintainedOverweight$177 → $200
Oct 15, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$177 → $185
Oct 1, 2026Wells FargoDowngradeOverweight → Equal-Weight$182
Sep 28, 2026TD CowenMaintainedBuy$168 → $180
Sep 3, 2026Piper SandlerMaintainedNeutral$158 → $185
Aug 19, 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainedOverweight$168 → $177

Earnings Release, Scored

What did Exxon Mobil Corporation's latest earnings release say?

Filed Oct 30, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Tone57.4/ 100-12.9 vs prior release
Hedging words0.64per 100 words+0.45 vs prior release
Tone, last 2 releasesScale 50–76

Most important lines

  1. 1

    contributed to an increase in our distillate production by approximately 40% since 2019."

    New this quarter
  2. 2

    Advantaged investments, technology, and $16.9 billion in structural cost savings

    New this quarter
  3. 3

    since 2019 are expanding our earnings power.

    New this quarter

Peers & ETF holders

XOM peers & ETF holders

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about XOM?

XOM rose 0.8% over the month to Nov 5. News tone held between 37 and 75 from Oct 5 to Oct 21, then dropped to 54 on Oct 22.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 5 to Nov 5
$170$180Oct 5: tone 51Oct 6: tone 59Oct 7: tone 57Oct 8: tone 55Oct 9: tone 37Oct 12: tone 48Oct 13: tone 60Oct 14: tone 56Oct 15: tone 59Oct 16: tone 66Oct 19: tone 65Oct 20: tone 68Oct 21: tone 75Oct 22: tone 55Oct 23: tone 66Oct 26: tone 49Oct 27: tone 53Oct 28: tone 52Oct 29: tone 56Oct 30: tone 61Nov 2: tone 63Nov 3: tone 54Nov 4: tone 59Nov 5: tone 61Oct 5News toneNov 5123
  1. Oct 8 +2.8%same day: Exxon Mobil Holdings (XOM) Gains As Market Dips: What You Should Know
  2. Nov 2 -3.8%same day: ETFs Bought $889.9 Million of ExxonMobil (XOM) on Oct. 29
  3. Nov 4 -4.6%same day: DZ Bank Downgrades Exxon Mobil to Sell From Neutral, Price Target is $170

Technical analysis

How strong is XOM's momentum right now?

On the daily chart XOM ranks at the 85th percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bullish reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling XOM?

44 of the 45 tracked managers added to XOM in their latest 13F and 0 trimmed. Together they own 3.9% of the company, worth $26.3B. Bank of New York Mellon and Dimensional Fund Advisors alone hold 1.5%.

44adding0trimming1unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of XOM
  1. $5.8B positionNew position last quarter
  2. $4.4B positionNew position last quarter
  3. 3Amundi0.53%
    $3.1B positionNew position last quarter
  4. $1.7B positionNew position last quarter
  5. $1.4B positionNew position last quarter
  6. $1.0B positionNew position last quarter
  7. $931.3M positionNew position last quarter
  8. $577.3M positionNew position last quarter
  9. $568.6M positionNew position last quarter
  10. $538.6M positionNew position last quarter
Full holdings history

Congressional trading

Is Congress trading XOM?

16 members of Congress disclosed 25 XOM trades between May 15, 2025 and Oct 14, 2026: 9 buys, 14 sells and 2 exchanges, about $509.5K in estimated value.

BuysSellsJulOctJan ’26AprJulOct
BuySell$1K–$15K$15K–$50K$50K–$100K$100K–$250K

What stands out

Click one to highlight its trades in the chart

Discover more

How has XOM done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 5, XOM returned +7.2%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 5 did better, led by MPC at +44.8%.

Change since May 5, through Nov 5
−50%0%+50%+100%May 5JunJulAugSepOctNov 5MPC +44.8%XOM +7.2%OIH −21.0%