DailyIQ
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Sector:EnergyAll sectors
Last updated 28 minutes ago

XOM·XOM

$.
-. (-.%)
After Hours
High
$137.49
Open
$136.53
Market Cap
565.95B
52W High
$176.41
Low
$135.63
P. Close
$147.91
P/E
22.36
52W Low
$105.53
Fwd P/E
12.60
DailyIQ Est.
$172.68
Technical Score (1D)
27
SELL
News Sentiment
64
BULLISH
Zacks Research Daily highlighted Exxon Mobil among 16 major stocks, indicating fresh analyst focus that could prompt a reassessment of the company’s valuation. This increased coverage signals that analysts may be revisiting earnings assumptions ahead of the upcoming earnings release, which is scheduled for the next few trading days. The timing of the coverage, just 15.5 hours ago, suggests traders should anticipate a potential short‑term sentiment shift once the earnings data are announced. In parallel, XOM’s Cyprus gas export plan with QatarEnergy, announced 20.9 hours ago, moves the company closer to a new LNG revenue stream expected to begin around 2033. The Cyprus development expands XOM’s gas portfolio and could improve long‑term cash‑flow resilience amid volatile oil markets. For the next 1–10 trading days, the combination of heightened analyst attention and a near‑term project milestone could tighten the stock’s price range as investors weigh earnings expectations against future LNG upside. Traders should watch for the earnings release, noting guidance on upstream production and capital allocation that could confirm or contradict the analyst focus. Additionally, monitor any analyst upgrades or downgrades that may follow the earnings, as well as macro data releases on oil and gas inventories that could influence market sentiment. Finally, keep an eye on regulatory approvals and construction milestones for the Cyprus pipeline, as delays could dampen the perceived value of the LNG expansion.
Earnings Summary
Exxon Mobil Corporation is a global integrated oil and gas company with upstream, energy products, chemical, and specialty segments, operating across the entire value chain from exploration to branded fuel sales. In its latest earnings, Exxon delivered a series of EPS beats from Q4 2024 through Q4 2025, with actual earnings ranging from $1.67 to $1.88 versus estimates of $1.55 to $1.82, reflecting strong profitability during a period of elevated oil prices. Revenue remained relatively flat, hovering between $81.5 B and $85.3 B, and even outperformed estimates in Q4 2025 by $640 M. However, the company’s Q1 2026 results marked a sharp reversal, with EPS falling to $1.16 against an estimate of $3.31 and revenue of $85.1 B versus an estimate of $95.4 B, indicating a significant earnings and revenue miss that may be tied to lower upstream margins or capital allocation shifts. Historically, Exxon has shown a streak of consistent EPS beats for five consecutive quarters, followed by a pronounced miss in the first quarter of 2026, suggesting a potential turning point in its earnings trajectory. Recent news coverage underscores this volatility: analysts have trimmed price targets amid concerns over oil price dynamics, while a Supreme Court ruling revived a $1 billion‑plus Cuban claim that could bolster cash flow if settled, and the company’s filing to expand Guyana acreage introduces a new growth catalyst subject to regulatory approval. Investors should watch for guidance on upstream margins, capital expenditure plans, and the status of the Cuban claim settlement in the next earnings release, as well as any regulatory developments affecting Guyana operations and commodity price trends that could influence Exxon’s near‑term profitability.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.78$1.61$2.44$3.28$4.11Q1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$3.73 - -
Q1'26$3.31$1.16-65.0%
Q4'25$1.70$1.71+0.5%
Q3'25$1.82$1.88+3.0%
Q2'25$1.56$1.64+4.9%
Q1'25$1.74$1.76+1.2%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$78.2B$85.3B$92.4B$99.5B$106.6BQ1'25Q2'25Q3'25Q4'25Q1'26Q2'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q2'26$103.4B - -
Q1'26$95.4B$85.1B-10.8%
Q4'25$82.2B$82.3B+0.1%
Q3'25 - $85.3B -
Q2'25 - $81.5B -
Q1'25 - $83.1B -
Full Earnings BreakdownEstimates, actuals, guidance, and historical context
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Market Data

XOM Stock Snapshot

XOM is currently trading at $148.63, giving XOM a market cap of 565.95B and a P/E ratio of 22.4. Today's range spans $135.63–$137.49, with shares opening at $136.53 and moving up $0.72 (0.5%) from the prior close. DailyIQ's technical score sits at 27/100 (SELL) with a news sentiment reading of 64/100.

Over the past year XOM has traded between $105.53 and $176.41 - the current price is +40.8% off the 52-week low and -15.7% from the high. 32 analysts cover the stock with a Hold consensus and a mean 12-month target of $170.29 (range $130.00–$185.00), implying upside of +14.6%.

The data on XOM tells a bearish story: 27/100 technical score, SELL signal, bullish sentiment at 64/100, and a price of $148.63 sitting in the middle of its 52-week range. (P/E: 22.4) At 565.95B in Energy capitalization, the structural support zones within the $105.53–$176.41 range are where this play resolves - either the stock finds institutional demand at key levels, or the bearish momentum persists toward the lower end.

Macro overlays compound the risk when a mega-cap Energy name like XOM prints a SELL signal at 27/100 — systematic de-risking models, factor momentum downgrades, and active manager trimming can layer on sequentially rather than simultaneously, producing a slow but persistent sell-off pattern. Sentiment at 64/100 (bullish) and price at $148.63 (in the middle of its 52-week range) within the $105.53–$176.41 range confirm the directional bias without defining the endpoint.