YUMC|Analyst Targets
YUMC|Company Info
YUMC|Insider Trading
YUMC|Fundamentals
YUMC|Earnings Snapshot
EPS
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $0.46 | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $0.91 | $0.91 | -0.4% |
| Q2'26 | $0.67 | $0.70 | +4.6% |
| Q1'26 | $0.87 | $0.87 | -0.4% |
| Q1'25 | $0.78 | $0.77 | -1.5% |
Revenue
| Qtr | Est | Actual | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4'26 | $3.1B | - | - |
| Q3'26 | $3.6B | $3.5B | -2.7% |
| Q2'26 | $3.1B | $3.1B | +0.7% |
| Q1'26 | $3.3B | $3.3B | -0.9% |
| Q1'25 | - | $3.0B | - |
YUMC|Monthly Returns
Market Data
YUMC Stock Snapshot
- Market cap
- 16.57B
- P/E ratio
- 16.5
- Day range
- $49.00 – $50.25
- News sentiment
- 35/100 · Bearish
- Analyst target
- $62.11 (+24.1%)
- Consensus
- Buy · 29 analysts
Yum China Holdings, Inc. is trading in the middle of its 52-week range with momentum still pointing lower. The stock is liquid enough that positioning changes get absorbed without distorting the trend.
Reverse DCF
What growth is priced into YUMC?
At today's price, Yum China Holdings, Inc. needs to grow free cash flow about 3.6% a year for 3 years, slowing to a long-run rate by year 10, to justify its valuation at a 7.69% cost of capital. Over the last five years its revenue has trended at 5.4% a year, so the market is asking for 1.8 percentage points below its own delivered rate. On that basis YUMC looks priced roughly in line with its own growth record.
- Implied FCF growth
- 3.6%
- Growth trend
- 5.4%
- Growth gap
- -1.8 pts
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Discount rate (WACC)
- 7.69%
- Beta
- 0.67
Behaviour On Record
What YUMC's own history says about today's numbers
- Realized volatility (21d)
- 33.0% 64th pct
- Below its peak
- -28.3%
- vs 200-day average
- +6.9%
- Up days (1y)
- 46%
Yum China Holdings, Inc. is currently running 33.0% annualised volatility over the last 21 sessions. Measured against YUMC's own 10 years of daily returns rather than a market-wide average, that is the 64th percentile — a little above its own norm, against a typical reading of 29.4%.
YUMC is trading -28.3% below its running peak. Across 10 full years on file, its median worst-drawdown-in-a-year was -31.4%, and the deepest was -38.3% in 2023. The current pullback is therefore shallower than what this stock gives back in a typical year, which is context worth having before treating it as a dislocation.
Price sits +6.9% from its 200-day moving average. Against every other day in its history, that gap ranks at the 61st percentile — a somewhat wider gap than its own norm. Over the past year YUMC closed higher on 46% of sessions, and it is currently 6 sessions into a rising streak.
On November specifically: over 10 years of records, YUMC finished the month higher 6 of 10 times, with a median return of +4.8% and an average of +3.6%. Its strongest month historically has been February at +4.2% on average, its weakest October at -2.7%.
Overnight risk is measurable too: YUMC has opened more than 2% away from the prior close in 225 of 2,527 sessions (8.9% of the time), with the largest gaps running +7.4% and -9.6%.
Across the last 3 dated reports on file, YUMC moved an average of 2.2% in the session after earnings, closing higher 2 of those 3 times, with a median move of +2.2% and a largest of +3.8%.
All figures computed from 2,528 daily closes between 2016-10-17 and 2026-11-05, split-adjusted, recomputed daily. Percentiles are against YUMC's own 10-year history, not a peer group or index.
Sector Rotation
Is money rotating into or out of YUMC's sector?
Yum China Holdings, Inc. sits in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 2nd of 12 GICS sectors by relative-strength rotation score (leading).
- Sector rank
- #2 of 12
- Sector state
- Leading
- Sector rotation score
- 73
Analyst Consensus Estimates
What do analysts expect YUMC to earn?
