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YUMC·Yum China Holdings, Inc.

$50.03
+0.26 (+0.52%)
High
$50.25
Open
$49.00
Market Cap
16.57B
52W High
$58.39
Low
$49.00
P. Close
$50.03
P/E
16.51
52W Low
$39.71
Fwd P/E
14.71
DailyIQ Est.
$64.49
Inst. Own.
50.0%
Short Interest
1.79%
Days to Cover
3.3
Div. Yield
1.73%
Last Ex-Div
Aug 27, 2026
NewEarnings release, scored · filed Nov 3, 2026tone -6.1 vs prior release · 112 lines scoredSee the breakdown
Technical Score (1D)
31
BEARISH
News Sentiment
35
BEARISH
On Nov 6, Yum China Holdings reported that it had opened 1,890 new stores in the first nine months of 2026, a record for the company. That same period saw capital spending rise to $1.86 billion, representing 14.6 % of sales. The company’s cash from operations was insufficient to cover this spending, resulting in a shortfall in two of the last four quarters. Cash remaining after spending shifted from a surplus a year earlier to a deficit, indicating a material liquidity strain. These developments were highlighted in the company’s latest earnings release.
LOW TARGET
$56 +11.9%
2 analysts
MEAN TARGET
$62 +24.1%
6 analysts
HIGH TARGET
$77 +53.9%
21 analysts
PRICE RANGE
$56.00 - $77.00
SB / B / H / S / SS
9/15/3/1/1
DAILYIQ EST.
$64.49 (+28.9%)
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Restaurants
Exchange
NYQ
Country
China
Symbol
YUMC
Description
Yum China Holdings is a leading restaurant operator and franchisor, primarily serving the Chinese market. The company's core business revolves around its ownership and operation of well-known quick-service and casual dining brands, including KFC and Pizza Hut. Beyond these established concepts, Yum China also manages a portfolio of other restaurant brands such as Taco Bell, Lavazza, Little Sheep, and Huang Ji Huang, offering consumers a diverse range of culinary choices. Furthermore, the company leverages online food delivery services to enhance customer convenience and accessibility. Headquartered in Shanghai and founded in 1987, Yum China holds a significant position within China's dynamic restaurant industry.
Bought (1Y)
0 shares
$0
Sold (1Y)
39,276 shares
$1.9M
Ding AdrianChief Financial Officer
Award/Grant134 shares2026-09-17
Ding AdrianChief Financial Officer
Award/Grant43 shares2026-09-17
Ding AdrianChief Financial Officer
Award/Grant45 shares2026-09-17
Ding AdrianChief Financial Officer
Award/Grant22 shares2026-09-17
LIU PingpingChief Legal Officer
Award/Grant49 shares2026-09-17
72/ 100
Bullish
Overall: Bullish
✓Revenue growing year over year
✓Positive net margin
✓Positive operating cash flow
Net Margin
7.9%
Revenue CAGR
4.9%
Current Ratio
1.05x
Debt / Equity
0.01x
Return on Equity
17.3%
Earnings Summary
In Q1 2025, Yum China reported EPS of $0.77 versus an estimate of $0.78 and revenue of $2.98 billion, while in Q1 2026 EPS fell slightly to $0.87 against an estimate of $0.87 and revenue dipped to $3.27 billion from an estimate of $3.30 billion. The subsequent quarters of 2026 showed a mixed pattern: Q2 EPS rose to $0.70 from an estimate of $0.67 and revenue increased to $3.14 billion from an estimate of $3.12 billion; Q3 EPS of $0.91 matched the estimate of $0.91 but revenue fell to $3.48 billion from an estimate of $3.57 billion. Overall, the company has consistently met or narrowly missed EPS estimates in the last four quarters, while revenue growth has been volatile, with a 1.14 % miss in Q3 2026. Historically, Yum China has delivered steady YoY revenue growth, often exceeding analyst expectations, but EPS has fluctuated, reflecting margin pressures. The company’s recent news highlights a robust operating margin expansion to 17.8 % in Q3 2026, a 13 % increase in operating profit, and the opening of nearly 700 net new restaurants, raising its 2026 store target to over 2,400. These developments underscore a focus on scale and profitability, even as same‑store sales remain at 97 % of the prior year.

EPS

EstBeatMiss
$0.39$0.54$0.69$0.83$0.98Q1'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$0.46 - -
Q3'26$0.91$0.91-0.4%
Q2'26$0.67$0.70+4.6%
Q1'26$0.87$0.87-0.4%
Q1'25$0.78$0.77-1.5%

Revenue

EstBeatMiss
$2.9B$3.1B$3.3B$3.5B$3.7BQ1'25Q1'26Q2'26Q3'26Q4'26
QtrEstActual+/−
Q4'26$3.1B - -
Q3'26$3.6B$3.5B-2.7%
Q2'26$3.1B$3.1B+0.7%
Q1'26$3.3B$3.3B-0.9%
Q1'25 - $3.0B -

Market Data

YUMC Stock Snapshot

BEARISH31/100
$50.03+$0.26 (0.5%)
Market cap
16.57B
P/E ratio
16.5
Day range
$49.00 – $50.25
News sentiment
35/100 · Bearish
Analyst target
$62.11 (+24.1%)
Consensus
Buy · 29 analysts
52-week range+26.0% off low · -14.3% from high
$39.71$58.39
Price $50.03 DailyIQ Est. $64.49

Yum China Holdings, Inc. is trading in the middle of its 52-week range with momentum still pointing lower. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.

Reverse DCF

What growth is priced into YUMC?

FAIR

At today's price, Yum China Holdings, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 3.6% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 7.69% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 5.4% a year, so the market is asking for 1.8 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis YUMC looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.

Implied FCF growth
3.6%
Growth trend
5.4%
Growth gap
-1.8 pts
Verdict
FAIR
Discount rate (WACC)
7.69%
Beta
0.67

Behaviour On Record

What YUMC's own history says about today's numbers

Realized volatility (21d)
33.0% 64th pct
Below its peak
-28.3%
vs 200-day average
+6.9%
Up days (1y)
46%

Yum China Holdings, Inc. is currently running 33.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against YUMC's own 10 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 64th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 29.4%.

YUMC is trading -28.3% below its running peak. Across 10 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -31.4%, and the deepest was -38.3% in 2023. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.

Price sits +6.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 61st percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year YUMC closed higher on 46% of sessions, and it is currently 6 sessions into a rising streak.

On November specifically: over 10 years of records, YUMC finished the month higher 6 of 10 times, with a median return of +4.8% and an average of +3.6%. Its strongest month historically has been February at +4.2% on average, its weakest October at -2.7%.

Overnight risk is measurable too: YUMC has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 225 of 2,527 sessions (8.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.4% and -9.6%.

Across the last 3 dated reports on file, YUMC moved an average of 2.2% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +2.2% and a largest of +3.8%.

All figures computed from 2,528 daily closes between 2016-10-17 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against YUMC's own 10-year history, not a peer group or index.

Sector Rotation

Is money rotating into or out of YUMC's sector?

Yum China Holdings, Inc. sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 2nd of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).

Sector rank
#2 of 12
Sector state
Leading
Sector rotation score
73

Options Market

What is the options market pricing for YUMC?

CallsPuts

For Yum China Holdings, Inc.'s nearest expiry (2026-11-20, 14 days out), open interest is call-heavy, a bullish tilt (put/call ratio of 0.50), with at-the-money implied volatility around 31.2%. The options market is pricing roughly a ±6.4% move by that expiry — a range of about $46.59–$52.95.

Put/call ratio (2026-11-20)
0.50
ATM implied volatility
31.2%
Total open interest
3,873
Expected move by 2026-11-20
±6.4% ($46.59–$52.95)

Analyst Consensus Estimates

What do analysts expect YUMC to earn?

Analysts expect Yum China Holdings, Inc. to earn $2.94 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $3.89 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2028, from 4 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.

Quarter endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Sep 2026$0.90$0.82 to $0.944$3.49B8
Dec 2026$0.46$0.41 to $0.504$3.04B7
Mar 2027$0.98$0.97 to $0.992~$3.90B-
Jun 2027$0.78$0.78 to $0.782~$3.10B-
Sep 2027$1.07$1.02 to $1.112~$4.25B-
Fiscal year endingEPS estimateEPS rangeEPS analystsRevenue estimateRevenue analysts
Dec 2026$2.94$2.73 to $3.0116$12.88B26
Dec 2027$3.39$3.10 to $3.7617$13.68B27
Dec 2028$3.89$3.62 to $4.294~$15.47B-

Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.

Analyst Rating Changes

Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on YUMC?

BWG Global most recently upgraded Yum China Holdings, Inc. to Positive on Jan 16, 2026. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.