Analysts expect Yum China Holdings, Inc. to earn $2.94 per share in the fiscal year ending Dec 2026 and $3.89 in the fiscal year ending Dec 2028, from 4 estimates. These are analyst forecasts, not company guidance, and later years rest on fewer analysts.
Revenue marked ~ is our calculation from the EPS estimate, not analyst consensus.
Analyst Rating Changes
Are analysts turning bullish or bearish on YUMC?
BWG Global most recently upgraded Yum China Holdings, Inc. to Positive on Jan 16, 2026. Over the last 90 days, coverage has run 0 upgrades against 0 downgrades, a net mixed lean.
- Latest action
- BWG Global: Positive
- 90-day upgrades
- 0
- 90-day downgrades
- 0
- Net rating momentum
- 0
Earnings Release, Scored
What did Yum China Holdings, Inc.'s latest earnings release say?
Most important lines
- 1
Same-store sales reached 97% of the prior year’s level.
New this quarter - 2
KCOFFEE cafes crossed 4,000 locations, KPRO exceeded 700 locations, and Pizza Hut’s Burger Bar surpassed 300 locations.
New this quarter - 3
In November 2026, Yum China’s board of directors (the "Board") increased the Company's share repurchase authorization by $1 billion.
New this quarter
Peers & ETF holders
YUMC peers & ETF holders
RestaurantsMarket cap · today
News & sentiment
What is the news saying about YUMC?
YUMC rose 23.2% over the month to Nov 6. News tone held between 46 and 71 from Oct 8 to Oct 16, then dropped to 30 on Oct 20.
- Oct 9 +4.2%
- Oct 15 +5.5%
- Nov 4 +4.8%same day: Yum China Holdings (YUMC) After Earnings, Is The Valuation Story Still Intact?
Technical analysis
How strong is YUMC's momentum right now?
On the daily chart YUMC ranks at the 31st percentile for momentum against 1,060 stocks and ETFs, a bearish reading.
Institutional ownership
Are big funds buying or selling YUMC?
58 of the 160 tracked managers added to YUMC in their latest 13F and 93 trimmed. Together they own 50.0% of the company, worth $6.8B. JPMorgan Chase and Principal Financial alone hold 13.9%.
- 1JPMorgan Chase & Co7.28%$985.2M positionTrimmed 5.0% last quarter
- $896.8M positionAdded 3.2% last quarter
- $441.7M positionTrimmed 2.6% last quarter
- 4Royal Bank of Canada3.20%$433.2M positionAdded 0.0% last quarter
- 5Dodge & Cox2.52%$341.9M positionAdded 0.2% last quarter
- 6Norges Bank1.70%$229.8M positionTrimmed 4.4% last quarter
- 7Goldman Sachs Group Inc1.33%$179.7M positionAdded 18.6% last quarter
- 8Barclays PLC1.10%$149.4M positionAdded 124.1% last quarter
- $141.3M positionTrimmed 8.2% last quarter
- 10Bank of New York Mellon Corp1.04%$141.6M positionTrimmed 4.1% last quarter
Congressional trading
Is Congress trading YUMC?
1 member of Congress disclosed 1 YUMC trade on Feb 17, 2017: 1 sell, about $8.0K in estimated value.
Discover more
How has YUMC done against its peers?
Over the six months to Nov 6, YUMC returned +3.9%. Of the 15 related stocks and ETFs, 5 did better, led by HLT at +15.7%.
- 1HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.up 15.7%+11.8 pts
- 2MARMarriott International, Inc.up 15.6%+11.7 pts
- 3RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.up 13.9%+10.0 pts
- 4GMGeneral Motors Companyup 11.3%+7.4 pts
- 5HDThe Home Depot, Inc.up 6.2%+2.3 pts
- 6YUMCThis stockup 3.9%
- 7ROSTRoss Stores, Inc.up 1.4%−2.5 pts
- 8SBUXStarbucks Corporationdown 0.9%−4.7 pts
- 16MELIMercadoLibre, Inc.down 17.9%−21.8 pts