Latest action
BWG Global: Positive
90-day upgrades
0
90-day downgrades
0
Net rating momentum
0
DateFirmActionRatingPrice target
Jan 16, 2026BWG GlobalUpgradeMixed → Positive-
Nov 5, 2024JP MorganUpgradeNeutral → Overweight$36 → $60
Aug 6, 2024MacquarieUpgradeUnderperform → Outperform$30 → $37
Mar 6, 2024HSBCMaintainedBuy$67 → $51
Jan 4, 2024JP MorganDowngradeOverweight → Neutral$65 → $38
Dec 19, 2023Deutsche BankInitiatedBuy$58
Sep 19, 2023HSBCMaintainedBuy$78 → $79
Apr 12, 2023OTR GlobalUpgradeMixed → Positive-
Feb 1, 2023JefferiesDowngradeBuy → Hold-
Jan 24, 2022OTR GlobalDowngradePositive → Mixed-
Sep 15, 2021MacquarieDowngradeNeutral → Underperform$56 → $53
Apr 6, 2021Atlantic EquitiesInitiatedOverweight$72

Earnings Release, Scored

What did Yum China Holdings, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?

Filed Nov 3, 2026 · SEC Form 8-K, Exhibit 99

Tone72.4/ 100-6.1 vs prior release
Hedging words0.78per 100 words+0.20 vs prior release
Tone, last 3 releasesScale 50–84

Most important lines

  1. 1

    Same-store sales reached 97% of the prior year’s level.

    New this quarter
  2. 2

    KCOFFEE cafes crossed 4,000 locations, KPRO exceeded 700 locations, and Pizza Hut’s Burger Bar surpassed 300 locations.

    New this quarter
  3. 3

    In November 2026, Yum China’s board of directors (the "Board") increased the Company's share repurchase authorization by $1 billion.

    New this quarter

Peers & ETF holders

YUMC peers & ETF holders

News & sentiment

What is the news saying about YUMC?

YUMC rose 23.2% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 46 and 71 from Oct 8 to Oct 16, then dropped to 30 on Oct 20.

Daily close and news tone, Oct 6 to Nov 6
$40$45$50Oct 6Oct 7Oct 8: tone 52Oct 9Oct 12Oct 13Oct 14: tone 47Oct 15Oct 16: tone 71Oct 19Oct 20: tone 30Oct 21: tone 50Oct 22Oct 23: tone 56Oct 26Oct 27Oct 28Oct 29Oct 30: tone 50Nov 2Nov 3: tone 56Nov 4: tone 66Nov 5: tone 50Nov 6: tone 12Oct 6News toneNov 6123
  1. Oct 9 +4.2%
  2. Oct 15 +5.5%
  3. Nov 4 +4.8%same day: Yum China Holdings (YUMC) After Earnings, Is The Valuation Story Still Intact?

Technical analysis

How strong is YUMC's momentum right now?

On the daily chart YUMC ranks at the 31st percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.

Momentum rank by timeframe0 = weakest, 100 = strongest
See what drives the rankThe inputs behind each timeframe's momentum rank, plus RSI, stochastics, Bollinger Bands and moving averages. Free with an account.

Institutional ownership

Are big funds buying or selling YUMC?

58 of the 160 tracked managers added to YUMC in their latest 13F and 93 trimmed. Together they own 50.0% of the company, worth $6.8B. JPMorgan Chase and Principal Financial alone hold 13.9%.

58adding93trimming9unchanged
Largest holders by stake, latest 13FBar = share of YUMC
  1. $985.2M positionTrimmed 5.0% last quarter
  2. $896.8M positionAdded 3.2% last quarter
  3. $441.7M positionTrimmed 2.6% last quarter
  4. $433.2M positionAdded 0.0% last quarter
  5. $341.9M positionAdded 0.2% last quarter
  6. $229.8M positionTrimmed 4.4% last quarter
  7. $179.7M positionAdded 18.6% last quarter
  8. $149.4M positionAdded 124.1% last quarter
  9. $141.3M positionTrimmed 8.2% last quarter
  10. $141.6M positionTrimmed 4.1% last quarter
Full holdings history

Congressional trading

Is Congress trading YUMC?

1 member of Congress disclosed 1 YUMC trade on Feb 17, 2017: 1 sell, about $8.0K in estimated value.

BuysSellsFeb
BuySell$1K–$15K$15K–$50K$50K–$100K$100K–$250K

Discover more

How has YUMC done against its peers?

Over the six months to Nov 6, YUMC returned +3.9%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 5 did better, led by HLT at +15.7%.

Change since May 6, through Nov 6
−40%−20%0%+20%+40%May 6JunJulAugSepOctNov 6HLT +15.7%YUMC +3.9%MELI −17.9%